GLD riwayat pergerakan yang diperkirakan SPDR Gold Shares
Setiap hari perdagangan setelah penutupan, kami mencatat apa yang diperhitungkan pasar opsi — per expirasi, sebelum hasilnya diketahui. Ketika suatu expirasi berlalu, hasilnya ditulis di samping estimasi awal. Estimasi tidak pernah direvisi setelah fakta terjadi. Cara membaca statistik ini · merekam sejak Aug 31, 2026
Perbandingan terselesaikan200
Tutup dalam rentang63%
|Aktual| di bawah ekspektasi63%
Rata-rata pergerakan yang diperkirakan±3.2%
Rata-rata pergerakan |aktual|2.7%
Rata-rata kesalahan absolut1.4pt
Implied vs realized, per kedaluwarsa
Untuk setiap expirasi: garis tepi berwarna kuning adalah pergerakan yang diharapkan yang dicatat paling dekat dengan expirasi; batang padat adalah pergerakan saham yang sebenarnya terjadi. Nilai bertanda dicetak di bawah batang.
ekspektasi (direkam)aktual
Sedang dicatat (menunggu hasil)
| Snapshot | Kedaluwarsa | DTE | Spot saat itu | Pergerakan yang diharapkan | Rentang | Metode |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 | Oct 19 | 0 | 379.70 | ±0.2% | 379.07–380.34 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 19 | 3 | 381.88 | ±0.9% | 378.27–385.49 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 19 | 5 | 376.08 | ±1.7% | 369.58–382.58 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 19 | 6 | 381.54 | ±1.9% | 374.29–388.79 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 19 | 10 | 384.70 | ±2.3% | 375.77–393.62 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 19 | 11 | 378.80 | ±2.5% | 369.27–388.32 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 19 | 12 | 376.96 | ±2.8% | 366.51–387.41 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 19 | 13 | 381.95 | ±2.8% | 371.38–392.52 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 19 | 14 | 379.67 | ±2.9% | 368.75–390.60 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 19 | Oct 20 | 1 | 379.70 | ±0.8% | 376.84–382.56 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 20 | 4 | 381.88 | ±1.3% | 377.01–386.75 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 20 | 6 | 376.08 | ±1.9% | 368.86–383.31 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 20 | 7 | 381.54 | ±2.1% | 373.69–389.39 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 20 | 11 | 384.70 | ±2.5% | 375.20–394.20 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 20 | 12 | 378.80 | ±2.6% | 368.77–388.82 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 20 | 13 | 376.96 | ±2.9% | 365.96–387.96 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 20 | 14 | 381.95 | ±3.0% | 370.62–393.27 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 19 | Oct 21 | 2 | 379.70 | ±1.1% | 375.59–383.82 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 21 | 5 | 381.88 | ±1.5% | 376.02–387.74 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 21 | 7 | 376.08 | ±2.1% | 368.13–384.03 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 21 | 8 | 381.54 | ±2.2% | 373.12–389.96 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 21 | 12 | 384.70 | ±2.6% | 374.57–394.82 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 21 | 13 | 378.80 | ±2.8% | 368.10–389.50 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 21 | 14 | 376.96 | ±3.1% | 365.38–388.54 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 21 | 15 | 381.95 | ±3.1% | 369.95–393.95 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 19 | Oct 22 | 3 | 379.70 | ±1.3% | 374.60–384.80 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 22 | 6 | 381.88 | ±1.8% | 375.11–388.65 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 22 | 8 | 376.08 | ±2.3% | 367.38–384.78 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 22 | 9 | 381.54 | ±2.4% | 372.54–390.54 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 22 | 13 | 384.70 | ±2.8% | 374.00–395.40 | em-1.0 |
Snapshot yang telah diselesaikan
| Snapshot | Kedaluwarsa | Diharapkan | Aktual | Dalam kisaran? | Spot → penutupan |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±0.1% | +0.0% | di dalam | 381.88 → 382.01 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±1.4% | +1.6% | di luar | 376.08 → 382.01 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±1.7% | +0.1% | di dalam | 381.54 → 382.01 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.1% | -0.7% | di dalam | 384.70 → 382.01 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.3% | +0.8% | di dalam | 378.80 → 382.01 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.6% | +1.3% | di dalam | 376.96 → 382.01 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.6% | +0.0% | di dalam | 381.95 → 382.01 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.7% | +0.6% | di dalam | 379.67 → 382.01 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.0% | +0.5% | di dalam | 380.20 → 382.01 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.2% | -0.1% | di dalam | 382.40 → 382.01 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.3% | -4.5% | di luar | 400.07 → 382.01 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.3% | -4.4% | di luar | 399.65 → 382.01 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.3% | -4.1% | di dalam | 398.36 → 382.01 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.7% | -4.8% | di luar | 401.46 → 382.01 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.1% | -4.1% | di dalam | 398.39 → 382.01 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.5% | -2.4% | di dalam | 391.28 → 382.01 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.7% | -3.0% | di dalam | 393.86 → 382.01 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.7% | -3.1% | di dalam | 394.10 → 382.01 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.8% | -4.2% | di dalam | 398.70 → 382.01 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.4% | -3.5% | di dalam | 396.05 → 382.01 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.4% | -5.4% | di dalam | 403.93 → 382.01 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.3% | -4.4% | di dalam | 399.72 → 382.01 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.5% | -6.1% | di dalam | 406.77 → 382.01 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.5% | -6.0% | di dalam | 406.30 → 382.01 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.7% | -6.9% | di luar | 410.23 → 382.01 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.5% | -5.1% | di dalam | 402.36 → 382.01 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.5% | -3.8% | di dalam | 397.20 → 382.01 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.4% | -6.5% | di luar | 408.51 → 382.01 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Oct 15 | ±1.0% | +1.8% | di luar | 376.08 → 382.71 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 15 | ±1.5% | +0.3% | di dalam | 381.54 → 382.71 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 15 | ±1.9% | -0.5% | di dalam | 384.70 → 382.71 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 15 | ±2.1% | +1.0% | di dalam | 378.80 → 382.71 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 15 | ±2.4% | +1.5% | di dalam | 376.96 → 382.71 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 15 | ±2.4% | +0.2% | di dalam | 381.95 → 382.71 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 15 | ±2.6% | +0.8% | di dalam | 379.67 → 382.71 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 15 | ±2.9% | +0.7% | di dalam | 380.20 → 382.71 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 15 | ±3.1% | +0.1% | di dalam | 382.40 → 382.71 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Oct 14 | ±0.1% | -0.0% | di dalam | 376.08 → 375.99 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 14 | ±1.2% | -1.5% | di luar | 381.54 → 375.99 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 14 | ±1.7% | -2.3% | di luar | 384.70 → 375.99 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 14 | ±1.9% | -0.7% | di dalam | 378.80 → 375.99 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 14 | ±2.2% | -0.3% | di dalam | 376.96 → 375.99 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 14 | ±2.3% | -1.6% | di dalam | 381.95 → 375.99 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 14 | ±2.4% | -1.0% | di dalam | 379.67 → 375.99 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 14 | ±2.7% | -1.1% | di dalam | 380.20 → 375.99 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 14 | ±2.9% | -1.7% | di dalam | 382.40 → 375.99 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 13 | ±0.1% | +0.0% | di dalam | 381.54 → 381.67 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 13 | ±1.2% | -0.8% | di dalam | 384.70 → 381.67 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 13 | ±1.5% | +0.8% | di dalam | 378.80 → 381.67 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 13 | ±1.9% | +1.2% | di dalam | 376.96 → 381.67 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 13 | ±1.9% | -0.1% | di dalam | 381.95 → 381.67 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 13 | ±2.0% | +0.5% | di dalam | 379.67 → 381.67 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 13 | ±2.4% | +0.4% | di dalam | 380.20 → 381.67 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 13 | ±2.6% | -0.2% | di dalam | 382.40 → 381.67 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 12 | ±0.9% | -0.7% | di dalam | 384.70 → 382.15 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 12 | ±1.3% | +0.9% | di dalam | 378.80 → 382.15 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 12 | ±1.6% | +1.4% | di dalam | 376.96 → 382.15 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 12 | ±1.7% | +0.1% | di dalam | 381.95 → 382.15 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 12 | ±1.9% | +0.7% | di dalam | 379.67 → 382.15 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 12 | ±2.2% | +0.5% | di dalam | 380.20 → 382.15 |
Hasil membandingkan rentang yang tercatat dengan harga penutupan pada hari kedaluwarsa. Versi metode ditampilkan per baris jika berbeda; saat ini: em-1.0.