GE historial de movimiento esperado GE Aerospace
Cada día de negociación, tras el cierre, registramos lo que el mercado de opciones estaba descontando — por vencimiento, antes de conocerse el resultado. Cuando un vencimiento finaliza, el resultado se anota junto a la estimación original. Las estimaciones nunca se revisan a posteriori. Cómo interpretar estas estadísticas · registrando desde Aug 31, 2026
Comparaciones resueltas121
Cierre dentro del rango79%
|Real| por debajo de lo esperado79%
Movimiento esperado promedio±4.8%
Movimiento |real| promedio3.2%
Error medio abs.2.0pt
Implícita vs realizada, por vencimiento
Para cada vencimiento: el contorno ámbar es el movimiento esperado registrado más cerca del vencimiento; la barra sólida es lo que la acción hizo realmente. Los valores con signo aparecen bajo las barras.
esperado (registrado)real
Registrado actualmente (pendiente de resultado)
| Instantánea | Vence | DTE | Precio entonces | Movimiento esperado | Rango | Método |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 | Oct 23 | 4 | 311.55 | ±5.6% | 293.98–329.12 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 313.97 | ±6.2% | 294.64–333.30 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 306.36 | ±6.4% | 286.88–325.83 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 23 | 10 | 309.08 | ±6.4% | 289.36–328.81 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 23 | 14 | 308.30 | ±6.9% | 286.98–329.62 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 23 | 15 | 305.85 | ±7.1% | 284.18–327.52 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 23 | 16 | 303.80 | ±7.3% | 281.73–325.88 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 23 | 17 | 309.39 | ±7.1% | 287.37–331.42 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 23 | 18 | 306.65 | ±7.1% | 284.80–328.50 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 23 | 21 | 310.48 | ±7.6% | 286.80–334.15 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 23 | 22 | 314.15 | ±7.8% | 289.75–338.55 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 23 | 30 | 319.50 | ±8.6% | 291.95–347.05 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 23 | 31 | 319.50 | ±8.6% | 291.95–347.05 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 23 | 32 | 319.07 | ±8.7% | 291.22–346.92 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 23 | 35 | 314.64 | ±8.7% | 287.39–341.89 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 23 | 36 | 314.71 | ±9.0% | 286.46–342.96 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 23 | 37 | 313.70 | ±9.1% | 285.00–342.40 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 23 | 38 | 307.62 | ±9.3% | 278.90–336.35 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 23 | 39 | 317.59 | ±9.3% | 287.96–347.21 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 23 | 42 | 323.99 | ±9.3% | 293.99–353.99 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 23 | 43 | 324.40 | ±9.6% | 293.30–355.50 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 23 | 44 | 325.80 | ±9.6% | 294.55–357.05 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 23 | 45 | 334.77 | ±9.7% | 302.32–367.22 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 23 | 46 | 337.73 | ±9.7% | 305.03–370.43 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 23 | 49 | 336.40 | ±9.8% | 303.43–369.38 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 23 | 50 | 333.61 | ±9.9% | 300.54–366.69 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 19 | Oct 30 | 11 | 311.55 | ±6.8% | 290.35–332.75 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 30 | 14 | 313.97 | ±7.3% | 291.07–336.87 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 30 | 16 | 306.36 | ±7.4% | 283.66–329.06 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 30 | 17 | 309.08 | ±7.3% | 286.49–331.69 | em-1.0 |
Instantáneas resueltas
| Instantánea | Vencido | Esperado | Real | ¿Dentro del rango? | Precio → cierre |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±0.5% | -0.0% | dentro | 313.97 → 313.83 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.2% | +2.4% | fuera | 306.36 → 313.83 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.6% | +1.5% | dentro | 309.08 → 313.83 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.1% | +1.8% | dentro | 308.30 → 313.83 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.7% | +2.6% | dentro | 305.85 → 313.83 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.9% | +3.3% | dentro | 303.80 → 313.83 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.1% | +1.4% | dentro | 309.39 → 313.83 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.3% | +2.3% | dentro | 306.65 → 313.83 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.8% | +1.1% | dentro | 310.48 → 313.83 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.0% | -0.1% | dentro | 314.15 → 313.83 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.2% | -1.8% | dentro | 319.50 → 313.83 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.2% | -1.8% | dentro | 319.50 → 313.83 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.4% | -1.6% | dentro | 319.07 → 313.83 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.7% | -0.3% | dentro | 314.64 → 313.83 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.9% | -0.3% | dentro | 314.71 → 313.83 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.6% | +0.0% | dentro | 313.70 → 313.83 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.2% | +2.0% | dentro | 307.62 → 313.83 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.0% | -1.2% | dentro | 317.59 → 313.83 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.0% | -3.1% | dentro | 323.99 → 313.83 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.5% | -3.3% | dentro | 324.40 → 313.83 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.7% | -3.7% | dentro | 325.80 → 313.83 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.8% | -6.3% | dentro | 334.77 → 313.83 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.9% | -7.1% | dentro | 337.73 → 313.83 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.9% | -6.7% | dentro | 336.40 → 313.83 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.0% | -5.9% | dentro | 333.61 → 313.83 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.2% | -4.9% | dentro | 330.09 → 313.83 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.4% | -5.3% | dentro | 331.50 → 313.83 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.7% | -6.5% | dentro | 335.78 → 313.83 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±0.4% | -0.0% | dentro | 308.30 → 308.20 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.5% | +0.8% | dentro | 305.85 → 308.20 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.9% | +1.4% | dentro | 303.80 → 308.20 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.4% | -0.4% | dentro | 309.39 → 308.20 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.7% | +0.5% | dentro | 306.65 → 308.20 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.2% | -0.7% | dentro | 310.48 → 308.20 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.8% | -1.9% | dentro | 314.15 → 308.20 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.2% | -3.5% | dentro | 319.50 → 308.20 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.2% | -3.5% | dentro | 319.50 → 308.20 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.7% | -3.4% | dentro | 319.07 → 308.20 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.6% | -2.0% | dentro | 314.64 → 308.20 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.0% | -2.1% | dentro | 314.71 → 308.20 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.7% | -1.8% | dentro | 313.70 → 308.20 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.3% | +0.2% | dentro | 307.62 → 308.20 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.3% | -3.0% | dentro | 317.59 → 308.20 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.2% | -4.9% | dentro | 323.99 → 308.20 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.9% | -5.0% | dentro | 324.40 → 308.20 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.0% | -5.4% | dentro | 325.80 → 308.20 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.1% | -7.9% | fuera | 334.77 → 308.20 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.0% | -8.7% | fuera | 337.73 → 308.20 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.0% | -8.4% | fuera | 336.40 → 308.20 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.2% | -7.6% | fuera | 333.61 → 308.20 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.5% | -6.6% | dentro | 330.09 → 308.20 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.6% | -7.0% | dentro | 331.50 → 308.20 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.8% | -8.2% | fuera | 335.78 → 308.20 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±0.4% | -0.3% | dentro | 310.48 → 309.56 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.6% | -1.5% | dentro | 314.15 → 309.56 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.0% | -3.1% | dentro | 319.50 → 309.56 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.0% | -3.1% | dentro | 319.50 → 309.56 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.4% | -3.0% | dentro | 319.07 → 309.56 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.6% | -1.6% | dentro | 314.64 → 309.56 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.2% | -1.6% | dentro | 314.71 → 309.56 |
Los resultados comparan el rango registrado con el precio de cierre en el día de expiración. La versión del método se muestra por fila cuando difiere; actual: em-1.0.