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Elke handelsdag na de sluiting leggen we vast wat de optiemarkt inprijst — per vervaldatum, voordat de uitkomst bekend is. Wanneer een vervaldatum passeert, wordt de uitkomst naast de oorspronkelijke schatting vermeld. Schattingen worden achteraf nooit herzien. Hoe deze statistieken te lezen · vastlegging sinds Aug 31, 2026
Impliciet vs. gerealiseerd, per expiratie
Voor elke vervaldatum: de oranje omlijning is de expected move die het dichtst bij de vervaldatum is vastgelegd; de solide balk is wat het aandeel werkelijk heeft gedaan. Getekende waarden staan onder de balken vermeld.
Momenteel vastgelegd (uitkomst nog onbekend)
| Snapshot | Vervalt | DTE | Spot destijds | Expected move | Bereik | Methode |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16 | Oct 16 | 0 | 76.89 | ±0.4% | 76.58–77.21 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 16 | 2 | 76.76 | ±0.3% | 76.53–76.98 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 16 | 3 | 77.08 | ±0.4% | 76.73–77.42 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 16 | 7 | 77.21 | ±0.5% | 76.80–77.62 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 16 | 8 | 77.10 | ±0.8% | 76.50–77.69 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 16 | 9 | 77.10 | ±0.7% | 76.54–77.66 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 16 | 10 | 77.28 | ±0.6% | 76.80–77.75 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 16 | 11 | 76.95 | ±0.8% | 76.32–77.58 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 16 | 14 | 76.96 | ±1.1% | 76.12–77.80 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 16 | 15 | 76.90 | ±1.1% | 76.02–77.78 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 16 | 23 | 78.60 | ±1.3% | 77.56–79.64 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 16 | 24 | 78.64 | ±1.3% | 77.59–79.69 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 16 | 25 | 78.69 | ±0.9% | 77.97–79.42 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 16 | 28 | 78.65 | ±1.5% | 77.47–79.83 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 16 | 29 | 78.73 | ±0.8% | 78.06–79.39 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 16 | 30 | 78.41 | ±1.4% | 77.31–79.50 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 16 | 31 | 78.19 | ±1.2% | 77.22–79.16 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 16 | 32 | 78.55 | ±1.2% | 77.57–79.52 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 16 | 35 | 78.58 | ±1.2% | 77.64–79.53 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 16 | 36 | 78.64 | ±1.9% | 77.11–80.17 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 16 | 37 | 78.98 | ±1.2% | 78.05–79.91 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 16 | 38 | 79.14 | ±1.3% | 78.14–80.16 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 16 | 39 | 79.16 | ±1.1% | 78.28–80.04 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 16 | 42 | 79.16 | ±1.1% | 78.28–80.04 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 16 | 43 | 79.21 | ±1.2% | 78.22–80.20 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Oct 16 | 44 | 79.14 | ±1.3% | 78.11–80.17 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Oct 16 | 45 | 79.15 | ±1.2% | 78.20–80.10 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Oct 16 | 46 | 79.76 | ±1.1% | 78.88–80.64 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 76.89 | ±0.6% | 76.41–77.38 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 76.76 | ±0.9% | 76.04–77.48 | em-1.0 |
Vastgelegde snapshots
| Snapshot | Verlopen | Verwacht | Werkelijk | Binnen bereik? | Spot → slotkoers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±0.3% | +0.0% | binnen | 77.21 → 77.23 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±0.3% | +0.2% | binnen | 77.10 → 77.23 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±0.5% | +0.2% | binnen | 77.10 → 77.23 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±0.3% | -0.1% | binnen | 77.28 → 77.23 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±0.4% | +0.4% | binnen | 76.95 → 77.23 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±0.5% | +0.4% | binnen | 76.96 → 77.23 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±0.8% | +0.4% | binnen | 76.90 → 77.23 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.1% | -1.7% | buiten | 78.60 → 77.23 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.1% | -1.8% | buiten | 78.64 → 77.23 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±0.9% | -1.9% | buiten | 78.69 → 77.23 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.3% | -1.8% | binnen | 78.65 → 77.23 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.4% | -1.9% | binnen | 78.73 → 77.23 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±0.9% | -1.5% | buiten | 78.41 → 77.23 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.5% | -1.2% | binnen | 78.19 → 77.23 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.2% | -1.7% | buiten | 78.55 → 77.23 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.0% | -1.7% | buiten | 78.58 → 77.23 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.1% | -1.8% | binnen | 78.64 → 77.23 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.2% | -2.2% | buiten | 78.98 → 77.23 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.2% | -2.4% | buiten | 79.14 → 77.23 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.1% | -2.4% | buiten | 79.16 → 77.23 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.1% | -2.4% | buiten | 79.16 → 77.23 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.1% | -2.5% | buiten | 79.21 → 77.23 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.3% | -2.4% | buiten | 79.14 → 77.23 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.5% | -2.4% | buiten | 79.15 → 77.23 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.4% | -3.2% | buiten | 79.76 → 77.23 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±0.2% | -0.1% | binnen | 76.96 → 76.91 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±0.5% | +0.0% | binnen | 76.90 → 76.91 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±0.6% | -2.1% | buiten | 78.60 → 76.91 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±0.6% | -2.2% | buiten | 78.64 → 76.91 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±0.8% | -2.3% | buiten | 78.69 → 76.91 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±0.8% | -2.2% | buiten | 78.65 → 76.91 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.2% | -2.3% | binnen | 78.73 → 76.91 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.3% | -1.9% | buiten | 78.41 → 76.91 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.2% | -1.6% | buiten | 78.19 → 76.91 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.0% | -2.1% | buiten | 78.55 → 76.91 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.6% | -2.1% | buiten | 78.58 → 76.91 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±2.6% | -2.2% | binnen | 78.64 → 76.91 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.1% | -2.6% | buiten | 78.98 → 76.91 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±2.5% | -2.8% | buiten | 79.14 → 76.91 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.1% | -2.8% | buiten | 79.16 → 76.91 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.1% | -2.8% | buiten | 79.16 → 76.91 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.2% | -2.9% | buiten | 79.21 → 76.91 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.3% | -2.8% | buiten | 79.14 → 76.91 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.3% | -2.8% | buiten | 79.15 → 76.91 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.5% | -3.6% | buiten | 79.76 → 76.91 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±0.7% | -0.9% | buiten | 78.60 → 77.86 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±0.7% | -1.0% | buiten | 78.64 → 77.86 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±0.3% | -1.1% | buiten | 78.69 → 77.86 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±0.2% | -1.0% | buiten | 78.65 → 77.86 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±3.5% | -1.1% | binnen | 78.73 → 77.86 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±0.6% | -0.7% | buiten | 78.41 → 77.86 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±1.0% | -0.4% | binnen | 78.19 → 77.86 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±0.7% | -0.9% | buiten | 78.55 → 77.86 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±0.7% | -0.9% | buiten | 78.58 → 77.86 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±2.3% | -1.0% | binnen | 78.64 → 77.86 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±1.0% | -1.4% | buiten | 78.98 → 77.86 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±1.0% | -1.6% | buiten | 79.14 → 77.86 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±0.8% | -1.6% | buiten | 79.16 → 77.86 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±0.8% | -1.6% | buiten | 79.16 → 77.86 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±1.0% | -1.7% | buiten | 79.21 → 77.86 |
Uitkomsten vergelijken de geregistreerde bandbreedte met de slotkoers op de expiratiedag. De methodversie wordt per rij weergegeven waar deze afwijkt; huidig: em-1.0.