HLT geschiedenis verwachte beweging Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.
Elke handelsdag na de sluiting leggen we vast wat de optiemarkt inprijst — per vervaldatum, voordat de uitkomst bekend is. Wanneer een vervaldatum passeert, wordt de uitkomst naast de oorspronkelijke schatting vermeld. Schattingen worden achteraf nooit herzien. Hoe deze statistieken te lezen · vastlegging sinds Aug 31, 2026
Vergelijkingen opgelost121
Sluiting binnen bandbreedte60%
|Werkelijk| onder verwacht60%
Gem. verwachte beweging±4.2%
Gem. |werkelijke| beweging4.3%
Gem. abs. fout2.4pt
Impliciet vs. gerealiseerd, per expiratie
Voor elke vervaldatum: de oranje omlijning is de expected move die het dichtst bij de vervaldatum is vastgelegd; de solide balk is wat het aandeel werkelijk heeft gedaan. Getekende waarden staan onder de balken vermeld.
verwacht (vastgelegd)werkelijk
Momenteel vastgelegd (uitkomst nog onbekend)
| Snapshot | Vervalt | DTE | Spot destijds | Expected move | Bereik | Methode |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 | Oct 23 | 4 | 346.04 | ±2.2% | 338.54–353.54 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 345.12 | ±2.5% | 336.37–353.87 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 328.00 | ±3.3% | 317.10–338.90 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 23 | 10 | 329.59 | ±3.0% | 319.74–339.44 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 23 | 14 | 326.56 | ±3.5% | 315.16–337.96 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 23 | 15 | 323.75 | ±3.9% | 311.15–336.35 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 23 | 16 | 320.59 | ±4.2% | 307.14–334.04 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 23 | 17 | 322.67 | ±4.3% | 308.67–336.67 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 23 | 18 | 318.30 | ±4.3% | 304.69–331.89 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 23 | 21 | 319.36 | ±4.9% | 303.66–335.06 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 23 | 22 | 315.44 | ±5.1% | 299.44–331.44 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 23 | 30 | 308.89 | ±6.4% | 289.04–328.74 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 23 | 31 | 307.08 | ±6.7% | 286.48–327.68 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 23 | 32 | 304.67 | ±6.7% | 284.21–325.12 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 23 | 35 | 305.01 | ±6.8% | 284.41–325.61 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 23 | 36 | 307.79 | ±7.2% | 285.59–329.99 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 23 | 37 | 307.79 | ±7.2% | 285.59–329.99 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 23 | 38 | 306.19 | ±7.4% | 283.54–328.84 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 23 | 39 | 306.19 | ±7.4% | 283.54–328.84 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 23 | 42 | 306.41 | ±7.4% | 283.76–329.06 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 23 | 43 | 306.99 | ±8.0% | 282.34–331.64 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 23 | 44 | 307.44 | ±8.0% | 282.79–332.08 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 23 | 45 | 313.84 | ±7.9% | 289.04–338.64 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 23 | 46 | 314.35 | ±8.1% | 288.90–339.80 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 23 | 49 | 314.35 | ±8.1% | 288.90–339.80 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 19 | Oct 30 | 11 | 346.04 | ±5.1% | 328.29–363.79 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 30 | 14 | 345.12 | ±5.4% | 326.57–363.67 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 30 | 16 | 328.00 | ±5.6% | 309.55–346.45 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 30 | 17 | 329.59 | ±5.3% | 312.24–346.94 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 30 | 21 | 326.56 | ±5.7% | 307.91–345.21 | em-1.0 |
Vastgelegde snapshots
| Snapshot | Verlopen | Verwacht | Werkelijk | Binnen bereik? | Spot → slotkoers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±0.7% | +0.0% | binnen | 345.12 → 345.12 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±1.6% | +5.2% | buiten | 328.00 → 345.12 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±1.9% | +4.7% | buiten | 329.59 → 345.12 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.5% | +5.7% | buiten | 326.56 → 345.12 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.0% | +6.6% | buiten | 323.75 → 345.12 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.0% | +7.7% | buiten | 320.59 → 345.12 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.2% | +7.0% | buiten | 322.67 → 345.12 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.5% | +8.4% | buiten | 318.30 → 345.12 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.9% | +8.1% | buiten | 319.36 → 345.12 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.2% | +9.4% | buiten | 315.44 → 345.12 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.1% | +11.7% | buiten | 308.89 → 345.12 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.3% | +12.4% | buiten | 307.08 → 345.12 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.5% | +13.3% | buiten | 304.67 → 345.12 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.6% | +13.2% | buiten | 305.01 → 345.12 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.0% | +12.1% | buiten | 307.79 → 345.12 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.0% | +12.1% | buiten | 307.79 → 345.12 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.1% | +12.7% | buiten | 306.19 → 345.12 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.1% | +12.7% | buiten | 306.19 → 345.12 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.1% | +12.6% | buiten | 306.41 → 345.12 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.4% | +12.4% | buiten | 306.99 → 345.12 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.5% | +12.3% | buiten | 307.44 → 345.12 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.9% | +10.0% | buiten | 313.84 → 345.12 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.2% | +9.8% | buiten | 314.35 → 345.12 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.2% | +9.8% | buiten | 314.35 → 345.12 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.0% | +10.7% | buiten | 311.85 → 345.12 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.3% | +10.6% | buiten | 311.99 → 345.12 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.0% | +9.3% | buiten | 315.68 → 345.12 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.1% | +7.2% | buiten | 321.85 → 345.12 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±0.8% | +0.0% | binnen | 326.56 → 326.56 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.6% | +0.9% | binnen | 323.75 → 326.56 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.6% | +1.9% | buiten | 320.59 → 326.56 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.9% | +1.2% | binnen | 322.67 → 326.56 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.4% | +2.6% | buiten | 318.30 → 326.56 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.8% | +2.3% | binnen | 319.36 → 326.56 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.0% | +3.5% | buiten | 315.44 → 326.56 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.4% | +5.7% | buiten | 308.89 → 326.56 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.6% | +6.3% | buiten | 307.08 → 326.56 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.9% | +7.2% | buiten | 304.67 → 326.56 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.0% | +7.1% | buiten | 305.01 → 326.56 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.3% | +6.1% | buiten | 307.79 → 326.56 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.3% | +6.1% | buiten | 307.79 → 326.56 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.7% | +6.7% | buiten | 306.19 → 326.56 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.7% | +6.7% | buiten | 306.19 → 326.56 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.7% | +6.6% | buiten | 306.41 → 326.56 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.2% | +6.4% | buiten | 306.99 → 326.56 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.2% | +6.2% | buiten | 307.44 → 326.56 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.2% | +4.1% | binnen | 313.84 → 326.56 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.3% | +3.9% | binnen | 314.35 → 326.56 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.3% | +3.9% | binnen | 314.35 → 326.56 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.5% | +4.7% | binnen | 311.85 → 326.56 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.6% | +4.7% | binnen | 311.99 → 326.56 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.5% | +3.4% | binnen | 315.68 → 326.56 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.6% | +1.5% | binnen | 321.85 → 326.56 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±0.9% | +0.0% | binnen | 319.36 → 319.36 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.6% | +1.2% | binnen | 315.44 → 319.36 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.4% | +3.4% | binnen | 308.89 → 319.36 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.5% | +4.0% | buiten | 307.08 → 319.36 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.6% | +4.8% | buiten | 304.67 → 319.36 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.7% | +4.7% | buiten | 305.01 → 319.36 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.4% | +3.8% | binnen | 307.79 → 319.36 |
Uitkomsten vergelijken de geregistreerde bandbreedte met de slotkoers op de expiratiedag. De methodversie wordt per rij weergegeven waar deze afwijkt; huidig: em-1.0.