KKR historial de movimiento esperado KKR & Co. Inc.
Cada día de negociación, tras el cierre, registramos lo que el mercado de opciones estaba descontando — por vencimiento, antes de conocerse el resultado. Cuando un vencimiento finaliza, el resultado se anota junto a la estimación original. Las estimaciones nunca se revisan a posteriori. Cómo interpretar estas estadísticas · registrando desde Aug 31, 2026
Comparaciones resueltas121
Cierre dentro del rango36%
|Real| por debajo de lo esperado36%
Movimiento esperado promedio±6.4%
Movimiento |real| promedio8.4%
Error medio abs.3.2pt
Implícita vs realizada, por vencimiento
Para cada vencimiento: el contorno ámbar es el movimiento esperado registrado más cerca del vencimiento; la barra sólida es lo que la acción hizo realmente. Los valores con signo aparecen bajo las barras.
esperado (registrado)real
Registrado actualmente (pendiente de resultado)
| Instantánea | Vence | DTE | Precio entonces | Movimiento esperado | Rango | Método |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 | Oct 23 | 4 | 87.01 | ±3.9% | 83.61–90.41 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 86.21 | ±4.9% | 82.01–90.41 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 84.91 | ±5.3% | 80.38–89.43 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 23 | 10 | 87.40 | ±5.7% | 82.45–92.35 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 23 | 14 | 90.95 | ±6.1% | 85.40–96.50 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 23 | 15 | 88.82 | ±6.5% | 83.02–94.62 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 23 | 16 | 89.87 | ±6.3% | 84.22–95.52 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 23 | 17 | 90.67 | ±6.6% | 84.67–96.67 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 23 | 18 | 89.96 | ±6.9% | 83.78–96.14 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 23 | 21 | 90.70 | ±7.3% | 84.10–97.30 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 23 | 22 | 91.24 | ±7.6% | 84.29–98.19 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 23 | 30 | 98.25 | ±9.6% | 88.85–107.65 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 23 | 31 | 100.85 | ±9.0% | 91.80–109.90 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 23 | 32 | 100.84 | ±9.1% | 91.64–110.05 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 23 | 35 | 97.90 | ±9.6% | 88.55–107.25 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 23 | 36 | 98.86 | ±9.6% | 89.36–108.36 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 23 | 37 | 100.00 | ±10.6% | 89.45–110.55 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 23 | 38 | 101.30 | ±10.9% | 90.30–112.30 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 23 | 39 | 101.30 | ±10.9% | 90.30–112.30 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 23 | 42 | 100.50 | ±10.9% | 89.55–111.45 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 23 | 43 | 104.09 | ±10.8% | 92.89–115.29 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 23 | 44 | 103.13 | ±11.2% | 91.58–114.68 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 23 | 45 | 107.02 | ±10.9% | 95.37–118.67 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 19 | Oct 30 | 11 | 87.01 | ±6.1% | 81.69–92.33 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 30 | 14 | 86.21 | ±6.8% | 80.33–92.08 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 30 | 16 | 84.91 | ±7.3% | 78.71–91.11 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 30 | 17 | 87.40 | ±7.4% | 80.95–93.85 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 30 | 21 | 90.95 | ±7.6% | 84.00–97.90 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 30 | 22 | 88.82 | ±7.6% | 82.05–95.60 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 30 | 23 | 89.87 | ±8.1% | 82.62–97.12 | em-1.0 |
Instantáneas resueltas
| Instantánea | Vencido | Esperado | Real | ¿Dentro del rango? | Precio → cierre |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±1.0% | +0.0% | dentro | 86.21 → 86.21 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.0% | +1.5% | dentro | 84.91 → 86.21 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.4% | -1.4% | dentro | 87.40 → 86.21 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.4% | -5.2% | fuera | 90.95 → 86.21 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.6% | -2.9% | dentro | 88.82 → 86.21 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.8% | -4.1% | dentro | 89.87 → 86.21 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.3% | -4.9% | dentro | 90.67 → 86.21 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.6% | -4.2% | dentro | 89.96 → 86.21 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.3% | -5.0% | dentro | 90.70 → 86.21 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.4% | -5.5% | dentro | 91.24 → 86.21 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.8% | -12.3% | fuera | 98.25 → 86.21 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.7% | -14.5% | fuera | 100.85 → 86.21 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.8% | -14.5% | fuera | 100.84 → 86.21 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.4% | -11.9% | fuera | 97.90 → 86.21 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.6% | -12.8% | fuera | 98.86 → 86.21 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.1% | -13.8% | fuera | 100.00 → 86.21 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.7% | -14.9% | fuera | 101.30 → 86.21 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.7% | -14.9% | fuera | 101.30 → 86.21 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.9% | -14.2% | fuera | 100.50 → 86.21 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.9% | -17.2% | fuera | 104.09 → 86.21 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.0% | -16.4% | fuera | 103.13 → 86.21 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.3% | -19.4% | fuera | 107.02 → 86.21 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.4% | -19.0% | fuera | 106.43 → 86.21 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.4% | -19.0% | fuera | 106.43 → 86.21 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.4% | -19.0% | fuera | 106.43 → 86.21 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.3% | -19.0% | fuera | 106.41 → 86.21 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.0% | -21.4% | fuera | 109.72 → 86.21 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.0% | -20.7% | fuera | 108.68 → 86.21 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.4% | +0.0% | dentro | 90.95 → 90.95 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.6% | +2.4% | fuera | 88.82 → 90.95 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.8% | +1.2% | dentro | 89.87 → 90.95 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.0% | +0.3% | dentro | 90.67 → 90.95 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.6% | +1.1% | dentro | 89.96 → 90.95 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.5% | +0.3% | dentro | 90.70 → 90.95 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.0% | -0.3% | dentro | 91.24 → 90.95 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.1% | -7.4% | fuera | 98.25 → 90.95 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.9% | -9.8% | fuera | 100.85 → 90.95 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.0% | -9.8% | fuera | 100.84 → 90.95 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.7% | -7.1% | dentro | 97.90 → 90.95 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.5% | -8.0% | fuera | 98.86 → 90.95 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.0% | -9.1% | fuera | 100.00 → 90.95 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.1% | -10.2% | fuera | 101.30 → 90.95 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.1% | -10.2% | fuera | 101.30 → 90.95 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.0% | -9.5% | fuera | 100.50 → 90.95 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.9% | -12.6% | fuera | 104.09 → 90.95 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.4% | -11.8% | fuera | 103.13 → 90.95 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.8% | -15.0% | fuera | 107.02 → 90.95 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.7% | -14.5% | fuera | 106.43 → 90.95 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.7% | -14.5% | fuera | 106.43 → 90.95 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.7% | -14.5% | fuera | 106.43 → 90.95 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.3% | -14.5% | fuera | 106.41 → 90.95 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.0% | -17.1% | fuera | 109.72 → 90.95 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.2% | -16.3% | fuera | 108.68 → 90.95 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±0.9% | -0.5% | dentro | 90.70 → 90.29 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±2.2% | -1.0% | dentro | 91.24 → 90.29 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.5% | -8.1% | fuera | 98.25 → 90.29 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.6% | -10.5% | fuera | 100.85 → 90.29 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.7% | -10.5% | fuera | 100.84 → 90.29 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.2% | -7.8% | fuera | 97.90 → 90.29 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.2% | -8.7% | fuera | 98.86 → 90.29 |
Los resultados comparan el rango registrado con el precio de cierre en el día de expiración. La versión del método se muestra por fila cuando difiere; actual: em-1.0.