KLAC historial de movimiento esperado KLA Corporation
Cada día de negociación, tras el cierre, registramos lo que el mercado de opciones estaba descontando — por vencimiento, antes de conocerse el resultado. Cuando un vencimiento finaliza, el resultado se anota junto a la estimación original. Las estimaciones nunca se revisan a posteriori. Cómo interpretar estas estadísticas · registrando desde Aug 31, 2026
Comparaciones resueltas121
Cierre dentro del rango60%
|Real| por debajo de lo esperado60%
Movimiento esperado promedio±8.5%
Movimiento |real| promedio8.0%
Error medio abs.4.7pt
Implícita vs realizada, por vencimiento
Para cada vencimiento: el contorno ámbar es el movimiento esperado registrado más cerca del vencimiento; la barra sólida es lo que la acción hizo realmente. Los valores con signo aparecen bajo las barras.
esperado (registrado)real
Registrado actualmente (pendiente de resultado)
| Instantánea | Vence | DTE | Precio entonces | Movimiento esperado | Rango | Método |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 | Oct 23 | 4 | 166.89 | ±5.3% | 157.99–175.79 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 167.67 | ±6.9% | 156.02–179.32 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 178.90 | ±8.2% | 164.20–193.60 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 23 | 10 | 184.40 | ±7.5% | 170.50–198.30 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 23 | 14 | 195.93 | ±8.8% | 178.68–213.18 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 23 | 15 | 197.15 | ±9.6% | 178.25–216.05 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 23 | 16 | 196.70 | ±9.1% | 178.75–214.65 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 23 | 17 | 197.67 | ±9.3% | 179.27–216.07 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 23 | 18 | 207.10 | ±9.5% | 187.40–226.80 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 23 | 21 | 206.60 | ±10.3% | 185.35–227.85 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 23 | 22 | 200.34 | ±10.9% | 178.49–222.19 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 23 | 30 | 188.46 | ±13.0% | 163.91–213.01 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 23 | 31 | 188.12 | ±13.1% | 163.57–212.67 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 23 | 32 | 184.05 | ±13.5% | 159.15–208.95 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 23 | 35 | 176.85 | ±13.2% | 153.45–200.25 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 23 | 36 | 168.88 | ±13.4% | 146.28–191.48 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 23 | 37 | 167.16 | ±13.8% | 144.06–190.26 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 23 | 38 | 168.46 | ±14.4% | 144.21–192.71 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 23 | 39 | 170.26 | ±14.7% | 145.26–195.26 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 23 | 42 | 180.55 | ±14.7% | 154.00–207.10 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 23 | 43 | 177.16 | ±15.5% | 149.66–204.66 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 23 | 44 | 183.02 | ±16.0% | 153.82–212.22 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 23 | 45 | 189.63 | ±16.2% | 158.98–220.28 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 23 | 46 | 185.62 | ±15.8% | 156.22–215.02 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 23 | 49 | 186.47 | ±15.7% | 157.16–215.76 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 23 | 50 | 172.95 | ±15.4% | 146.30–199.60 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 19 | Oct 30 | 11 | 166.89 | ±9.9% | 150.39–183.39 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 30 | 14 | 167.67 | ±10.8% | 149.62–185.72 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 30 | 16 | 178.90 | ±11.5% | 158.40–199.40 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 30 | 17 | 184.40 | ±11.7% | 162.85–205.95 | em-1.0 |
Instantáneas resueltas
| Instantánea | Vencido | Esperado | Real | ¿Dentro del rango? | Precio → cierre |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±1.8% | -1.2% | dentro | 167.67 → 165.74 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.2% | -7.4% | fuera | 178.90 → 165.74 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.6% | -10.1% | fuera | 184.40 → 165.74 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.3% | -15.4% | fuera | 195.93 → 165.74 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.7% | -15.9% | fuera | 197.15 → 165.74 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.0% | -15.7% | fuera | 196.70 → 165.74 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.4% | -16.2% | fuera | 197.67 → 165.74 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.7% | -20.0% | fuera | 207.10 → 165.74 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.4% | -19.8% | fuera | 206.60 → 165.74 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.2% | -17.3% | fuera | 200.34 → 165.74 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.3% | -12.1% | fuera | 188.46 → 165.74 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.3% | -11.9% | fuera | 188.12 → 165.74 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.5% | -9.9% | dentro | 184.05 → 165.74 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±12.0% | -6.3% | dentro | 176.85 → 165.74 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.8% | -1.9% | dentro | 168.88 → 165.74 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±12.0% | -0.8% | dentro | 167.16 → 165.74 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±12.4% | -1.6% | dentro | 168.46 → 165.74 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±12.7% | -2.7% | dentro | 170.26 → 165.74 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±12.7% | -8.2% | dentro | 180.55 → 165.74 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±13.9% | -6.4% | dentro | 177.16 → 165.74 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±14.1% | -9.4% | dentro | 183.02 → 165.74 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±14.8% | -12.6% | dentro | 189.63 → 165.74 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±15.1% | -10.7% | dentro | 185.62 → 165.74 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±14.3% | -11.1% | dentro | 186.47 → 165.74 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±14.0% | -4.2% | dentro | 172.95 → 165.74 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±14.3% | -3.6% | dentro | 171.86 → 165.74 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±14.2% | -3.5% | dentro | 171.78 → 165.74 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±14.6% | -5.5% | dentro | 175.41 → 165.74 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±0.7% | -0.2% | dentro | 195.93 → 195.57 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.3% | -0.8% | dentro | 197.15 → 195.57 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.7% | -0.6% | dentro | 196.70 → 195.57 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.8% | -1.1% | dentro | 197.67 → 195.57 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.8% | -5.6% | fuera | 207.10 → 195.57 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.5% | -5.3% | dentro | 206.60 → 195.57 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.0% | -2.4% | dentro | 200.34 → 195.57 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.5% | +3.8% | dentro | 188.46 → 195.57 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.5% | +4.0% | dentro | 188.12 → 195.57 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.5% | +6.3% | dentro | 184.05 → 195.57 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.6% | +10.6% | fuera | 176.85 → 195.57 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.1% | +15.8% | fuera | 168.88 → 195.57 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.1% | +17.0% | fuera | 167.16 → 195.57 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.7% | +16.1% | fuera | 168.46 → 195.57 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.2% | +14.9% | fuera | 170.26 → 195.57 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±12.0% | +8.3% | dentro | 180.55 → 195.57 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±12.4% | +10.4% | dentro | 177.16 → 195.57 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±13.2% | +6.9% | dentro | 183.02 → 195.57 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±13.1% | +3.1% | dentro | 189.63 → 195.57 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±13.2% | +5.4% | dentro | 185.62 → 195.57 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±13.1% | +4.9% | dentro | 186.47 → 195.57 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±12.1% | +13.1% | fuera | 172.95 → 195.57 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±13.0% | +13.8% | fuera | 171.86 → 195.57 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±13.0% | +13.8% | fuera | 171.78 → 195.57 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±14.1% | +11.5% | dentro | 175.41 → 195.57 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.1% | +0.1% | dentro | 206.60 → 206.89 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±2.9% | +3.3% | fuera | 200.34 → 206.89 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±7.1% | +9.8% | fuera | 188.46 → 206.89 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±7.1% | +10.0% | fuera | 188.12 → 206.89 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±7.7% | +12.4% | fuera | 184.05 → 206.89 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.3% | +17.0% | fuera | 176.85 → 206.89 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.4% | +22.5% | fuera | 168.88 → 206.89 |
Los resultados comparan el rango registrado con el precio de cierre en el día de expiración. La versión del método se muestra por fila cuando difiere; actual: em-1.0.