GOOGL histórico de movimento esperado Alphabet Inc.
A cada dia útil, após o fechamento, registramos o que o mercado de opções estava precificando — por expiração, antes de o resultado ser conhecido. Quando uma expiração passa, o resultado é registrado ao lado da estimativa original. As estimativas nunca são revisadas após o fato. Como interpretar estas estatísticas · registrando desde Aug 31, 2026
Comparações resolvidas192
Fechar dentro do intervalo81%
|Real| abaixo do esperado81%
Movimento esperado médio±3.5%
Movimento |real| médio1.9%
Erro médio absoluto1.9pt
Implícita vs. realizada, por vencimento
Para cada expiração: o contorno âmbar é o movimento esperado registrado mais próximo do vencimento; a barra sólida é o que a ação realmente fez. Os valores com sinal aparecem abaixo das barras.
esperado (registrado)real
Atualmente registado (a aguardar resultado)
| Snapshot | Expira | DTE | Spot na época | Movimento esperado | Intervalo | Método |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16 | Oct 16 | 0 | 340.59 | ±0.3% | 339.45–341.72 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 16 | 2 | 347.35 | ±2.1% | 339.93–354.77 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 16 | 3 | 354.03 | ±2.6% | 344.83–363.23 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 16 | 7 | 351.71 | ±3.1% | 340.91–362.51 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 16 | 8 | 348.80 | ±3.6% | 336.35–361.25 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 16 | 9 | 350.20 | ±3.9% | 336.70–363.70 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 16 | 10 | 347.93 | ±3.9% | 334.33–361.53 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 16 | 11 | 346.35 | ±3.9% | 332.98–359.73 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 16 | 14 | 343.25 | ±4.2% | 328.98–357.52 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 16 | 15 | 339.10 | ±4.7% | 323.15–355.05 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 16 | 23 | 351.80 | ±6.4% | 329.15–374.45 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 16 | 24 | 352.04 | ±6.4% | 329.39–374.69 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 16 | 25 | 355.83 | ±6.4% | 332.95–378.70 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 16 | 28 | 350.25 | ±6.6% | 327.12–373.38 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 16 | 29 | 346.54 | ±6.5% | 323.89–369.19 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 16 | 30 | 343.41 | ±6.7% | 320.36–366.46 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 16 | 31 | 344.14 | ±6.9% | 320.29–367.99 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 16 | 32 | 347.96 | ±7.1% | 323.33–372.58 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 16 | 35 | 338.35 | ±7.0% | 314.62–362.07 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 16 | 36 | 331.62 | ±7.6% | 306.45–356.80 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 16 | 37 | 331.08 | ±7.7% | 305.61–356.56 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 16 | 38 | 338.25 | ±7.8% | 311.95–364.55 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 16 | 39 | 338.72 | ±7.7% | 312.69–364.74 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 16 | 42 | 339.01 | ±7.7% | 312.99–365.04 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 16 | 43 | 342.80 | ±7.7% | 316.40–369.20 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Oct 16 | 44 | 337.71 | ±7.7% | 311.56–363.86 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Oct 16 | 45 | 337.70 | ±7.9% | 310.97–364.42 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Oct 16 | 46 | 340.10 | ±8.0% | 313.05–367.15 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 19 | 3 | 340.59 | ±1.8% | 334.57–346.60 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 19 | 5 | 347.35 | ±2.6% | 338.18–356.52 | em-1.0 |
Snapshots encerrados
| Snapshot | Expirado | Esperado | Real | Dentro do intervalo? | Spot → fechamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Oct 14 | ±0.3% | +0.1% | dentro | 347.35 → 347.64 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 14 | ±1.8% | -1.8% | dentro | 354.03 → 347.64 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 14 | ±2.4% | -1.2% | dentro | 351.71 → 347.64 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 14 | ±2.9% | -0.3% | dentro | 348.80 → 347.64 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 14 | ±3.0% | -0.7% | dentro | 350.20 → 347.64 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 14 | ±3.0% | -0.1% | dentro | 347.93 → 347.64 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 14 | ±3.6% | +0.4% | dentro | 346.35 → 347.64 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 14 | ±3.7% | +1.3% | dentro | 343.25 → 347.64 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 14 | ±4.3% | +2.5% | dentro | 339.10 → 347.64 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 12 | ±1.4% | +0.3% | dentro | 351.71 → 352.72 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 12 | ±2.1% | +1.1% | dentro | 348.80 → 352.72 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 12 | ±2.5% | +0.7% | dentro | 350.20 → 352.72 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 12 | ±2.6% | +1.4% | dentro | 347.93 → 352.72 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 12 | ±3.0% | +1.8% | dentro | 346.35 → 352.72 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 12 | ±3.1% | +2.8% | dentro | 343.25 → 352.72 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 12 | ±3.6% | +4.0% | fora | 339.10 → 352.72 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±0.3% | -0.0% | dentro | 351.71 → 351.66 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.4% | +0.8% | dentro | 348.80 → 351.66 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.1% | +0.4% | dentro | 350.20 → 351.66 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.2% | +1.1% | dentro | 347.93 → 351.66 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.4% | +1.5% | dentro | 346.35 → 351.66 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.9% | +2.5% | dentro | 343.25 → 351.66 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.5% | +3.7% | fora | 339.10 → 351.66 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.5% | -0.0% | dentro | 351.80 → 351.66 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.5% | -0.1% | dentro | 352.04 → 351.66 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.4% | -1.2% | dentro | 355.83 → 351.66 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.6% | +0.4% | dentro | 350.25 → 351.66 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.6% | +1.5% | dentro | 346.54 → 351.66 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.1% | +2.4% | dentro | 343.41 → 351.66 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.0% | +2.2% | dentro | 344.14 → 351.66 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.3% | +1.1% | dentro | 347.96 → 351.66 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.1% | +3.9% | dentro | 338.35 → 351.66 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.6% | +6.0% | dentro | 331.62 → 351.66 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.8% | +6.2% | dentro | 331.08 → 351.66 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.9% | +4.0% | dentro | 338.25 → 351.66 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.8% | +3.8% | dentro | 338.72 → 351.66 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.8% | +3.7% | dentro | 339.01 → 351.66 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.9% | +2.6% | dentro | 342.80 → 351.66 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.0% | +4.1% | dentro | 337.71 → 351.66 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.0% | +4.1% | dentro | 337.70 → 351.66 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.1% | +3.4% | dentro | 340.10 → 351.66 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 07 | ±0.2% | +0.1% | dentro | 350.20 → 350.50 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 07 | ±1.2% | +0.7% | dentro | 347.93 → 350.50 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 07 | ±1.8% | +1.2% | dentro | 346.35 → 350.50 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 07 | ±2.3% | +2.1% | dentro | 343.25 → 350.50 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 07 | ±2.9% | +3.4% | fora | 339.10 → 350.50 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 05 | ±0.3% | +0.0% | dentro | 346.35 → 346.47 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 05 | ±1.4% | +0.9% | dentro | 343.25 → 346.47 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 05 | ±2.2% | +2.2% | fora | 339.10 → 346.47 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 05 | ±4.6% | -1.5% | dentro | 351.80 → 346.47 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 05 | ±4.6% | -1.6% | dentro | 352.04 → 346.47 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 05 | ±5.0% | -2.6% | dentro | 355.83 → 346.47 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±0.3% | +0.1% | dentro | 343.25 → 343.50 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.4% | +1.3% | dentro | 339.10 → 343.50 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.2% | -2.4% | dentro | 351.80 → 343.50 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.2% | -2.4% | dentro | 352.04 → 343.50 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.5% | -3.5% | dentro | 355.83 → 343.50 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.6% | -1.9% | dentro | 350.25 → 343.50 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.5% | -0.9% | dentro | 346.54 → 343.50 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.9% | +0.0% | dentro | 343.41 → 343.50 |
Os resultados comparam o intervalo registado com o preço de fecho no dia de expiração. A versão do método é indicada por linha quando difere; atual: em-1.0.