KMI historial de movimiento esperado Kinder Morgan, Inc.
Cada día de negociación, tras el cierre, registramos lo que el mercado de opciones estaba descontando — por vencimiento, antes de conocerse el resultado. Cuando un vencimiento finaliza, el resultado se anota junto a la estimación original. Las estimaciones nunca se revisan a posteriori. Cómo interpretar estas estadísticas · registrando desde Aug 31, 2026
Comparaciones resueltas93
Cierre dentro del rango78%
|Real| por debajo de lo esperado78%
Movimiento esperado promedio±3.6%
Movimiento |real| promedio2.2%
Error medio abs.1.8pt
Implícita vs realizada, por vencimiento
Para cada vencimiento: el contorno ámbar es el movimiento esperado registrado más cerca del vencimiento; la barra sólida es lo que la acción hizo realmente. Los valores con signo aparecen bajo las barras.
esperado (registrado)real
Registrado actualmente (pendiente de resultado)
| Instantánea | Vence | DTE | Precio entonces | Movimiento esperado | Rango | Método |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16 | Oct 16 | 0 | 34.17 | ±0.7% | 33.92–34.41 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 16 | 2 | 33.35 | ±2.1% | 32.66–34.05 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 16 | 3 | 33.43 | ±1.8% | 32.84–34.02 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 16 | 7 | 32.53 | ±2.6% | 31.70–33.36 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 16 | 8 | 32.32 | ±2.6% | 31.48–33.17 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 16 | 9 | 31.81 | ±2.9% | 30.89–32.73 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 16 | 10 | 32.16 | ±3.2% | 31.12–33.20 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 16 | 11 | 31.37 | ±3.1% | 30.39–32.35 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 16 | 14 | 31.07 | ±3.4% | 30.01–32.12 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 16 | 15 | 30.50 | ±3.6% | 29.39–31.61 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 16 | 23 | 31.27 | ±5.0% | 29.72–32.82 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 16 | 24 | 31.27 | ±5.0% | 29.72–32.82 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 16 | 25 | 31.81 | ±5.0% | 30.22–33.40 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 16 | 28 | 31.83 | ±5.3% | 30.16–33.51 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 16 | 29 | 31.33 | ±5.6% | 29.57–33.09 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 16 | 30 | 30.44 | ±6.4% | 28.49–32.39 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 16 | 31 | 30.68 | ±5.9% | 28.87–32.50 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 16 | 32 | 30.90 | ±5.9% | 29.09–32.72 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 16 | 35 | 30.91 | ±6.0% | 29.05–32.78 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 16 | 36 | 30.99 | ±6.2% | 29.05–32.92 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 16 | 37 | 31.48 | ±6.7% | 29.36–33.59 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 16 | 38 | 31.98 | ±6.3% | 29.95–34.01 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 16 | 39 | 31.40 | ±6.5% | 29.36–33.45 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 16 | 42 | 31.42 | ±6.5% | 29.38–33.47 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 16 | 43 | 31.66 | ±6.8% | 29.52–33.80 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Oct 16 | 44 | 31.93 | ±6.9% | 29.75–34.12 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Oct 16 | 45 | 32.14 | ±6.9% | 29.93–34.35 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Oct 16 | 46 | 32.12 | ±6.9% | 29.91–34.33 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 34.17 | ±3.4% | 32.99–35.34 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 33.35 | ±3.8% | 32.09–34.60 | em-1.0 |
Instantáneas resueltas
| Instantánea | Vencido | Esperado | Real | ¿Dentro del rango? | Precio → cierre |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±0.5% | -0.1% | dentro | 32.53 → 32.49 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.3% | +0.5% | dentro | 32.32 → 32.49 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.3% | +2.1% | fuera | 31.81 → 32.49 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.0% | +1.0% | dentro | 32.16 → 32.49 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.2% | +3.6% | fuera | 31.37 → 32.49 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.4% | +4.6% | fuera | 31.07 → 32.49 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.0% | +6.5% | fuera | 30.50 → 32.49 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.4% | +3.9% | dentro | 31.27 → 32.49 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.4% | +3.9% | dentro | 31.27 → 32.49 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.4% | +2.1% | dentro | 31.81 → 32.49 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.5% | +2.1% | dentro | 31.83 → 32.49 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.9% | +3.7% | dentro | 31.33 → 32.49 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.7% | +6.7% | fuera | 30.44 → 32.49 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.2% | +5.9% | fuera | 30.68 → 32.49 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.3% | +5.1% | dentro | 30.90 → 32.49 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.5% | +5.1% | dentro | 30.91 → 32.49 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.5% | +4.8% | dentro | 30.99 → 32.49 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.9% | +3.2% | dentro | 31.48 → 32.49 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.6% | +1.6% | dentro | 31.98 → 32.49 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.8% | +3.5% | dentro | 31.40 → 32.49 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.8% | +3.4% | dentro | 31.42 → 32.49 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.7% | +2.6% | dentro | 31.66 → 32.49 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.0% | +1.7% | dentro | 31.93 → 32.49 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.9% | +1.1% | dentro | 32.14 → 32.49 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.6% | +1.2% | dentro | 32.12 → 32.49 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±0.2% | +0.0% | dentro | 31.07 → 31.07 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.1% | +1.9% | fuera | 30.50 → 31.07 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.4% | -0.6% | dentro | 31.27 → 31.07 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.4% | -0.6% | dentro | 31.27 → 31.07 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.4% | -2.3% | dentro | 31.81 → 31.07 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.6% | -2.4% | dentro | 31.83 → 31.07 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.9% | -0.8% | dentro | 31.33 → 31.07 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.4% | +2.1% | dentro | 30.44 → 31.07 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.4% | +1.3% | dentro | 30.68 → 31.07 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.4% | +0.6% | dentro | 30.90 → 31.07 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.7% | +0.5% | dentro | 30.91 → 31.07 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.8% | +0.3% | dentro | 30.99 → 31.07 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.2% | -1.3% | dentro | 31.48 → 31.07 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.1% | -2.8% | dentro | 31.98 → 31.07 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.3% | -1.1% | dentro | 31.40 → 31.07 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.3% | -1.1% | dentro | 31.42 → 31.07 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.1% | -1.9% | dentro | 31.66 → 31.07 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.4% | -2.7% | dentro | 31.93 → 31.07 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.5% | -3.3% | dentro | 32.14 → 31.07 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.6% | -3.3% | dentro | 32.12 → 31.07 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±2.2% | -1.7% | dentro | 31.27 → 30.75 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±2.2% | -1.7% | dentro | 31.27 → 30.75 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±2.3% | -3.3% | fuera | 31.81 → 30.75 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±2.6% | -3.4% | fuera | 31.83 → 30.75 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±2.9% | -1.9% | dentro | 31.33 → 30.75 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±3.4% | +1.0% | dentro | 30.44 → 30.75 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±3.5% | +0.2% | dentro | 30.68 → 30.75 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±3.6% | -0.5% | dentro | 30.90 → 30.75 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±3.7% | -0.5% | dentro | 30.91 → 30.75 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.2% | -0.8% | dentro | 30.99 → 30.75 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.4% | -2.3% | dentro | 31.48 → 30.75 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.2% | -3.8% | dentro | 31.98 → 30.75 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.4% | -2.1% | dentro | 31.40 → 30.75 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.4% | -2.1% | dentro | 31.42 → 30.75 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.6% | -2.9% | dentro | 31.66 → 30.75 |
Los resultados comparan el rango registrado con el precio de cierre en el día de expiración. La versión del método se muestra por fila cuando difiere; actual: em-1.0.