GOOGL 预期波动历史 Alphabet Inc.
每个交易日收盘后，我们记录期权市场对各到期日的定价——均在结果揭晓前留存。到期日过后，实际结果会附记于原始预估值旁。预估值在事后绝不修改。 如何解读这些统计数据 · 记录开始于 Aug 31, 2026
已解决的比较项4
收盘价处于区间内100%
|实际值| 低于预期值100%
平均预期波动幅度±0.8%
平均|实际|波动幅度0.4%
平均绝对误差0.5pt
隐含与已实现波动率，按到期日
每个到期日：琥珀色轮廓框为最接近到期时记录的预期涨跌幅；实心柱为股票实际涨跌幅。柱形下方标注带符号的具体数值。
预期（已记录）实际
已记录（等待结果）
| 快照 | 到期时间 | DTE | 当时现货价 | 预期涨跌幅 | 区间 | 方法 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 03 | Sep 04 | 1 | 342.80 | ±1.2% | 338.60–347.00 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Sep 04 | 2 | 337.71 | ±1.8% | 331.64–343.77 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Sep 04 | 3 | 337.70 | ±2.1% | 330.46–344.93 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Sep 04 | 4 | 340.10 | ±2.3% | 332.27–347.93 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Sep 09 | 6 | 342.80 | ±2.4% | 334.55–351.05 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Sep 09 | 7 | 337.71 | ±2.7% | 328.73–346.68 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Sep 09 | 8 | 337.70 | ±2.9% | 327.85–347.55 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Sep 09 | 9 | 340.10 | ±3.0% | 329.98–350.23 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Sep 11 | 8 | 342.80 | ±3.0% | 332.62–352.98 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Sep 11 | 9 | 337.71 | ±3.3% | 326.63–348.78 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Sep 11 | 10 | 337.70 | ±3.5% | 325.82–349.57 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Sep 11 | 11 | 340.10 | ±3.5% | 328.27–351.93 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Sep 14 | 11 | 342.80 | ±3.3% | 331.65–353.95 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Sep 14 | 12 | 337.71 | ±3.6% | 325.38–350.03 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Sep 14 | 13 | 337.70 | ±3.9% | 324.57–350.82 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Sep 14 | 14 | 340.10 | ±3.8% | 327.02–353.18 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Sep 16 | 13 | 342.80 | ±3.8% | 329.68–355.93 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Sep 16 | 14 | 337.71 | ±4.3% | 323.23–352.18 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Sep 16 | 15 | 337.70 | ±4.4% | 322.97–352.42 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Sep 18 | 15 | 342.80 | ±4.3% | 328.05–357.55 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Sep 18 | 16 | 337.71 | ±4.5% | 322.63–352.78 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Sep 18 | 17 | 337.70 | ±4.5% | 322.42–352.97 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Sep 18 | 18 | 340.10 | ±4.6% | 324.52–355.68 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Sep 25 | 22 | 342.80 | ±5.3% | 324.70–360.90 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Sep 25 | 23 | 337.71 | ±5.5% | 319.28–356.13 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Sep 25 | 24 | 337.70 | ±5.5% | 319.10–356.30 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Sep 25 | 25 | 340.10 | ±5.5% | 321.38–358.82 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 02 | 29 | 342.80 | ±6.1% | 321.95–363.65 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Oct 02 | 30 | 337.71 | ±6.4% | 316.16–359.26 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Oct 02 | 31 | 337.70 | ±6.4% | 316.20–359.20 | em-1.0 |
已归档快照
| 快照 | 已到期 | 预期值 | 实际值 | 在区间内？ | 现货价 → 收盘价 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 02, 2026 | Sep 02 | ±0.3% | -0.2% | 区间内 | 337.71 → 337.12 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Sep 02 | ±1.3% | -0.2% | 区间内 | 337.70 → 337.12 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Sep 02 | ±1.6% | -0.9% | 区间内 | 340.10 → 337.12 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Aug 31 | ±0.3% | -0.2% | 区间内 | 340.10 → 339.35 |
结果通过比较记录的价格区间与到期日收盘价得出。各行显示所用方法版本（与当前版本不同时）；当前版本： em-1.0.