KMX riwayat pergerakan yang diperkirakan CarMax, Inc.
Setiap hari perdagangan setelah penutupan, kami mencatat apa yang diperhitungkan pasar opsi — per expirasi, sebelum hasilnya diketahui. Ketika suatu expirasi berlalu, hasilnya ditulis di samping estimasi awal. Estimasi tidak pernah direvisi setelah fakta terjadi. Cara membaca statistik ini · merekam sejak Aug 31, 2026
Perbandingan terselesaikan43
Tutup dalam rentang72%
|Aktual| di bawah ekspektasi72%
Rata-rata pergerakan yang diperkirakan±8.9%
Rata-rata pergerakan |aktual|7.8%
Rata-rata kesalahan absolut2.1pt
Implied vs realized, per kedaluwarsa
Untuk setiap expirasi: garis tepi berwarna kuning adalah pergerakan yang diharapkan yang dicatat paling dekat dengan expirasi; batang padat adalah pergerakan saham yang sebenarnya terjadi. Nilai bertanda dicetak di bawah batang.
ekspektasi (direkam)aktual
Sedang dicatat (menunggu hasil)
| Snapshot | Kedaluwarsa | DTE | Spot saat itu | Pergerakan yang diharapkan | Rentang | Metode |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 | Nov 20 | 32 | 51.77 | ±10.5% | 46.34–57.19 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Nov 20 | 35 | 53.43 | ±10.7% | 47.73–59.13 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Nov 20 | 37 | 49.26 | ±11.1% | 43.81–54.71 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Nov 20 | 38 | 50.20 | ±11.0% | 44.70–55.70 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Nov 20 | 42 | 52.70 | ±11.2% | 46.78–58.63 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Nov 20 | 43 | 53.50 | ±11.5% | 47.33–59.67 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Nov 20 | 44 | 55.29 | ±11.7% | 48.81–61.77 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Nov 20 | 45 | 55.20 | ±11.9% | 48.62–61.77 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Nov 20 | 46 | 54.92 | ±12.5% | 48.07–61.77 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Nov 20 | 49 | 55.89 | ±12.7% | 48.79–62.99 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Nov 20 | 50 | 55.99 | ±12.5% | 48.97–63.02 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Nov 20 | 58 | 58.09 | ±16.5% | 48.49–67.69 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Nov 20 | 59 | 58.09 | ±16.5% | 48.49–67.69 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Nov 20 | 60 | 58.42 | ±16.1% | 49.02–67.82 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Nov 20 | 63 | 57.21 | ±16.6% | 47.71–66.71 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Nov 20 | 64 | 58.25 | ±17.8% | 47.90–68.60 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Nov 20 | 65 | 61.32 | ±17.6% | 50.52–72.12 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Nov 20 | 66 | 61.32 | ±17.6% | 50.52–72.12 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Nov 20 | 67 | 61.32 | ±17.6% | 50.52–72.12 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Nov 20 | 70 | 60.52 | ±17.7% | 49.82–71.22 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Nov 20 | 71 | 60.29 | ±18.1% | 49.39–71.19 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Nov 20 | 72 | 60.57 | ±18.9% | 49.12–72.02 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Nov 20 | 73 | 60.59 | ±19.0% | 49.09–72.09 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Nov 20 | 74 | 63.29 | ±17.5% | 52.24–74.34 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Nov 20 | 77 | 62.64 | ±17.8% | 51.49–73.79 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Nov 20 | 78 | 61.00 | ±18.1% | 49.95–72.05 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Nov 20 | 79 | 61.00 | ±18.1% | 49.95–72.05 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Nov 20 | 80 | 62.04 | ±18.0% | 50.89–73.19 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Nov 20 | 81 | 62.04 | ±18.0% | 50.89–73.19 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 19 | Dec 18 | 60 | 51.77 | ±16.9% | 43.02–60.52 | em-1.0 |
Snapshot yang telah diselesaikan
| Snapshot | Kedaluwarsa | Diharapkan | Aktual | Dalam kisaran? | Spot → penutupan |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.1% | -0.2% | di dalam | 53.43 → 53.33 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.1% | +8.3% | di luar | 49.26 → 53.33 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.8% | +6.2% | di luar | 50.20 → 53.33 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.5% | +1.2% | di dalam | 52.70 → 53.33 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.1% | -0.3% | di dalam | 53.50 → 53.33 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.3% | -3.5% | di dalam | 55.29 → 53.33 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.5% | -3.4% | di dalam | 55.20 → 53.33 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.1% | -2.9% | di dalam | 54.92 → 53.33 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.3% | -4.6% | di dalam | 55.89 → 53.33 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.1% | -4.8% | di dalam | 55.99 → 53.33 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±13.1% | -8.2% | di dalam | 58.09 → 53.33 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±13.1% | -8.2% | di dalam | 58.09 → 53.33 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±12.7% | -8.7% | di dalam | 58.42 → 53.33 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±13.2% | -6.8% | di dalam | 57.21 → 53.33 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±13.4% | -8.4% | di dalam | 58.25 → 53.33 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±13.8% | -13.0% | di dalam | 61.32 → 53.33 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±13.8% | -13.0% | di dalam | 61.32 → 53.33 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±13.8% | -13.0% | di dalam | 61.32 → 53.33 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±14.0% | -11.9% | di dalam | 60.52 → 53.33 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±14.8% | -11.5% | di dalam | 60.29 → 53.33 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±14.4% | -12.0% | di dalam | 60.57 → 53.33 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±14.5% | -12.0% | di dalam | 60.59 → 53.33 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±14.4% | -15.7% | di luar | 63.29 → 53.33 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±13.7% | -14.9% | di luar | 62.64 → 53.33 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±14.8% | -12.6% | di dalam | 61.00 → 53.33 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±14.8% | -12.6% | di dalam | 61.00 → 53.33 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±14.6% | -14.0% | di dalam | 62.04 → 53.33 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±14.6% | -14.0% | di dalam | 62.04 → 53.33 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±1.1% | +0.0% | di dalam | 57.21 → 57.21 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±2.4% | -1.8% | di dalam | 58.25 → 57.21 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.7% | -6.7% | di luar | 61.32 → 57.21 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.7% | -6.7% | di luar | 61.32 → 57.21 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.7% | -6.7% | di luar | 61.32 → 57.21 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.8% | -5.5% | di luar | 60.52 → 57.21 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±5.9% | -5.1% | di dalam | 60.29 → 57.21 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±6.0% | -5.5% | di dalam | 60.57 → 57.21 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±6.1% | -5.6% | di dalam | 60.59 → 57.21 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±6.1% | -9.6% | di luar | 63.29 → 57.21 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±7.5% | -8.7% | di luar | 62.64 → 57.21 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±7.0% | -6.2% | di dalam | 61.00 → 57.21 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±7.0% | -6.2% | di dalam | 61.00 → 57.21 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±7.1% | -7.8% | di luar | 62.04 → 57.21 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±7.1% | -7.8% | di luar | 62.04 → 57.21 |
Hasil membandingkan rentang yang tercatat dengan harga penutupan pada hari kedaluwarsa. Versi metode ditampilkan per baris jika berbeda; saat ini: em-1.0.