FXI 预期波动历史 iShares China Large-Cap ETF
每个交易日收盘后，我们记录期权市场对各到期日的定价——均在结果揭晓前留存。到期日过后，实际结果会附记于原始预估值旁。预估值在事后绝不修改。 如何解读这些统计数据 · 记录开始于 Aug 31, 2026
已解决的比较项111
收盘价处于区间内61%
|实际值| 低于预期值61%
平均预期波动幅度±3.5%
平均|实际|波动幅度2.6%
平均绝对误差1.8pt
隐含与已实现波动率，按到期日
每个到期日：琥珀色轮廓框为最接近到期时记录的预期涨跌幅；实心柱为股票实际涨跌幅。柱形下方标注带符号的具体数值。
预期（已记录）实际
已记录（等待结果）
| 快照 | 到期时间 | DTE | 当时现货价 | 预期涨跌幅 | 区间 | 方法 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16 | Oct 16 | 0 | 33.73 | ±1.0% | 33.40–34.06 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 16 | 2 | 33.82 | ±1.3% | 33.39–34.26 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 16 | 3 | 34.19 | ±1.6% | 33.63–34.74 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 16 | 7 | 34.27 | ±2.0% | 33.56–34.97 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 16 | 8 | 33.42 | ±2.2% | 32.69–34.15 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 16 | 9 | 33.44 | ±2.3% | 32.66–34.23 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 16 | 10 | 33.74 | ±2.7% | 32.84–34.63 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 16 | 11 | 33.87 | ±2.7% | 32.94–34.80 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 16 | 14 | 33.23 | ±2.9% | 32.26–34.20 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 16 | 15 | 33.89 | ±2.8% | 32.95–34.83 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 16 | 23 | 34.98 | ±4.5% | 33.40–36.56 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 16 | 24 | 35.00 | ±4.5% | 33.42–36.58 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 16 | 25 | 34.69 | ±4.5% | 33.11–36.26 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 16 | 28 | 34.40 | ±4.7% | 32.79–36.01 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 16 | 29 | 34.20 | ±4.6% | 32.62–35.79 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 16 | 30 | 33.92 | ±4.8% | 32.28–35.55 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 16 | 31 | 34.46 | ±4.8% | 32.79–36.13 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 16 | 32 | 34.79 | ±5.2% | 32.97–36.62 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 16 | 35 | 34.48 | ±4.6% | 32.89–36.07 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 16 | 36 | 34.33 | ±4.9% | 32.65–36.02 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 16 | 37 | 34.54 | ±5.0% | 32.81–36.27 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 16 | 38 | 35.08 | ±5.7% | 33.09–37.08 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 16 | 39 | 35.88 | ±4.8% | 34.15–37.61 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 16 | 42 | 35.88 | ±4.8% | 34.15–37.61 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 16 | 43 | 35.34 | ±5.2% | 33.48–37.20 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Oct 16 | 44 | 35.57 | ±5.2% | 33.73–37.41 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Oct 16 | 45 | 35.33 | ±5.2% | 33.48–37.18 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Oct 16 | 46 | 35.43 | ±6.0% | 33.29–37.57 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 33.73 | ±2.5% | 32.87–34.59 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 33.82 | ±2.4% | 33.01–34.63 | em-1.0 |
已归档快照
| 快照 | 已到期 | 预期值 | 实际值 | 在区间内？ | 现货价 → 收盘价 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±0.7% | -0.1% | 区间内 | 34.27 → 34.24 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.5% | +2.5% | 区间外 | 33.42 → 34.24 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.2% | +2.4% | 区间外 | 33.44 → 34.24 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.4% | +1.5% | 区间内 | 33.74 → 34.24 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.7% | +1.1% | 区间内 | 33.87 → 34.24 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.0% | +3.0% | 区间外 | 33.23 → 34.24 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.6% | +1.0% | 区间内 | 33.89 → 34.24 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.2% | -2.1% | 区间内 | 34.98 → 34.24 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.2% | -2.2% | 区间内 | 35.00 → 34.24 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.9% | -1.3% | 区间内 | 34.69 → 34.24 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±14.8% | -0.5% | 区间内 | 34.40 → 34.24 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.9% | +0.1% | 区间内 | 34.20 → 34.24 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.4% | +0.9% | 区间内 | 33.92 → 34.24 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.2% | -0.6% | 区间内 | 34.46 → 34.24 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.9% | -1.6% | 区间内 | 34.79 → 34.24 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.5% | -0.7% | 区间内 | 34.48 → 34.24 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.0% | -0.3% | 区间内 | 34.33 → 34.24 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.2% | -0.9% | 区间内 | 34.54 → 34.24 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.0% | -2.4% | 区间内 | 35.08 → 34.24 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.6% | -4.6% | 区间内 | 35.88 → 34.24 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.6% | -4.6% | 区间内 | 35.88 → 34.24 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.7% | -3.1% | 区间内 | 35.34 → 34.24 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.7% | -3.7% | 区间内 | 35.57 → 34.24 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.2% | -3.1% | 区间内 | 35.33 → 34.24 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.6% | -3.4% | 区间内 | 35.43 → 34.24 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±2.0% | -0.1% | 区间内 | 33.23 → 33.19 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±0.8% | -2.1% | 区间外 | 33.89 → 33.19 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.2% | -5.1% | 区间外 | 34.98 → 33.19 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.2% | -5.2% | 区间外 | 35.00 → 33.19 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.1% | -4.3% | 区间外 | 34.69 → 33.19 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.4% | -3.5% | 区间内 | 34.40 → 33.19 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.3% | -3.0% | 区间内 | 34.20 → 33.19 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.6% | -2.2% | 区间内 | 33.92 → 33.19 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.8% | -3.7% | 区间内 | 34.46 → 33.19 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.5% | -4.6% | 区间外 | 34.79 → 33.19 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.7% | -3.7% | 区间外 | 34.48 → 33.19 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.0% | -3.3% | 区间内 | 34.33 → 33.19 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.8% | -3.9% | 区间外 | 34.54 → 33.19 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.1% | -5.4% | 区间外 | 35.08 → 33.19 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.1% | -7.5% | 区间外 | 35.88 → 33.19 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.1% | -7.5% | 区间外 | 35.88 → 33.19 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.4% | -6.1% | 区间外 | 35.34 → 33.19 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.6% | -6.7% | 区间外 | 35.57 → 33.19 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.4% | -6.1% | 区间外 | 35.33 → 33.19 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.0% | -6.3% | 区间外 | 35.43 → 33.19 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Sep 30 | ±2.4% | -2.7% | 区间外 | 34.98 → 34.02 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Sep 30 | ±2.4% | -2.8% | 区间外 | 35.00 → 34.02 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Sep 30 | ±2.8% | -1.9% | 区间内 | 34.69 → 34.02 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Sep 30 | ±8.4% | -1.1% | 区间内 | 34.40 → 34.02 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Sep 30 | ±3.0% | -0.5% | 区间内 | 34.20 → 34.02 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Sep 30 | ±3.2% | +0.3% | 区间内 | 33.92 → 34.02 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Sep 30 | ±3.7% | -1.3% | 区间内 | 34.46 → 34.02 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Sep 30 | ±8.8% | -2.2% | 区间内 | 34.79 → 34.02 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Sep 30 | ±3.4% | -1.3% | 区间内 | 34.48 → 34.02 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Sep 30 | ±3.5% | -0.9% | 区间内 | 34.33 → 34.02 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Sep 30 | ±3.5% | -1.5% | 区间内 | 34.54 → 34.02 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Sep 30 | ±3.7% | -3.0% | 区间内 | 35.08 → 34.02 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Sep 30 | ±4.7% | -5.2% | 区间外 | 35.88 → 34.02 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Sep 30 | ±4.7% | -5.2% | 区间外 | 35.88 → 34.02 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Sep 30 | ±4.1% | -3.7% | 区间内 | 35.34 → 34.02 |
结果通过比较记录的价格区间与到期日收盘价得出。各行显示所用方法版本（与当前版本不同时）；当前版本： em-1.0.