KMX geschiedenis verwachte beweging CarMax, Inc.
Elke handelsdag na de sluiting leggen we vast wat de optiemarkt inprijst — per vervaldatum, voordat de uitkomst bekend is. Wanneer een vervaldatum passeert, wordt de uitkomst naast de oorspronkelijke schatting vermeld. Schattingen worden achteraf nooit herzien. Hoe deze statistieken te lezen · vastlegging sinds Aug 31, 2026
Vergelijkingen opgelost43
Sluiting binnen bandbreedte72%
|Werkelijk| onder verwacht72%
Gem. verwachte beweging±8.9%
Gem. |werkelijke| beweging7.8%
Gem. abs. fout2.1pt
Impliciet vs. gerealiseerd, per expiratie
Voor elke vervaldatum: de oranje omlijning is de expected move die het dichtst bij de vervaldatum is vastgelegd; de solide balk is wat het aandeel werkelijk heeft gedaan. Getekende waarden staan onder de balken vermeld.
verwacht (vastgelegd)werkelijk
Momenteel vastgelegd (uitkomst nog onbekend)
| Snapshot | Vervalt | DTE | Spot destijds | Expected move | Bereik | Methode |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 | Nov 20 | 32 | 51.77 | ±10.5% | 46.34–57.19 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Nov 20 | 35 | 53.43 | ±10.7% | 47.73–59.13 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Nov 20 | 37 | 49.26 | ±11.1% | 43.81–54.71 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Nov 20 | 38 | 50.20 | ±11.0% | 44.70–55.70 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Nov 20 | 42 | 52.70 | ±11.2% | 46.78–58.63 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Nov 20 | 43 | 53.50 | ±11.5% | 47.33–59.67 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Nov 20 | 44 | 55.29 | ±11.7% | 48.81–61.77 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Nov 20 | 45 | 55.20 | ±11.9% | 48.62–61.77 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Nov 20 | 46 | 54.92 | ±12.5% | 48.07–61.77 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Nov 20 | 49 | 55.89 | ±12.7% | 48.79–62.99 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Nov 20 | 50 | 55.99 | ±12.5% | 48.97–63.02 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Nov 20 | 58 | 58.09 | ±16.5% | 48.49–67.69 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Nov 20 | 59 | 58.09 | ±16.5% | 48.49–67.69 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Nov 20 | 60 | 58.42 | ±16.1% | 49.02–67.82 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Nov 20 | 63 | 57.21 | ±16.6% | 47.71–66.71 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Nov 20 | 64 | 58.25 | ±17.8% | 47.90–68.60 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Nov 20 | 65 | 61.32 | ±17.6% | 50.52–72.12 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Nov 20 | 66 | 61.32 | ±17.6% | 50.52–72.12 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Nov 20 | 67 | 61.32 | ±17.6% | 50.52–72.12 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Nov 20 | 70 | 60.52 | ±17.7% | 49.82–71.22 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Nov 20 | 71 | 60.29 | ±18.1% | 49.39–71.19 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Nov 20 | 72 | 60.57 | ±18.9% | 49.12–72.02 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Nov 20 | 73 | 60.59 | ±19.0% | 49.09–72.09 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Nov 20 | 74 | 63.29 | ±17.5% | 52.24–74.34 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Nov 20 | 77 | 62.64 | ±17.8% | 51.49–73.79 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Nov 20 | 78 | 61.00 | ±18.1% | 49.95–72.05 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Nov 20 | 79 | 61.00 | ±18.1% | 49.95–72.05 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Nov 20 | 80 | 62.04 | ±18.0% | 50.89–73.19 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Nov 20 | 81 | 62.04 | ±18.0% | 50.89–73.19 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 19 | Dec 18 | 60 | 51.77 | ±16.9% | 43.02–60.52 | em-1.0 |
Vastgelegde snapshots
| Snapshot | Verlopen | Verwacht | Werkelijk | Binnen bereik? | Spot → slotkoers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.1% | -0.2% | binnen | 53.43 → 53.33 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.1% | +8.3% | buiten | 49.26 → 53.33 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.8% | +6.2% | buiten | 50.20 → 53.33 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.5% | +1.2% | binnen | 52.70 → 53.33 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.1% | -0.3% | binnen | 53.50 → 53.33 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.3% | -3.5% | binnen | 55.29 → 53.33 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.5% | -3.4% | binnen | 55.20 → 53.33 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.1% | -2.9% | binnen | 54.92 → 53.33 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.3% | -4.6% | binnen | 55.89 → 53.33 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.1% | -4.8% | binnen | 55.99 → 53.33 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±13.1% | -8.2% | binnen | 58.09 → 53.33 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±13.1% | -8.2% | binnen | 58.09 → 53.33 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±12.7% | -8.7% | binnen | 58.42 → 53.33 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±13.2% | -6.8% | binnen | 57.21 → 53.33 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±13.4% | -8.4% | binnen | 58.25 → 53.33 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±13.8% | -13.0% | binnen | 61.32 → 53.33 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±13.8% | -13.0% | binnen | 61.32 → 53.33 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±13.8% | -13.0% | binnen | 61.32 → 53.33 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±14.0% | -11.9% | binnen | 60.52 → 53.33 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±14.8% | -11.5% | binnen | 60.29 → 53.33 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±14.4% | -12.0% | binnen | 60.57 → 53.33 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±14.5% | -12.0% | binnen | 60.59 → 53.33 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±14.4% | -15.7% | buiten | 63.29 → 53.33 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±13.7% | -14.9% | buiten | 62.64 → 53.33 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±14.8% | -12.6% | binnen | 61.00 → 53.33 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±14.8% | -12.6% | binnen | 61.00 → 53.33 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±14.6% | -14.0% | binnen | 62.04 → 53.33 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±14.6% | -14.0% | binnen | 62.04 → 53.33 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±1.1% | +0.0% | binnen | 57.21 → 57.21 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±2.4% | -1.8% | binnen | 58.25 → 57.21 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.7% | -6.7% | buiten | 61.32 → 57.21 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.7% | -6.7% | buiten | 61.32 → 57.21 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.7% | -6.7% | buiten | 61.32 → 57.21 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.8% | -5.5% | buiten | 60.52 → 57.21 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±5.9% | -5.1% | binnen | 60.29 → 57.21 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±6.0% | -5.5% | binnen | 60.57 → 57.21 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±6.1% | -5.6% | binnen | 60.59 → 57.21 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±6.1% | -9.6% | buiten | 63.29 → 57.21 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±7.5% | -8.7% | buiten | 62.64 → 57.21 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±7.0% | -6.2% | binnen | 61.00 → 57.21 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±7.0% | -6.2% | binnen | 61.00 → 57.21 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±7.1% | -7.8% | buiten | 62.04 → 57.21 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±7.1% | -7.8% | buiten | 62.04 → 57.21 |
Uitkomsten vergelijken de geregistreerde bandbreedte met de slotkoers op de expiratiedag. De methodversie wordt per rij weergegeven waar deze afwijkt; huidig: em-1.0.