JPM geschiedenis verwachte beweging JPMorgan Chase & Co.
Elke handelsdag na de sluiting leggen we vast wat de optiemarkt inprijst — per vervaldatum, voordat de uitkomst bekend is. Wanneer een vervaldatum passeert, wordt de uitkomst naast de oorspronkelijke schatting vermeld. Schattingen worden achteraf nooit herzien. Hoe deze statistieken te lezen · vastlegging sinds Aug 31, 2026
Vergelijkingen opgelost121
Sluiting binnen bandbreedte69%
|Werkelijk| onder verwacht69%
Gem. verwachte beweging±3.7%
Gem. |werkelijke| beweging3.1%
Gem. abs. fout1.4pt
Impliciet vs. gerealiseerd, per expiratie
Voor elke vervaldatum: de oranje omlijning is de expected move die het dichtst bij de vervaldatum is vastgelegd; de solide balk is wat het aandeel werkelijk heeft gedaan. Getekende waarden staan onder de balken vermeld.
verwacht (vastgelegd)werkelijk
Momenteel vastgelegd (uitkomst nog onbekend)
| Snapshot | Vervalt | DTE | Spot destijds | Expected move | Bereik | Methode |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 | Oct 23 | 4 | 334.01 | ±2.0% | 327.50–340.52 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 339.50 | ±2.4% | 331.27–347.73 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 334.82 | ±3.1% | 324.35–345.30 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 23 | 10 | 332.00 | ±3.2% | 321.43–342.57 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 23 | 14 | 333.25 | ±4.4% | 318.45–348.05 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 23 | 15 | 332.07 | ±4.8% | 316.20–347.95 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 23 | 16 | 329.70 | ±4.7% | 314.12–345.27 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 23 | 17 | 331.62 | ±4.7% | 316.02–347.22 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 23 | 18 | 332.75 | ±4.6% | 317.30–348.20 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 23 | 21 | 332.44 | ±5.1% | 315.62–349.27 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 23 | 22 | 333.28 | ±5.4% | 315.15–351.40 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 23 | 30 | 340.61 | ±6.1% | 319.81–361.41 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 23 | 31 | 340.00 | ±6.1% | 319.20–360.80 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 23 | 32 | 352.00 | ±5.9% | 331.27–372.73 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 23 | 35 | 349.05 | ±6.0% | 328.10–370.00 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 23 | 36 | 349.12 | ±6.1% | 327.87–370.37 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 23 | 37 | 348.00 | ±6.6% | 325.20–370.80 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 23 | 38 | 352.44 | ±6.7% | 328.96–375.92 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 23 | 39 | 350.34 | ±6.6% | 327.14–373.54 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 23 | 42 | 356.23 | ±6.6% | 332.78–379.68 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 23 | 43 | 353.57 | ±6.8% | 329.55–377.60 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 23 | 44 | 354.75 | ±7.0% | 330.05–379.45 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 23 | 45 | 354.00 | ±6.9% | 329.48–378.52 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 23 | 46 | 358.92 | ±7.0% | 333.80–384.05 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 23 | 49 | 358.28 | ±7.0% | 333.15–383.40 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 23 | 50 | 362.06 | ±6.9% | 337.08–387.04 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 19 | Oct 30 | 11 | 334.01 | ±3.2% | 323.49–344.54 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 30 | 14 | 339.50 | ±3.5% | 327.75–351.25 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 30 | 16 | 334.82 | ±4.0% | 321.44–348.19 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 30 | 17 | 332.00 | ±4.0% | 318.68–345.32 | em-1.0 |
Vastgelegde snapshots
| Snapshot | Verlopen | Verwacht | Werkelijk | Binnen bereik? | Spot → slotkoers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±0.2% | +0.1% | binnen | 339.50 → 339.72 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±1.8% | +1.5% | binnen | 334.82 → 339.72 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.3% | +2.3% | binnen | 332.00 → 339.72 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.6% | +1.9% | binnen | 333.25 → 339.72 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.9% | +2.3% | binnen | 332.07 → 339.72 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.9% | +3.0% | binnen | 329.70 → 339.72 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.1% | +2.4% | binnen | 331.62 → 339.72 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.1% | +2.1% | binnen | 332.75 → 339.72 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.4% | +2.2% | binnen | 332.44 → 339.72 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.8% | +1.9% | binnen | 333.28 → 339.72 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.6% | -0.3% | binnen | 340.61 → 339.72 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.6% | -0.1% | binnen | 340.00 → 339.72 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.5% | -3.5% | binnen | 352.00 → 339.72 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.7% | -2.7% | binnen | 349.05 → 339.72 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.7% | -2.7% | binnen | 349.12 → 339.72 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.0% | -2.4% | binnen | 348.00 → 339.72 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.1% | -3.6% | binnen | 352.44 → 339.72 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.1% | -3.0% | binnen | 350.34 → 339.72 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.0% | -4.6% | binnen | 356.23 → 339.72 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.4% | -3.9% | binnen | 353.57 → 339.72 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.6% | -4.2% | binnen | 354.75 → 339.72 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.6% | -4.0% | binnen | 354.00 → 339.72 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.5% | -5.3% | binnen | 358.92 → 339.72 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.6% | -5.2% | binnen | 358.28 → 339.72 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.5% | -6.2% | binnen | 362.06 → 339.72 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.7% | -4.6% | binnen | 356.22 → 339.72 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.8% | -4.5% | binnen | 355.80 → 339.72 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.6% | -4.6% | binnen | 356.13 → 339.72 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±0.2% | -0.1% | binnen | 333.25 → 332.99 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.1% | +0.3% | binnen | 332.07 → 332.99 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.4% | +1.0% | binnen | 329.70 → 332.99 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.7% | +0.4% | binnen | 331.62 → 332.99 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.1% | +0.1% | binnen | 332.75 → 332.99 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.3% | +0.2% | binnen | 332.44 → 332.99 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.7% | -0.1% | binnen | 333.28 → 332.99 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.1% | -2.2% | binnen | 340.61 → 332.99 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.1% | -2.1% | binnen | 340.00 → 332.99 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.0% | -5.4% | buiten | 352.00 → 332.99 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.2% | -4.6% | buiten | 349.05 → 332.99 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.4% | -4.6% | buiten | 349.12 → 332.99 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.8% | -4.3% | binnen | 348.00 → 332.99 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.9% | -5.5% | buiten | 352.44 → 332.99 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.8% | -5.0% | buiten | 350.34 → 332.99 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.8% | -6.5% | buiten | 356.23 → 332.99 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.1% | -5.8% | buiten | 353.57 → 332.99 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.3% | -6.1% | buiten | 354.75 → 332.99 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.3% | -5.9% | buiten | 354.00 → 332.99 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.1% | -7.2% | buiten | 358.92 → 332.99 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.1% | -7.1% | buiten | 358.28 → 332.99 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.3% | -8.0% | buiten | 362.06 → 332.99 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.6% | -6.5% | buiten | 356.22 → 332.99 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.5% | -6.4% | buiten | 355.80 → 332.99 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.4% | -6.5% | buiten | 356.13 → 332.99 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±0.2% | -0.0% | binnen | 332.44 → 332.38 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.2% | -0.3% | binnen | 333.28 → 332.38 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.2% | -2.4% | binnen | 340.61 → 332.38 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.2% | -2.2% | binnen | 340.00 → 332.38 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.1% | -5.6% | buiten | 352.00 → 332.38 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.3% | -4.8% | buiten | 349.05 → 332.38 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.5% | -4.8% | buiten | 349.12 → 332.38 |
Uitkomsten vergelijken de geregistreerde bandbreedte met de slotkoers op de expiratiedag. De methodversie wordt per rij weergegeven waar deze afwijkt; huidig: em-1.0.