GRAB 预期波动历史 Grab Holdings Limited
每个交易日收盘后，我们记录期权市场对各到期日的定价——均在结果揭晓前留存。到期日过后，实际结果会附记于原始预估值旁。预估值在事后绝不修改。 如何解读这些统计数据 · 记录开始于 Aug 31, 2026
已解决的比较项121
收盘价处于区间内69%
|实际值| 低于预期值68%
平均预期波动幅度±8.6%
平均|实际|波动幅度7.0%
平均绝对误差4.4pt
隐含与已实现波动率，按到期日
每个到期日：琥珀色轮廓框为最接近到期时记录的预期涨跌幅；实心柱为股票实际涨跌幅。柱形下方标注带符号的具体数值。
预期（已记录）实际
已记录（等待结果）
| 快照 | 到期时间 | DTE | 当时现货价 | 预期涨跌幅 | 区间 | 方法 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 | Oct 23 | 4 | 2.88 | ±5.7% | 2.71–3.04 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 2.93 | ±5.3% | 2.78–3.09 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 2.90 | ±6.2% | 2.72–3.08 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 23 | 10 | 3.00 | ±6.3% | 2.81–3.19 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 23 | 14 | 3.20 | ±9.2% | 2.90–3.49 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 23 | 15 | 3.04 | ±7.4% | 2.81–3.27 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 23 | 16 | 3.09 | ±7.3% | 2.87–3.31 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 23 | 17 | 3.13 | ±8.0% | 2.88–3.38 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 23 | 18 | 3.16 | ±10.0% | 2.85–3.48 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 23 | 21 | 3.10 | ±9.2% | 2.81–3.38 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 23 | 22 | 3.10 | ±9.4% | 2.81–3.38 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 23 | 30 | 3.19 | ±13.6% | 2.75–3.62 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 23 | 31 | 3.21 | ±13.6% | 2.77–3.64 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 23 | 32 | 2.90 | ±12.8% | 2.53–3.27 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 23 | 35 | 2.81 | ±14.4% | 2.40–3.21 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 23 | 36 | 2.83 | ±15.0% | 2.40–3.25 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 23 | 37 | 2.90 | ±14.0% | 2.50–3.31 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 23 | 38 | 2.92 | ±12.7% | 2.55–3.29 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 23 | 39 | 3.00 | ±14.2% | 2.58–3.42 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 23 | 42 | 3.02 | ±14.6% | 2.58–3.46 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 23 | 43 | 3.01 | ±14.1% | 2.59–3.44 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 23 | 44 | 3.06 | ±16.5% | 2.55–3.56 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 23 | 45 | 3.26 | ±13.5% | 2.82–3.70 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 23 | 46 | 3.44 | ±14.4% | 2.94–3.94 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 23 | 49 | 3.43 | ±11.7% | 3.03–3.83 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 23 | 50 | 3.43 | ±17.5% | 2.83–4.03 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 19 | Oct 30 | 11 | 2.88 | ±7.6% | 2.66–3.10 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 30 | 14 | 2.93 | ±8.0% | 2.70–3.17 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 30 | 16 | 2.90 | ±8.3% | 2.66–3.14 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 30 | 17 | 3.00 | ±8.5% | 2.74–3.25 | em-1.0 |
已归档快照
| 快照 | 已到期 | 预期值 | 实际值 | 在区间内？ | 现货价 → 收盘价 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.6% | +0.3% | 区间内 | 2.93 → 2.94 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.5% | +1.4% | 区间内 | 2.90 → 2.94 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.7% | -2.0% | 区间内 | 3.00 → 2.94 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.0% | -8.1% | 区间外 | 3.20 → 2.94 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.7% | -3.3% | 区间内 | 3.04 → 2.94 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.6% | -4.9% | 区间内 | 3.09 → 2.94 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.4% | -6.1% | 区间内 | 3.13 → 2.94 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.9% | -7.0% | 区间内 | 3.16 → 2.94 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.3% | -5.1% | 区间内 | 3.10 → 2.94 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.9% | -5.0% | 区间内 | 3.10 → 2.94 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±12.7% | -7.8% | 区间内 | 3.19 → 2.94 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±12.6% | -8.4% | 区间内 | 3.21 → 2.94 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.9% | +1.4% | 区间内 | 2.90 → 2.94 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±13.0% | +4.6% | 区间内 | 2.81 → 2.94 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±12.9% | +3.9% | 区间内 | 2.83 → 2.94 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±12.4% | +1.4% | 区间内 | 2.90 → 2.94 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±12.5% | +0.7% | 区间内 | 2.92 → 2.94 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±12.3% | -2.0% | 区间内 | 3.00 → 2.94 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±13.2% | -2.6% | 区间内 | 3.02 → 2.94 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±13.8% | -2.4% | 区间内 | 3.01 → 2.94 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±14.4% | -3.9% | 区间内 | 3.06 → 2.94 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±13.7% | -9.8% | 区间内 | 3.26 → 2.94 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±16.1% | -14.5% | 区间内 | 3.44 → 2.94 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±15.9% | -14.3% | 区间内 | 3.43 → 2.94 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±16.6% | -14.3% | 区间内 | 3.43 → 2.94 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±18.0% | -16.5% | 区间内 | 3.52 → 2.94 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±17.8% | -16.2% | 区间内 | 3.51 → 2.94 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±15.5% | -17.3% | 区间外 | 3.55 → 2.94 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.6% | -0.3% | 区间内 | 3.20 → 3.19 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.6% | +4.9% | 区间外 | 3.04 → 3.19 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.5% | +3.2% | 区间内 | 3.09 → 3.19 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.8% | +1.9% | 区间内 | 3.13 → 3.19 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.3% | +0.9% | 区间内 | 3.16 → 3.19 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.3% | +3.0% | 区间内 | 3.10 → 3.19 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.7% | +3.1% | 区间内 | 3.10 → 3.19 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.5% | +0.0% | 区间内 | 3.19 → 3.19 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.4% | -0.6% | 区间内 | 3.21 → 3.19 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.9% | +10.0% | 区间外 | 2.90 → 3.19 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.0% | +13.5% | 区间外 | 2.81 → 3.19 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.4% | +12.7% | 区间外 | 2.83 → 3.19 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±12.4% | +10.0% | 区间内 | 2.90 → 3.19 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.6% | +9.2% | 区间内 | 2.92 → 3.19 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.2% | +6.3% | 区间内 | 3.00 → 3.19 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.4% | +5.6% | 区间内 | 3.02 → 3.19 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±12.3% | +5.9% | 区间内 | 3.01 → 3.19 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±12.7% | +4.3% | 区间内 | 3.06 → 3.19 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±12.4% | -2.1% | 区间内 | 3.26 → 3.19 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.8% | -7.3% | 区间内 | 3.44 → 3.19 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.9% | -7.0% | 区间内 | 3.43 → 3.19 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.8% | -7.0% | 区间内 | 3.43 → 3.19 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.2% | -9.4% | 区间内 | 3.52 → 3.19 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.4% | -9.1% | 区间内 | 3.51 → 3.19 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.0% | -10.2% | 区间外 | 3.55 → 3.19 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.2% | -0.6% | 区间内 | 3.10 → 3.08 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.2% | -0.5% | 区间内 | 3.10 → 3.08 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.3% | -3.4% | 区间内 | 3.19 → 3.08 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.3% | -4.0% | 区间内 | 3.21 → 3.08 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.2% | +6.2% | 区间内 | 2.90 → 3.08 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±10.3% | +9.6% | 区间内 | 2.81 → 3.08 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±10.4% | +8.8% | 区间内 | 2.83 → 3.08 |
结果通过比较记录的价格区间与到期日收盘价得出。各行显示所用方法版本（与当前版本不同时）；当前版本： em-1.0.