KKR histórico de movimento esperado KKR & Co. Inc.
A cada dia útil, após o fechamento, registramos o que o mercado de opções estava precificando — por expiração, antes de o resultado ser conhecido. Quando uma expiração passa, o resultado é registrado ao lado da estimativa original. As estimativas nunca são revisadas após o fato. Como interpretar estas estatísticas · registrando desde Aug 31, 2026
Comparações resolvidas93
Fechar dentro do intervalo37%
|Real| abaixo do esperado37%
Movimento esperado médio±6.0%
Movimento |real| médio7.3%
Erro médio absoluto2.7pt
Implícita vs. realizada, por vencimento
Para cada expiração: o contorno âmbar é o movimento esperado registrado mais próximo do vencimento; a barra sólida é o que a ação realmente fez. Os valores com sinal aparecem abaixo das barras.
esperado (registrado)real
Atualmente registado (a aguardar resultado)
| Snapshot | Expira | DTE | Spot na época | Movimento esperado | Intervalo | Método |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16 | Oct 16 | 0 | 86.21 | ±1.0% | 85.36–87.06 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 16 | 2 | 84.91 | ±3.0% | 82.36–87.46 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 16 | 3 | 87.40 | ±3.4% | 84.42–90.38 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 16 | 7 | 90.95 | ±4.4% | 86.92–94.97 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 16 | 8 | 88.82 | ±4.6% | 84.77–92.87 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 16 | 9 | 89.87 | ±4.8% | 85.59–94.14 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 16 | 10 | 90.67 | ±5.3% | 85.89–95.44 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 16 | 11 | 89.96 | ±5.6% | 84.91–95.01 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 16 | 14 | 90.70 | ±6.3% | 85.03–96.38 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 16 | 15 | 91.24 | ±6.4% | 85.36–97.11 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 16 | 23 | 98.25 | ±7.8% | 90.60–105.90 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 16 | 24 | 100.85 | ±7.7% | 93.05–108.65 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 16 | 25 | 100.84 | ±7.8% | 93.00–108.69 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 16 | 28 | 97.90 | ±8.4% | 89.70–106.10 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 16 | 29 | 98.86 | ±8.6% | 90.36–107.36 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 16 | 30 | 100.00 | ±9.1% | 90.95–109.05 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 16 | 31 | 101.30 | ±9.7% | 91.50–111.10 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 16 | 32 | 101.30 | ±9.7% | 91.50–111.10 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 16 | 35 | 100.50 | ±9.9% | 90.60–110.40 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 16 | 36 | 104.09 | ±9.9% | 93.74–114.44 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 16 | 37 | 103.13 | ±10.0% | 92.83–113.43 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 16 | 38 | 107.02 | ±10.3% | 96.02–118.02 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 16 | 39 | 106.43 | ±10.4% | 95.33–117.53 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 16 | 42 | 106.43 | ±10.4% | 95.33–117.53 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 16 | 43 | 106.43 | ±10.4% | 95.33–117.53 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Oct 16 | 44 | 106.41 | ±10.3% | 95.41–117.41 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Oct 16 | 45 | 109.72 | ±10.0% | 98.72–120.72 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Oct 16 | 46 | 108.68 | ±11.0% | 96.68–120.68 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 19 | Oct 23 | 4 | 87.01 | ±3.9% | 83.61–90.41 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 86.21 | ±4.9% | 82.01–90.41 | em-1.0 |
Snapshots encerrados
| Snapshot | Expirado | Esperado | Real | Dentro do intervalo? | Spot → fechamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.4% | +0.0% | dentro | 90.95 → 90.95 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.6% | +2.4% | fora | 88.82 → 90.95 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.8% | +1.2% | dentro | 89.87 → 90.95 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.0% | +0.3% | dentro | 90.67 → 90.95 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.6% | +1.1% | dentro | 89.96 → 90.95 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.5% | +0.3% | dentro | 90.70 → 90.95 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.0% | -0.3% | dentro | 91.24 → 90.95 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.1% | -7.4% | fora | 98.25 → 90.95 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.9% | -9.8% | fora | 100.85 → 90.95 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.0% | -9.8% | fora | 100.84 → 90.95 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.7% | -7.1% | dentro | 97.90 → 90.95 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.5% | -8.0% | fora | 98.86 → 90.95 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.0% | -9.1% | fora | 100.00 → 90.95 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.1% | -10.2% | fora | 101.30 → 90.95 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.1% | -10.2% | fora | 101.30 → 90.95 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.0% | -9.5% | fora | 100.50 → 90.95 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.9% | -12.6% | fora | 104.09 → 90.95 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.4% | -11.8% | fora | 103.13 → 90.95 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.8% | -15.0% | fora | 107.02 → 90.95 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.7% | -14.5% | fora | 106.43 → 90.95 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.7% | -14.5% | fora | 106.43 → 90.95 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.7% | -14.5% | fora | 106.43 → 90.95 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.3% | -14.5% | fora | 106.41 → 90.95 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.0% | -17.1% | fora | 109.72 → 90.95 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.2% | -16.3% | fora | 108.68 → 90.95 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±0.9% | -0.5% | dentro | 90.70 → 90.29 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±2.2% | -1.0% | dentro | 91.24 → 90.29 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.5% | -8.1% | fora | 98.25 → 90.29 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.6% | -10.5% | fora | 100.85 → 90.29 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.7% | -10.5% | fora | 100.84 → 90.29 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.2% | -7.8% | fora | 97.90 → 90.29 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.2% | -8.7% | fora | 98.86 → 90.29 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±7.2% | -9.7% | fora | 100.00 → 90.29 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±7.8% | -10.9% | fora | 101.30 → 90.29 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±7.8% | -10.9% | fora | 101.30 → 90.29 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.1% | -10.2% | fora | 100.50 → 90.29 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±7.9% | -13.3% | fora | 104.09 → 90.29 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.2% | -12.4% | fora | 103.13 → 90.29 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.1% | -15.6% | fora | 107.02 → 90.29 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.5% | -15.2% | fora | 106.43 → 90.29 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.5% | -15.2% | fora | 106.43 → 90.29 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.5% | -15.2% | fora | 106.43 → 90.29 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.7% | -15.1% | fora | 106.41 → 90.29 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.6% | -17.7% | fora | 109.72 → 90.29 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.7% | -16.9% | fora | 108.68 → 90.29 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±3.5% | -1.6% | dentro | 98.25 → 96.67 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±3.8% | -4.1% | fora | 100.85 → 96.67 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±3.9% | -4.1% | fora | 100.84 → 96.67 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.6% | -1.3% | dentro | 97.90 → 96.67 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.7% | -2.2% | dentro | 98.86 → 96.67 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±5.5% | -3.3% | dentro | 100.00 → 96.67 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±6.1% | -4.6% | dentro | 101.30 → 96.67 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±6.1% | -4.6% | dentro | 101.30 → 96.67 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±6.7% | -3.8% | dentro | 100.50 → 96.67 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±6.8% | -7.1% | fora | 104.09 → 96.67 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±6.8% | -6.3% | dentro | 103.13 → 96.67 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±6.9% | -9.7% | fora | 107.02 → 96.67 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±7.3% | -9.2% | fora | 106.43 → 96.67 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±7.3% | -9.2% | fora | 106.43 → 96.67 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±7.3% | -9.2% | fora | 106.43 → 96.67 |
Os resultados comparam o intervalo registado com o preço de fecho no dia de expiração. A versão do método é indicada por linha quando difere; atual: em-1.0.