INTC 预期波动历史 Intel Corp.

每个交易日收盘后，我们记录期权市场对各到期日的定价——均在结果揭晓前留存。到期日过后，实际结果会附记于原始预估值旁。预估值在事后绝不修改。如何解读这些统计数据 · 记录开始于 Aug 31, 2026

已解决的比较项1

收盘价处于区间内100%

|实际值| 低于预期值100%

平均预期波动幅度±0.7%

平均|实际|波动幅度0.1%

平均绝对误差0.6pt

隐含与已实现波动率，按到期日

每个到期日：琥珀色轮廓框为最接近到期时记录的预期涨跌幅；实心柱为股票实际涨跌幅。柱形下方标注带符号的具体数值。

预期（已记录）实际

已记录（等待结果）

快照	到期时间	DTE	当时现货价	预期涨跌幅	区间	方法
Sep 02	Sep 02	0	90.22	±0.6%	89.72–90.72	em-1.0
Sep 01	Sep 02	1	88.90	±2.6%	86.58–91.22	em-1.0
Aug 31	Sep 02	2	89.58	±3.5%	86.48–92.67	em-1.0
Sep 02	Sep 04	2	90.22	±3.6%	86.95–93.49	em-1.0
Sep 01	Sep 04	3	88.90	±4.5%	84.86–92.94	em-1.0
Aug 31	Sep 04	4	89.58	±5.0%	85.09–94.06	em-1.0
Sep 02	Sep 09	7	90.22	±5.4%	85.32–95.12	em-1.0
Sep 01	Sep 09	8	88.90	±6.0%	83.56–94.24	em-1.0
Aug 31	Sep 09	9	89.58	±6.3%	83.95–95.21	em-1.0
Sep 02	Sep 11	9	90.22	±6.6%	84.23–96.21	em-1.0
Sep 01	Sep 11	10	88.90	±7.2%	82.50–95.30	em-1.0
Aug 31	Sep 11	11	89.58	±7.4%	82.98–96.18	em-1.0
Sep 02	Sep 14	12	90.22	±7.3%	83.59–96.84	em-1.0
Sep 01	Sep 14	13	88.90	±7.9%	81.88–95.92	em-1.0
Aug 31	Sep 14	14	89.58	±7.4%	82.96–96.19	em-1.0
Sep 02	Sep 16	14	90.22	±8.1%	82.89–97.55	em-1.0
Sep 01	Sep 16	15	88.90	±8.9%	80.97–96.83	em-1.0
Sep 02	Sep 18	16	90.22	±9.0%	82.09–98.34	em-1.0
Sep 01	Sep 18	17	88.90	±9.5%	80.45–97.35	em-1.0
Aug 31	Sep 18	18	89.58	±9.6%	80.95–98.20	em-1.0
Sep 02	Sep 25	23	90.22	±11.1%	80.25–100.19	em-1.0
Sep 01	Sep 25	24	88.90	±11.3%	78.85–98.95	em-1.0
Aug 31	Sep 25	25	89.58	±11.4%	79.40–99.75	em-1.0
Sep 02	Oct 02	30	90.22	±12.5%	78.94–101.50	em-1.0
Sep 01	Oct 02	31	88.90	±12.9%	77.40–100.40	em-1.0
Aug 31	Oct 02	32	89.58	±13.1%	77.88–101.28	em-1.0
Sep 02	Oct 09	37	90.22	±14.0%	77.55–102.89	em-1.0
Sep 01	Oct 09	38	88.90	±14.4%	76.08–101.72	em-1.0
Aug 31	Oct 09	39	89.58	±14.2%	76.90–102.25	em-1.0
Sep 02	Oct 16	44	90.22	±15.4%	76.34–104.09	em-1.0

快照	已到期	预期值	实际值	在区间内？	现货价 → 收盘价
Aug 31, 2026	Aug 31	±0.7%	-0.1%	区间内	89.58 → 89.51

结果通过比较记录的价格区间与到期日收盘价得出。各行显示所用方法版本（与当前版本不同时）；当前版本： em-1.0.