GIS 预期波动历史 General Mills, Inc.

每个交易日收盘后，我们记录期权市场对各到期日的定价——均在结果揭晓前留存。到期日过后，实际结果会附记于原始预估值旁。预估值在事后绝不修改。如何解读这些统计数据 · 记录开始于 Aug 31, 2026

已解决的比较项15

收盘价处于区间内60%

|实际值| 低于预期值60%

平均预期波动幅度±4.4%

平均|实际|波动幅度4.4%

平均绝对误差3.0pt

隐含与已实现波动率，按到期日

每个到期日：琥珀色轮廓框为最接近到期时记录的预期涨跌幅；实心柱为股票实际涨跌幅。柱形下方标注带符号的具体数值。

预期（已记录）实际

已记录（等待结果）

快照	到期时间	DTE	当时现货价	预期涨跌幅	区间	方法
Oct 16	Oct 16	0	33.07	±2.0%	32.40–33.74	em-1.0
Oct 14	Oct 16	2	32.11	±2.6%	31.29–32.94	em-1.0
Oct 13	Oct 16	3	31.98	±3.0%	31.00–32.95	em-1.0
Oct 09	Oct 16	7	32.36	±3.9%	31.11–33.61	em-1.0
Oct 08	Oct 16	8	32.61	±4.2%	31.23–33.98	em-1.0
Oct 07	Oct 16	9	31.86	±5.3%	30.19–33.54	em-1.0
Oct 06	Oct 16	10	32.23	±5.0%	30.60–33.85	em-1.0
Oct 05	Oct 16	11	31.73	±6.0%	29.83–33.63	em-1.0
Oct 02	Oct 16	14	32.01	±5.8%	30.16–33.86	em-1.0
Oct 01	Oct 16	15	31.73	±6.6%	29.63–33.83	em-1.0
Sep 23	Oct 16	23	35.48	±7.3%	32.91–38.06	em-1.0
Sep 22	Oct 16	24	35.52	±7.2%	32.95–38.09	em-1.0
Sep 21	Oct 16	25	35.55	±7.6%	32.85–38.25	em-1.0
Sep 18	Oct 16	28	36.54	±8.8%	33.34–39.74	em-1.0
Sep 17	Oct 16	29	36.85	±8.8%	33.60–40.10	em-1.0
Sep 16	Oct 16	30	36.89	±9.0%	33.56–40.21	em-1.0
Sep 15	Oct 16	31	36.58	±9.4%	33.16–40.01	em-1.0
Sep 14	Oct 16	32	36.45	±9.8%	32.88–40.02	em-1.0
Sep 11	Oct 16	35	35.96	±8.8%	32.78–39.13	em-1.0
Sep 10	Oct 16	36	35.81	±9.4%	32.44–39.19	em-1.0
Sep 09	Oct 16	37	37.11	±9.4%	33.61–40.61	em-1.0
Sep 08	Oct 16	38	37.80	±9.7%	34.15–41.45	em-1.0
Sep 07	Oct 16	39	38.35	±9.3%	34.80–41.90	em-1.0
Sep 04	Oct 16	42	38.46	±9.3%	34.88–42.03	em-1.0
Sep 03	Oct 16	43	39.27	±9.3%	35.62–42.92	em-1.0
Sep 02	Oct 16	44	40.69	±8.8%	37.09–44.29	em-1.0
Sep 01	Oct 16	45	41.09	±9.7%	37.12–45.06	em-1.0
Aug 31	Oct 16	46	41.66	±9.7%	37.63–45.69	em-1.0
Oct 16	Nov 20	35	33.07	±8.2%	30.34–35.80	em-1.0
Oct 14	Nov 20	37	32.11	±8.2%	29.48–34.73	em-1.0

快照	已到期	预期值	实际值	在区间内？	现货价 → 收盘价
Sep 18, 2026	Sep 18	±3.1%	-0.6%	区间内	36.54 → 36.32
Sep 17, 2026	Sep 18	±2.9%	-1.4%	区间内	36.85 → 36.32
Sep 16, 2026	Sep 18	±2.9%	-1.5%	区间内	36.89 → 36.32
Sep 15, 2026	Sep 18	±3.8%	-0.7%	区间内	36.58 → 36.32
Sep 14, 2026	Sep 18	±4.6%	-0.4%	区间内	36.45 → 36.32
Sep 11, 2026	Sep 18	±3.9%	+1.0%	区间内	35.96 → 36.32
Sep 10, 2026	Sep 18	±4.4%	+1.4%	区间内	35.81 → 36.32
Sep 09, 2026	Sep 18	±4.4%	-2.1%	区间内	37.11 → 36.32
Sep 08, 2026	Sep 18	±5.0%	-3.9%	区间内	37.80 → 36.32
Sep 07, 2026	Sep 18	±4.6%	-5.3%	区间外	38.35 → 36.32
Sep 04, 2026	Sep 18	±5.1%	-5.6%	区间外	38.46 → 36.32
Sep 03, 2026	Sep 18	±5.2%	-7.5%	区间外	39.27 → 36.32
Sep 02, 2026	Sep 18	±4.8%	-10.7%	区间外	40.69 → 36.32
Sep 01, 2026	Sep 18	±5.4%	-11.6%	区间外	41.09 → 36.32
Aug 31, 2026	Sep 18	±5.5%	-12.8%	区间外	41.66 → 36.32

结果通过比较记录的价格区间与到期日收盘价得出。各行显示所用方法版本（与当前版本不同时）；当前版本： em-1.0.