INTC 预期波动历史 Intel Corp.
每个交易日收盘后，我们记录期权市场对各到期日的定价——均在结果揭晓前留存。到期日过后，实际结果会附记于原始预估值旁。预估值在事后绝不修改。 如何解读这些统计数据 · 记录开始于 Aug 31, 2026
已解决的比较项192
收盘价处于区间内39%
|实际值| 低于预期值39%
平均预期波动幅度±7.4%
平均|实际|波动幅度11.0%
平均绝对误差6.2pt
隐含与已实现波动率，按到期日
每个到期日：琥珀色轮廓框为最接近到期时记录的预期涨跌幅；实心柱为股票实际涨跌幅。柱形下方标注带符号的具体数值。
预期（已记录）实际
已记录（等待结果）
| 快照 | 到期时间 | DTE | 当时现货价 | 预期涨跌幅 | 区间 | 方法 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16 | Oct 16 | 0 | 89.75 | ±0.4% | 89.39–90.11 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 16 | 2 | 97.58 | ±4.5% | 93.20–101.95 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 16 | 3 | 103.47 | ±4.7% | 98.57–108.38 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 16 | 7 | 104.48 | ±5.9% | 98.27–110.70 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 16 | 8 | 107.06 | ±7.0% | 99.61–114.51 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 16 | 9 | 113.23 | ±7.3% | 105.00–121.45 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 16 | 10 | 112.92 | ±7.6% | 104.34–121.50 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 16 | 11 | 116.41 | ±7.9% | 107.18–125.63 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 16 | 14 | 119.34 | ±9.1% | 108.51–130.16 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 16 | 15 | 119.75 | ±10.0% | 107.80–131.70 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 16 | 23 | 124.24 | ±13.9% | 107.01–141.46 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 16 | 24 | 123.50 | ±13.9% | 106.28–140.72 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 16 | 25 | 121.98 | ±14.3% | 104.48–139.48 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 16 | 28 | 108.95 | ±13.7% | 94.00–123.90 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 16 | 29 | 109.75 | ±14.4% | 93.97–125.53 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 16 | 30 | 101.64 | ±14.1% | 87.29–115.99 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 16 | 31 | 97.04 | ±13.9% | 83.57–110.52 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 16 | 32 | 97.57 | ±14.3% | 83.65–111.50 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 16 | 35 | 102.99 | ±14.8% | 87.77–118.22 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 16 | 36 | 100.34 | ±15.4% | 84.86–115.81 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 16 | 37 | 105.85 | ±16.4% | 88.45–123.25 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 16 | 38 | 104.29 | ±17.0% | 86.51–122.06 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 16 | 39 | 95.89 | ±16.3% | 80.22–111.56 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 16 | 42 | 95.84 | ±16.4% | 80.17–111.52 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 16 | 43 | 91.49 | ±15.8% | 76.99–105.99 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Oct 16 | 44 | 90.22 | ±15.4% | 76.34–104.09 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Oct 16 | 45 | 88.90 | ±15.9% | 74.78–103.03 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Oct 16 | 46 | 89.58 | ±16.0% | 75.28–103.88 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 19 | 3 | 89.75 | ±112.7% | -11.44–190.94 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 19 | 5 | 97.58 | ±95.0% | 4.87–190.29 | em-1.0 |
已归档快照
| 快照 | 已到期 | 预期值 | 实际值 | 在区间内？ | 现货价 → 收盘价 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Oct 14 | ±0.6% | +0.6% | 区间内 | 97.58 → 98.12 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 14 | ±2.9% | -5.2% | 区间外 | 103.47 → 98.12 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 14 | ±4.8% | -6.1% | 区间外 | 104.48 → 98.12 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 14 | ±5.8% | -8.3% | 区间外 | 107.06 → 98.12 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 14 | ±6.1% | -13.3% | 区间外 | 113.23 → 98.12 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 14 | ±6.6% | -13.1% | 区间外 | 112.92 → 98.12 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 14 | ±7.0% | -15.7% | 区间外 | 116.41 → 98.12 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 14 | ±8.0% | -17.8% | 区间外 | 119.34 → 98.12 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 14 | ±9.0% | -18.1% | 区间外 | 119.75 → 98.12 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 12 | ±2.7% | -3.0% | 区间外 | 104.48 → 101.35 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 12 | ±4.0% | -5.3% | 区间外 | 107.06 → 101.35 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 12 | ±4.6% | -10.5% | 区间外 | 113.23 → 101.35 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 12 | ±5.2% | -10.2% | 区间外 | 112.92 → 101.35 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 12 | ±5.6% | -12.9% | 区间外 | 116.41 → 101.35 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 12 | ±6.9% | -15.1% | 区间外 | 119.34 → 101.35 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 12 | ±7.9% | -15.4% | 区间外 | 119.75 → 101.35 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±0.6% | +0.2% | 区间内 | 104.48 → 104.70 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.8% | -2.2% | 区间内 | 107.06 → 104.70 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.7% | -7.5% | 区间外 | 113.23 → 104.70 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.4% | -7.3% | 区间外 | 112.92 → 104.70 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.0% | -10.1% | 区间外 | 116.41 → 104.70 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.2% | -12.3% | 区间外 | 119.34 → 104.70 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.2% | -12.6% | 区间外 | 119.75 → 104.70 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.7% | -15.7% | 区间外 | 124.24 → 104.70 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.8% | -15.2% | 区间外 | 123.50 → 104.70 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±12.2% | -14.2% | 区间外 | 121.98 → 104.70 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±12.0% | -3.9% | 区间内 | 108.95 → 104.70 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±12.7% | -4.6% | 区间内 | 109.75 → 104.70 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±12.7% | +3.0% | 区间内 | 101.64 → 104.70 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±12.5% | +7.9% | 区间内 | 97.04 → 104.70 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±12.7% | +7.3% | 区间内 | 97.57 → 104.70 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±12.9% | +1.7% | 区间内 | 102.99 → 104.70 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±13.9% | +4.3% | 区间内 | 100.34 → 104.70 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±14.8% | -1.1% | 区间内 | 105.85 → 104.70 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±15.5% | +0.4% | 区间内 | 104.29 → 104.70 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±15.0% | +9.2% | 区间内 | 95.89 → 104.70 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±15.1% | +9.2% | 区间内 | 95.84 → 104.70 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±14.2% | +14.4% | 区间外 | 91.49 → 104.70 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±14.0% | +16.1% | 区间外 | 90.22 → 104.70 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±14.4% | +17.8% | 区间外 | 88.90 → 104.70 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±14.2% | +16.9% | 区间外 | 89.58 → 104.70 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 07 | ±0.2% | -0.1% | 区间内 | 113.23 → 113.12 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 07 | ±2.6% | +0.2% | 区间内 | 112.92 → 113.12 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 07 | ±3.5% | -2.8% | 区间内 | 116.41 → 113.12 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 07 | ±4.9% | -5.2% | 区间外 | 119.34 → 113.12 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 07 | ±6.0% | -5.5% | 区间内 | 119.75 → 113.12 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 05 | ±0.3% | -0.2% | 区间内 | 116.41 → 116.19 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 05 | ±3.0% | -2.6% | 区间内 | 119.34 → 116.19 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 05 | ±4.3% | -3.0% | 区间内 | 119.75 → 116.19 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 05 | ±9.7% | -6.5% | 区间内 | 124.24 → 116.19 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 05 | ±9.7% | -5.9% | 区间内 | 123.50 → 116.19 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 05 | ±10.4% | -4.7% | 区间内 | 121.98 → 116.19 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±0.3% | -0.0% | 区间内 | 119.34 → 119.33 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±2.9% | -0.4% | 区间内 | 119.75 → 119.33 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±9.1% | -3.9% | 区间内 | 124.24 → 119.33 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±9.1% | -3.4% | 区间内 | 123.50 → 119.33 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±9.9% | -2.2% | 区间内 | 121.98 → 119.33 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±9.7% | +9.5% | 区间内 | 108.95 → 119.33 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±10.6% | +8.7% | 区间内 | 109.75 → 119.33 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±10.7% | +17.4% | 区间外 | 101.64 → 119.33 |
结果通过比较记录的价格区间与到期日收盘价得出。各行显示所用方法版本（与当前版本不同时）；当前版本： em-1.0.