IWM riwayat pergerakan yang diperkirakan iShares Russell 2000 ETF
Setiap hari perdagangan setelah penutupan, kami mencatat apa yang diperhitungkan pasar opsi — per expirasi, sebelum hasilnya diketahui. Ketika suatu expirasi berlalu, hasilnya ditulis di samping estimasi awal. Estimasi tidak pernah direvisi setelah fakta terjadi. Cara membaca statistik ini · merekam sejak Aug 31, 2026
Perbandingan terselesaikan3
Tutup dalam rentang67%
|Aktual| di bawah ekspektasi67%
Rata-rata pergerakan yang diperkirakan±0.3%
Rata-rata pergerakan |aktual|0.4%
Rata-rata kesalahan absolut0.2pt
Implied vs realized, per kedaluwarsa
Untuk setiap expirasi: garis tepi berwarna kuning adalah pergerakan yang diharapkan yang dicatat paling dekat dengan expirasi; batang padat adalah pergerakan saham yang sebenarnya terjadi. Nilai bertanda dicetak di bawah batang.
ekspektasi (direkam)aktual
Sedang dicatat (menunggu hasil)
| Snapshot | Kedaluwarsa | DTE | Spot saat itu | Pergerakan yang diharapkan | Rentang | Metode |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 02 | Sep 02 | 0 | 293.82 | ±0.1% | 293.67–293.97 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Sep 02 | 1 | 290.67 | ±0.7% | 288.62–292.71 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Sep 02 | 2 | 293.93 | ±0.8% | 291.47–296.39 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Sep 03 | 1 | 293.82 | ±0.7% | 291.88–295.76 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Sep 03 | 2 | 290.67 | ±1.1% | 287.60–293.75 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Sep 03 | 3 | 293.93 | ±1.1% | 290.76–297.10 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Sep 04 | 2 | 293.82 | ±1.1% | 290.67–296.98 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Sep 04 | 3 | 290.67 | ±1.5% | 286.33–295.01 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Sep 04 | 4 | 293.93 | ±1.4% | 289.83–298.02 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Sep 08 | 6 | 293.82 | ±1.4% | 289.77–297.87 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Sep 08 | 7 | 290.67 | ±1.8% | 285.49–295.86 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Sep 08 | 8 | 293.93 | ±1.6% | 289.13–298.73 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Sep 09 | 7 | 293.82 | ±1.6% | 289.25–298.39 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Sep 09 | 8 | 290.67 | ±1.9% | 285.03–296.31 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Sep 09 | 9 | 293.93 | ±1.8% | 288.70–299.16 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Sep 10 | 8 | 293.82 | ±1.7% | 288.74–298.90 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Sep 10 | 9 | 290.67 | ±2.1% | 284.55–296.79 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Sep 10 | 10 | 293.93 | ±1.9% | 288.29–299.57 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Sep 11 | 9 | 293.82 | ±2.0% | 287.88–299.76 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Sep 11 | 10 | 290.67 | ±2.4% | 283.79–297.56 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Sep 11 | 11 | 293.93 | ±2.2% | 287.57–300.29 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Sep 14 | 12 | 293.82 | ±2.2% | 287.42–300.23 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Sep 14 | 13 | 290.67 | ±2.5% | 283.32–298.02 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Sep 14 | 14 | 293.93 | ±2.3% | 287.13–300.73 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Sep 15 | 13 | 293.82 | ±2.4% | 286.84–300.80 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Sep 15 | 14 | 290.67 | ±2.7% | 282.81–298.53 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Sep 16 | 14 | 293.82 | ±2.6% | 286.05–301.59 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Sep 18 | 16 | 293.82 | ±2.9% | 285.26–302.38 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Sep 18 | 17 | 290.67 | ±3.2% | 281.25–300.08 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Sep 18 | 18 | 293.93 | ±3.0% | 285.15–302.70 | em-1.0 |
Snapshot yang telah diselesaikan
| Snapshot | Kedaluwarsa | Diharapkan | Aktual | Dalam kisaran? | Spot → penutupan |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 01, 2026 | Sep 01 | ±0.2% | -0.0% | di dalam | 290.67 → 290.57 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Sep 01 | ±0.6% | -1.1% | di luar | 293.93 → 290.57 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Aug 31 | ±0.0% | +0.0% | di dalam | 293.93 → 293.93 |
Hasil membandingkan rentang yang tercatat dengan harga penutupan pada hari kedaluwarsa. Versi metode ditampilkan per baris jika berbeda; saat ini: em-1.0.