JD riwayat pergerakan yang diperkirakan JD.com, Inc.
Setiap hari perdagangan setelah penutupan, kami mencatat apa yang diperhitungkan pasar opsi — per expirasi, sebelum hasilnya diketahui. Ketika suatu expirasi berlalu, hasilnya ditulis di samping estimasi awal. Estimasi tidak pernah direvisi setelah fakta terjadi. Cara membaca statistik ini · merekam sejak Aug 31, 2026
Perbandingan terselesaikan93
Tutup dalam rentang71%
|Aktual| di bawah ekspektasi71%
Rata-rata pergerakan yang diperkirakan±4.3%
Rata-rata pergerakan |aktual|2.9%
Rata-rata kesalahan absolut1.9pt
Implied vs realized, per kedaluwarsa
Untuk setiap expirasi: garis tepi berwarna kuning adalah pergerakan yang diharapkan yang dicatat paling dekat dengan expirasi; batang padat adalah pergerakan saham yang sebenarnya terjadi. Nilai bertanda dicetak di bawah batang.
ekspektasi (direkam)aktual
Sedang dicatat (menunggu hasil)
| Snapshot | Kedaluwarsa | DTE | Spot saat itu | Pergerakan yang diharapkan | Rentang | Metode |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16 | Oct 16 | 0 | 27.01 | ±0.3% | 26.94–27.08 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 16 | 2 | 26.68 | ±2.0% | 26.14–27.21 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 16 | 3 | 26.78 | ±2.3% | 26.18–27.39 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 16 | 7 | 27.17 | ±3.4% | 26.23–28.11 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 16 | 8 | 26.85 | ±3.4% | 25.94–27.76 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 16 | 9 | 27.03 | ±3.7% | 26.02–28.04 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 16 | 10 | 26.50 | ±3.8% | 25.49–27.51 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 16 | 11 | 26.40 | ±4.1% | 25.32–27.48 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 16 | 14 | 25.79 | ±4.2% | 24.71–26.86 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 16 | 15 | 26.34 | ±3.8% | 25.33–27.35 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 16 | 23 | 27.35 | ±6.4% | 25.59–29.11 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 16 | 24 | 27.35 | ±6.4% | 25.59–29.11 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 16 | 25 | 27.29 | ±6.6% | 25.48–29.10 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 16 | 28 | 26.93 | ±6.5% | 25.18–28.68 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 16 | 29 | 26.68 | ±6.8% | 24.86–28.50 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 16 | 30 | 26.92 | ±6.7% | 25.11–28.73 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 16 | 31 | 27.04 | ±7.8% | 24.92–29.16 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 16 | 32 | 27.28 | ±7.1% | 25.34–29.23 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 16 | 35 | 27.04 | ±7.2% | 25.10–28.98 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 16 | 36 | 27.02 | ±7.7% | 24.95–29.09 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 16 | 37 | 27.03 | ±8.3% | 24.77–29.29 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 16 | 38 | 27.67 | ±8.2% | 25.41–29.93 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 16 | 39 | 28.27 | ±8.4% | 25.91–30.64 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 16 | 42 | 28.10 | ±8.1% | 25.81–30.39 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 16 | 43 | 27.67 | ±8.0% | 25.47–29.87 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Oct 16 | 44 | 27.83 | ±8.9% | 25.34–30.32 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Oct 16 | 45 | 27.90 | ±7.9% | 25.69–30.11 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Oct 16 | 46 | 28.30 | ±8.7% | 25.86–30.75 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 27.01 | ±2.6% | 26.32–27.70 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 26.68 | ±3.3% | 25.80–27.57 | em-1.0 |
Snapshot yang telah diselesaikan
| Snapshot | Kedaluwarsa | Diharapkan | Aktual | Dalam kisaran? | Spot → penutupan |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±0.4% | -0.3% | di dalam | 27.17 → 27.09 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.4% | +0.9% | di dalam | 26.85 → 27.09 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.8% | +0.2% | di dalam | 27.03 → 27.09 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.1% | +2.2% | di luar | 26.50 → 27.09 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.4% | +2.6% | di luar | 26.40 → 27.09 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.9% | +5.0% | di luar | 25.79 → 27.09 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.3% | +2.8% | di luar | 26.34 → 27.09 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.5% | -0.9% | di dalam | 27.35 → 27.09 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.5% | -0.9% | di dalam | 27.35 → 27.09 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.9% | -0.7% | di dalam | 27.29 → 27.09 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.9% | +0.6% | di dalam | 26.93 → 27.09 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.3% | +1.5% | di dalam | 26.68 → 27.09 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.9% | +0.6% | di dalam | 26.92 → 27.09 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.5% | +0.2% | di dalam | 27.04 → 27.09 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.5% | -0.7% | di dalam | 27.28 → 27.09 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.5% | +0.2% | di dalam | 27.04 → 27.09 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.7% | +0.3% | di dalam | 27.02 → 27.09 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.7% | +0.2% | di dalam | 27.03 → 27.09 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.3% | -2.1% | di dalam | 27.67 → 27.09 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.3% | -4.2% | di dalam | 28.27 → 27.09 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.6% | -3.6% | di dalam | 28.10 → 27.09 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.3% | -2.1% | di dalam | 27.67 → 27.09 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.5% | -2.7% | di dalam | 27.83 → 27.09 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.3% | -2.9% | di dalam | 27.90 → 27.09 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.9% | -4.3% | di dalam | 28.30 → 27.09 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.0% | -0.0% | di dalam | 25.79 → 25.78 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.0% | -2.1% | di luar | 26.34 → 25.78 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.3% | -5.7% | di luar | 27.35 → 25.78 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.3% | -5.7% | di luar | 27.35 → 25.78 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.5% | -5.5% | di luar | 27.29 → 25.78 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.5% | -4.3% | di luar | 26.93 → 25.78 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.2% | -3.4% | di dalam | 26.68 → 25.78 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.0% | -4.2% | di dalam | 26.92 → 25.78 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.3% | -4.7% | di dalam | 27.04 → 25.78 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.7% | -5.5% | di dalam | 27.28 → 25.78 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.3% | -4.7% | di dalam | 27.04 → 25.78 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.8% | -4.6% | di dalam | 27.02 → 25.78 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.9% | -4.6% | di dalam | 27.03 → 25.78 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.1% | -6.8% | di luar | 27.67 → 25.78 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.2% | -8.8% | di luar | 28.27 → 25.78 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.4% | -8.3% | di luar | 28.10 → 25.78 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.6% | -6.8% | di luar | 27.67 → 25.78 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.1% | -7.4% | di luar | 27.83 → 25.78 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.5% | -7.6% | di luar | 27.90 → 25.78 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±7.2% | -8.9% | di luar | 28.30 → 25.78 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±2.7% | -3.1% | di luar | 27.35 → 26.51 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±2.7% | -3.1% | di luar | 27.35 → 26.51 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±3.2% | -2.9% | di dalam | 27.29 → 26.51 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±2.7% | -1.6% | di dalam | 26.93 → 26.51 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±2.9% | -0.7% | di dalam | 26.68 → 26.51 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.3% | -1.5% | di dalam | 26.92 → 26.51 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.0% | -2.0% | di dalam | 27.04 → 26.51 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.3% | -2.8% | di dalam | 27.28 → 26.51 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.4% | -2.0% | di dalam | 27.04 → 26.51 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.8% | -1.9% | di dalam | 27.02 → 26.51 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±5.2% | -1.9% | di dalam | 27.03 → 26.51 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±5.9% | -4.2% | di dalam | 27.67 → 26.51 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±5.5% | -6.2% | di luar | 28.27 → 26.51 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±5.6% | -5.7% | di luar | 28.10 → 26.51 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±5.3% | -4.2% | di dalam | 27.67 → 26.51 |
Hasil membandingkan rentang yang tercatat dengan harga penutupan pada hari kedaluwarsa. Versi metode ditampilkan per baris jika berbeda; saat ini: em-1.0.