GILD 预期波动历史 Gilead Sciences, Inc.
每个交易日收盘后，我们记录期权市场对各到期日的定价——均在结果揭晓前留存。到期日过后，实际结果会附记于原始预估值旁。预估值在事后绝不修改。 如何解读这些统计数据 · 记录开始于 Aug 31, 2026
已解决的比较项93
收盘价处于区间内81%
|实际值| 低于预期值81%
平均预期波动幅度±4.0%
平均|实际|波动幅度2.2%
平均绝对误差2.4pt
隐含与已实现波动率，按到期日
每个到期日：琥珀色轮廓框为最接近到期时记录的预期涨跌幅；实心柱为股票实际涨跌幅。柱形下方标注带符号的具体数值。
预期（已记录）实际
已记录（等待结果）
| 快照 | 到期时间 | DTE | 当时现货价 | 预期涨跌幅 | 区间 | 方法 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16 | Oct 16 | 0 | 156.31 | ±1.1% | 154.66–157.97 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 16 | 2 | 153.54 | ±2.7% | 149.38–157.69 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 16 | 3 | 147.92 | ±2.7% | 143.88–151.97 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 16 | 7 | 151.17 | ±3.1% | 146.53–155.81 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 16 | 8 | 146.94 | ±3.5% | 141.81–152.07 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 16 | 9 | 146.85 | ±3.5% | 141.75–151.95 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 16 | 10 | 144.23 | ±3.7% | 138.87–149.59 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 16 | 11 | 143.98 | ±3.9% | 138.39–149.56 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 16 | 14 | 144.74 | ±4.5% | 138.22–151.26 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 16 | 15 | 147.69 | ±4.4% | 141.13–154.25 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 16 | 23 | 152.86 | ±5.6% | 144.26–161.46 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 16 | 24 | 152.67 | ±5.6% | 144.07–161.27 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 16 | 25 | 150.56 | ±5.3% | 142.50–158.62 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 16 | 28 | 150.50 | ±6.0% | 141.47–159.53 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 16 | 29 | 149.93 | ±6.0% | 140.91–158.96 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 16 | 30 | 147.18 | ±6.6% | 137.48–156.88 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 16 | 31 | 145.64 | ±6.7% | 135.87–155.41 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 16 | 32 | 146.53 | ±6.4% | 137.13–155.93 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 16 | 35 | 144.02 | ±6.6% | 134.44–153.59 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 16 | 36 | 144.72 | ±6.8% | 134.82–154.62 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 16 | 37 | 145.88 | ±7.1% | 135.51–156.26 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 16 | 38 | 146.56 | ±7.2% | 135.99–157.13 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 16 | 39 | 149.77 | ±7.5% | 138.57–160.97 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 16 | 42 | 151.00 | ±7.4% | 139.79–162.19 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 16 | 43 | 151.36 | ±6.9% | 140.96–161.76 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Oct 16 | 44 | 149.59 | ±7.4% | 138.47–160.72 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Oct 16 | 45 | 149.92 | ±7.5% | 138.75–161.09 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Oct 16 | 46 | 146.36 | ±7.7% | 135.03–157.69 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 156.31 | ±3.7% | 150.47–162.15 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 153.54 | ±4.4% | 146.84–160.24 | em-1.0 |
已归档快照
| 快照 | 已到期 | 预期值 | 实际值 | 在区间内？ | 现货价 → 收盘价 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.6% | +0.0% | 区间内 | 151.17 → 151.17 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.1% | +2.9% | 区间外 | 146.94 → 151.17 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.3% | +2.9% | 区间外 | 146.85 → 151.17 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.9% | +4.8% | 区间外 | 144.23 → 151.17 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.2% | +5.0% | 区间外 | 143.98 → 151.17 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.0% | +4.4% | 区间外 | 144.74 → 151.17 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.0% | +2.4% | 区间内 | 147.69 → 151.17 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.8% | -1.1% | 区间内 | 152.86 → 151.17 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.8% | -1.0% | 区间内 | 152.67 → 151.17 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.9% | +0.4% | 区间内 | 150.56 → 151.17 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.4% | +0.4% | 区间内 | 150.50 → 151.17 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.2% | +0.8% | 区间内 | 149.93 → 151.17 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.6% | +2.7% | 区间内 | 147.18 → 151.17 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.9% | +3.8% | 区间内 | 145.64 → 151.17 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.2% | +3.2% | 区间内 | 146.53 → 151.17 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.9% | +5.0% | 区间内 | 144.02 → 151.17 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.2% | +4.5% | 区间内 | 144.72 → 151.17 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.3% | +3.6% | 区间内 | 145.88 → 151.17 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.6% | +3.1% | 区间内 | 146.56 → 151.17 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.6% | +0.9% | 区间内 | 149.77 → 151.17 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.6% | +0.1% | 区间内 | 151.00 → 151.17 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.6% | -0.1% | 区间内 | 151.36 → 151.17 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.5% | +1.1% | 区间内 | 149.59 → 151.17 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.7% | +0.8% | 区间内 | 149.92 → 151.17 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.9% | +3.3% | 区间内 | 146.36 → 151.17 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±0.5% | +0.0% | 区间内 | 144.74 → 144.74 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.8% | -2.0% | 区间外 | 147.69 → 144.74 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.7% | -5.3% | 区间外 | 152.86 → 144.74 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.7% | -5.2% | 区间外 | 152.67 → 144.74 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.0% | -3.9% | 区间内 | 150.56 → 144.74 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.0% | -3.8% | 区间内 | 150.50 → 144.74 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.3% | -3.5% | 区间内 | 149.93 → 144.74 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.7% | -1.7% | 区间内 | 147.18 → 144.74 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.8% | -0.6% | 区间内 | 145.64 → 144.74 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.9% | -1.2% | 区间内 | 146.53 → 144.74 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.5% | +0.5% | 区间内 | 144.02 → 144.74 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.3% | +0.0% | 区间内 | 144.72 → 144.74 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.6% | -0.8% | 区间内 | 145.88 → 144.74 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.8% | -1.2% | 区间内 | 146.56 → 144.74 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.9% | -3.4% | 区间内 | 149.77 → 144.74 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.8% | -4.1% | 区间内 | 151.00 → 144.74 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.5% | -4.4% | 区间内 | 151.36 → 144.74 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.8% | -3.2% | 区间内 | 149.59 → 144.74 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.8% | -3.5% | 区间内 | 149.92 → 144.74 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.3% | -1.1% | 区间内 | 146.36 → 144.74 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±2.2% | -1.3% | 区间内 | 152.86 → 150.93 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±2.2% | -1.1% | 区间内 | 152.67 → 150.93 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±2.5% | +0.2% | 区间内 | 150.56 → 150.93 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±2.9% | +0.3% | 区间内 | 150.50 → 150.93 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±3.0% | +0.7% | 区间内 | 149.93 → 150.93 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±3.5% | +2.5% | 区间内 | 147.18 → 150.93 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±3.8% | +3.6% | 区间内 | 145.64 → 150.93 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±3.8% | +3.0% | 区间内 | 146.53 → 150.93 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.1% | +4.8% | 区间外 | 144.02 → 150.93 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.5% | +4.3% | 区间内 | 144.72 → 150.93 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.7% | +3.5% | 区间内 | 145.88 → 150.93 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.8% | +3.0% | 区间内 | 146.56 → 150.93 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±5.2% | +0.8% | 区间内 | 149.77 → 150.93 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±5.2% | -0.0% | 区间内 | 151.00 → 150.93 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.5% | -0.3% | 区间内 | 151.36 → 150.93 |
结果通过比较记录的价格区间与到期日收盘价得出。各行显示所用方法版本（与当前版本不同时）；当前版本： em-1.0.