HLT riwayat pergerakan yang diperkirakan Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.
Setiap hari perdagangan setelah penutupan, kami mencatat apa yang diperhitungkan pasar opsi — per expirasi, sebelum hasilnya diketahui. Ketika suatu expirasi berlalu, hasilnya ditulis di samping estimasi awal. Estimasi tidak pernah direvisi setelah fakta terjadi. Cara membaca statistik ini · merekam sejak Aug 31, 2026
Perbandingan terselesaikan121
Tutup dalam rentang60%
|Aktual| di bawah ekspektasi60%
Rata-rata pergerakan yang diperkirakan±4.2%
Rata-rata pergerakan |aktual|4.3%
Rata-rata kesalahan absolut2.4pt
Implied vs realized, per kedaluwarsa
Untuk setiap expirasi: garis tepi berwarna kuning adalah pergerakan yang diharapkan yang dicatat paling dekat dengan expirasi; batang padat adalah pergerakan saham yang sebenarnya terjadi. Nilai bertanda dicetak di bawah batang.
ekspektasi (direkam)aktual
Sedang dicatat (menunggu hasil)
| Snapshot | Kedaluwarsa | DTE | Spot saat itu | Pergerakan yang diharapkan | Rentang | Metode |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 | Oct 23 | 4 | 346.04 | ±2.2% | 338.54–353.54 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 345.12 | ±2.5% | 336.37–353.87 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 328.00 | ±3.3% | 317.10–338.90 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 23 | 10 | 329.59 | ±3.0% | 319.74–339.44 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 23 | 14 | 326.56 | ±3.5% | 315.16–337.96 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 23 | 15 | 323.75 | ±3.9% | 311.15–336.35 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 23 | 16 | 320.59 | ±4.2% | 307.14–334.04 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 23 | 17 | 322.67 | ±4.3% | 308.67–336.67 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 23 | 18 | 318.30 | ±4.3% | 304.69–331.89 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 23 | 21 | 319.36 | ±4.9% | 303.66–335.06 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 23 | 22 | 315.44 | ±5.1% | 299.44–331.44 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 23 | 30 | 308.89 | ±6.4% | 289.04–328.74 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 23 | 31 | 307.08 | ±6.7% | 286.48–327.68 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 23 | 32 | 304.67 | ±6.7% | 284.21–325.12 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 23 | 35 | 305.01 | ±6.8% | 284.41–325.61 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 23 | 36 | 307.79 | ±7.2% | 285.59–329.99 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 23 | 37 | 307.79 | ±7.2% | 285.59–329.99 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 23 | 38 | 306.19 | ±7.4% | 283.54–328.84 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 23 | 39 | 306.19 | ±7.4% | 283.54–328.84 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 23 | 42 | 306.41 | ±7.4% | 283.76–329.06 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 23 | 43 | 306.99 | ±8.0% | 282.34–331.64 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 23 | 44 | 307.44 | ±8.0% | 282.79–332.08 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 23 | 45 | 313.84 | ±7.9% | 289.04–338.64 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 23 | 46 | 314.35 | ±8.1% | 288.90–339.80 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 23 | 49 | 314.35 | ±8.1% | 288.90–339.80 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 19 | Oct 30 | 11 | 346.04 | ±5.1% | 328.29–363.79 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 30 | 14 | 345.12 | ±5.4% | 326.57–363.67 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 30 | 16 | 328.00 | ±5.6% | 309.55–346.45 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 30 | 17 | 329.59 | ±5.3% | 312.24–346.94 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 30 | 21 | 326.56 | ±5.7% | 307.91–345.21 | em-1.0 |
Snapshot yang telah diselesaikan
| Snapshot | Kedaluwarsa | Diharapkan | Aktual | Dalam kisaran? | Spot → penutupan |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±0.7% | +0.0% | di dalam | 345.12 → 345.12 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±1.6% | +5.2% | di luar | 328.00 → 345.12 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±1.9% | +4.7% | di luar | 329.59 → 345.12 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.5% | +5.7% | di luar | 326.56 → 345.12 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.0% | +6.6% | di luar | 323.75 → 345.12 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.0% | +7.7% | di luar | 320.59 → 345.12 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.2% | +7.0% | di luar | 322.67 → 345.12 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.5% | +8.4% | di luar | 318.30 → 345.12 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.9% | +8.1% | di luar | 319.36 → 345.12 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.2% | +9.4% | di luar | 315.44 → 345.12 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.1% | +11.7% | di luar | 308.89 → 345.12 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.3% | +12.4% | di luar | 307.08 → 345.12 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.5% | +13.3% | di luar | 304.67 → 345.12 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.6% | +13.2% | di luar | 305.01 → 345.12 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.0% | +12.1% | di luar | 307.79 → 345.12 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.0% | +12.1% | di luar | 307.79 → 345.12 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.1% | +12.7% | di luar | 306.19 → 345.12 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.1% | +12.7% | di luar | 306.19 → 345.12 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.1% | +12.6% | di luar | 306.41 → 345.12 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.4% | +12.4% | di luar | 306.99 → 345.12 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.5% | +12.3% | di luar | 307.44 → 345.12 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.9% | +10.0% | di luar | 313.84 → 345.12 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.2% | +9.8% | di luar | 314.35 → 345.12 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.2% | +9.8% | di luar | 314.35 → 345.12 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.0% | +10.7% | di luar | 311.85 → 345.12 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.3% | +10.6% | di luar | 311.99 → 345.12 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.0% | +9.3% | di luar | 315.68 → 345.12 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.1% | +7.2% | di luar | 321.85 → 345.12 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±0.8% | +0.0% | di dalam | 326.56 → 326.56 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.6% | +0.9% | di dalam | 323.75 → 326.56 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.6% | +1.9% | di luar | 320.59 → 326.56 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.9% | +1.2% | di dalam | 322.67 → 326.56 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.4% | +2.6% | di luar | 318.30 → 326.56 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.8% | +2.3% | di dalam | 319.36 → 326.56 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.0% | +3.5% | di luar | 315.44 → 326.56 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.4% | +5.7% | di luar | 308.89 → 326.56 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.6% | +6.3% | di luar | 307.08 → 326.56 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.9% | +7.2% | di luar | 304.67 → 326.56 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.0% | +7.1% | di luar | 305.01 → 326.56 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.3% | +6.1% | di luar | 307.79 → 326.56 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.3% | +6.1% | di luar | 307.79 → 326.56 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.7% | +6.7% | di luar | 306.19 → 326.56 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.7% | +6.7% | di luar | 306.19 → 326.56 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.7% | +6.6% | di luar | 306.41 → 326.56 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.2% | +6.4% | di luar | 306.99 → 326.56 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.2% | +6.2% | di luar | 307.44 → 326.56 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.2% | +4.1% | di dalam | 313.84 → 326.56 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.3% | +3.9% | di dalam | 314.35 → 326.56 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.3% | +3.9% | di dalam | 314.35 → 326.56 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.5% | +4.7% | di dalam | 311.85 → 326.56 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.6% | +4.7% | di dalam | 311.99 → 326.56 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.5% | +3.4% | di dalam | 315.68 → 326.56 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.6% | +1.5% | di dalam | 321.85 → 326.56 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±0.9% | +0.0% | di dalam | 319.36 → 319.36 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.6% | +1.2% | di dalam | 315.44 → 319.36 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.4% | +3.4% | di dalam | 308.89 → 319.36 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.5% | +4.0% | di luar | 307.08 → 319.36 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.6% | +4.8% | di luar | 304.67 → 319.36 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.7% | +4.7% | di luar | 305.01 → 319.36 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.4% | +3.8% | di dalam | 307.79 → 319.36 |
Hasil membandingkan rentang yang tercatat dengan harga penutupan pada hari kedaluwarsa. Versi metode ditampilkan per baris jika berbeda; saat ini: em-1.0.