GD 预期波动历史 General Dynamics Corporation
每个交易日收盘后，我们记录期权市场对各到期日的定价——均在结果揭晓前留存。到期日过后，实际结果会附记于原始预估值旁。预估值在事后绝不修改。 如何解读这些统计数据 · 记录开始于 Aug 31, 2026
已解决的比较项121
收盘价处于区间内39%
|实际值| 低于预期值39%
平均预期波动幅度±3.4%
平均|实际|波动幅度4.5%
平均绝对误差2.1pt
隐含与已实现波动率，按到期日
每个到期日：琥珀色轮廓框为最接近到期时记录的预期涨跌幅；实心柱为股票实际涨跌幅。柱形下方标注带符号的具体数值。
预期（已记录）实际
已记录（等待结果）
| 快照 | 到期时间 | DTE | 当时现货价 | 预期涨跌幅 | 区间 | 方法 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 | Oct 23 | 4 | 341.43 | ±1.9% | 334.90–347.95 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 343.89 | ±2.4% | 335.69–352.09 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 334.66 | ±3.3% | 323.46–345.86 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 23 | 10 | 332.42 | ±3.3% | 321.47–343.37 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 23 | 14 | 333.00 | ±3.2% | 322.20–343.80 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 23 | 15 | 329.90 | ±3.7% | 317.55–342.25 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 23 | 16 | 327.97 | ±3.6% | 316.27–339.67 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 23 | 17 | 331.83 | ±3.8% | 319.28–344.38 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 23 | 18 | 331.77 | ±3.9% | 318.72–344.82 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 23 | 21 | 330.09 | ±3.9% | 317.09–343.09 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 23 | 22 | 334.09 | ±4.4% | 319.54–348.64 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 23 | 30 | 343.20 | ±5.1% | 325.75–360.65 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 23 | 31 | 353.90 | ±5.2% | 335.55–372.25 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 23 | 32 | 352.05 | ±5.0% | 334.30–369.80 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 23 | 35 | 351.61 | ±5.4% | 332.70–370.50 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 23 | 36 | 360.00 | ±5.7% | 339.40–380.60 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 23 | 37 | 359.95 | ±5.8% | 338.90–381.00 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 23 | 38 | 356.81 | ±5.8% | 336.06–377.56 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 23 | 39 | 357.17 | ±6.0% | 335.56–378.76 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 23 | 42 | 356.25 | ±6.0% | 334.85–377.65 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 23 | 43 | 352.67 | ±6.5% | 329.77–375.57 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 23 | 44 | 357.00 | ±6.4% | 334.15–379.85 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 23 | 45 | 356.41 | ±6.5% | 333.41–379.41 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 23 | 46 | 358.89 | ±6.1% | 336.89–380.89 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 23 | 49 | 358.89 | ±6.1% | 336.89–380.89 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 19 | Oct 30 | 11 | 341.43 | ±4.5% | 326.13–356.73 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 30 | 14 | 343.89 | ±4.7% | 327.74–360.04 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 30 | 16 | 334.66 | ±5.2% | 317.31–352.01 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 30 | 17 | 332.42 | ±5.5% | 314.17–350.67 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 30 | 21 | 333.00 | ±5.2% | 315.80–350.20 | em-1.0 |
已归档快照
| 快照 | 已到期 | 预期值 | 实际值 | 在区间内？ | 现货价 → 收盘价 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±0.5% | +0.1% | 区间内 | 343.89 → 344.23 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±1.8% | +2.9% | 区间外 | 334.66 → 344.23 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.3% | +3.6% | 区间外 | 332.42 → 344.23 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.3% | +3.4% | 区间外 | 333.00 → 344.23 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.6% | +4.3% | 区间外 | 329.90 → 344.23 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.5% | +5.0% | 区间外 | 327.97 → 344.23 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.7% | +3.7% | 区间外 | 331.83 → 344.23 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.9% | +3.8% | 区间外 | 331.77 → 344.23 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.9% | +4.3% | 区间外 | 330.09 → 344.23 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.4% | +3.0% | 区间内 | 334.09 → 344.23 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.2% | +0.3% | 区间内 | 343.20 → 344.23 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.3% | -2.7% | 区间内 | 353.90 → 344.23 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.2% | -2.2% | 区间内 | 352.05 → 344.23 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.7% | -2.1% | 区间内 | 351.61 → 344.23 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.7% | -4.4% | 区间内 | 360.00 → 344.23 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.1% | -4.4% | 区间内 | 359.95 → 344.23 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.1% | -3.5% | 区间内 | 356.81 → 344.23 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.9% | -3.6% | 区间内 | 357.17 → 344.23 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.4% | -3.4% | 区间内 | 356.25 → 344.23 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.7% | -2.4% | 区间内 | 352.67 → 344.23 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.7% | -3.6% | 区间内 | 357.00 → 344.23 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.6% | -3.4% | 区间内 | 356.41 → 344.23 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.5% | -4.1% | 区间内 | 358.89 → 344.23 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.5% | -4.1% | 区间内 | 358.89 → 344.23 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.8% | -5.5% | 区间内 | 364.07 → 344.23 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.7% | -5.4% | 区间内 | 363.98 → 344.23 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.8% | -7.2% | 区间外 | 370.80 → 344.23 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.6% | -7.3% | 区间外 | 371.46 → 344.23 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±0.5% | -0.5% | 区间外 | 333.00 → 331.27 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.2% | +0.4% | 区间内 | 329.90 → 331.27 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.3% | +1.0% | 区间内 | 327.97 → 331.27 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.5% | -0.2% | 区间内 | 331.83 → 331.27 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.8% | -0.2% | 区间内 | 331.77 → 331.27 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.4% | +0.4% | 区间内 | 330.09 → 331.27 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.6% | -0.8% | 区间内 | 334.09 → 331.27 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.7% | -3.5% | 区间内 | 343.20 → 331.27 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.7% | -6.4% | 区间外 | 353.90 → 331.27 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.7% | -5.9% | 区间外 | 352.05 → 331.27 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.1% | -5.8% | 区间外 | 351.61 → 331.27 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.5% | -8.0% | 区间外 | 360.00 → 331.27 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.6% | -8.0% | 区间外 | 359.95 → 331.27 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.7% | -7.2% | 区间外 | 356.81 → 331.27 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.6% | -7.2% | 区间外 | 357.17 → 331.27 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.9% | -7.0% | 区间外 | 356.25 → 331.27 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.1% | -6.1% | 区间外 | 352.67 → 331.27 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.2% | -7.2% | 区间外 | 357.00 → 331.27 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.2% | -7.1% | 区间外 | 356.41 → 331.27 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.1% | -7.7% | 区间外 | 358.89 → 331.27 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.1% | -7.7% | 区间外 | 358.89 → 331.27 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.2% | -9.0% | 区间外 | 364.07 → 331.27 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.1% | -9.0% | 区间外 | 363.98 → 331.27 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.1% | -10.7% | 区间外 | 370.80 → 331.27 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.2% | -10.8% | 区间外 | 371.46 → 331.27 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±0.6% | +0.0% | 区间内 | 330.09 → 330.09 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.3% | -1.2% | 区间内 | 334.09 → 330.09 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±2.7% | -3.8% | 区间外 | 343.20 → 330.09 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±2.7% | -6.7% | 区间外 | 353.90 → 330.09 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±2.9% | -6.2% | 区间外 | 352.05 → 330.09 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.1% | -6.1% | 区间外 | 351.61 → 330.09 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.6% | -8.3% | 区间外 | 360.00 → 330.09 |
结果通过比较记录的价格区间与到期日收盘价得出。各行显示所用方法版本（与当前版本不同时）；当前版本： em-1.0.