FXI histórico de movimento esperado iShares China Large-Cap ETF
A cada dia útil, após o fechamento, registramos o que o mercado de opções estava precificando — por expiração, antes de o resultado ser conhecido. Quando uma expiração passa, o resultado é registrado ao lado da estimativa original. As estimativas nunca são revisadas após o fato. Como interpretar estas estatísticas · registrando desde Aug 31, 2026
Comparações resolvidas139
Fechar dentro do intervalo68%
|Real| abaixo do esperado68%
Movimento esperado médio±3.6%
Movimento |real| médio2.5%
Erro médio absoluto1.8pt
Implícita vs. realizada, por vencimento
Para cada expiração: o contorno âmbar é o movimento esperado registrado mais próximo do vencimento; a barra sólida é o que a ação realmente fez. Os valores com sinal aparecem abaixo das barras.
esperado (registrado)real
Atualmente registado (a aguardar resultado)
| Snapshot | Expira | DTE | Spot na época | Movimento esperado | Intervalo | Método |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 | Oct 23 | 4 | 33.53 | ±1.7% | 32.95–34.12 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 33.73 | ±2.5% | 32.87–34.59 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 33.82 | ±2.4% | 33.01–34.63 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 23 | 10 | 34.19 | ±2.5% | 33.34–35.05 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 23 | 14 | 34.27 | ±2.9% | 33.26–35.27 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 23 | 15 | 33.42 | ±3.5% | 32.24–34.60 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 23 | 16 | 33.44 | ±3.0% | 32.45–34.44 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 23 | 17 | 33.74 | ±4.6% | 32.20–35.28 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 23 | 18 | 33.87 | ±3.5% | 32.67–35.07 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 23 | 21 | 33.23 | ±3.6% | 32.02–34.44 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 23 | 22 | 33.89 | ±3.8% | 32.59–35.19 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 23 | 30 | 34.98 | ±4.9% | 33.27–36.70 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 23 | 31 | 35.00 | ±4.9% | 33.28–36.72 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 23 | 32 | 34.69 | ±5.1% | 32.92–36.45 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 23 | 35 | 34.40 | ±14.0% | 29.60–39.20 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 23 | 36 | 34.20 | ±5.0% | 32.49–35.92 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 23 | 37 | 33.92 | ±6.0% | 31.88–35.96 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 23 | 38 | 34.46 | ±5.1% | 32.69–36.23 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 23 | 39 | 34.79 | ±4.2% | 33.33–36.26 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 23 | 42 | 34.48 | ±5.1% | 32.73–36.23 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 23 | 43 | 34.33 | ±9.8% | 30.95–37.70 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 23 | 44 | 34.54 | ±5.5% | 32.63–36.45 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 23 | 45 | 35.08 | ±6.0% | 32.97–37.19 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 23 | 46 | 35.88 | ±5.5% | 33.90–37.86 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 23 | 49 | 35.88 | ±5.5% | 33.90–37.86 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 23 | 50 | 35.34 | ±5.6% | 33.34–37.34 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 19 | Oct 30 | 11 | 33.53 | ±2.7% | 32.62–34.44 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 30 | 14 | 33.73 | ±3.2% | 32.65–34.80 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 30 | 16 | 33.82 | ±3.1% | 32.76–34.89 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 30 | 17 | 34.19 | ±3.0% | 33.15–35.23 | em-1.0 |
Snapshots encerrados
| Snapshot | Expirado | Esperado | Real | Dentro do intervalo? | Spot → fechamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±1.0% | +0.3% | dentro | 33.73 → 33.84 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±1.3% | +0.1% | dentro | 33.82 → 33.84 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±1.6% | -1.0% | dentro | 34.19 → 33.84 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.0% | -1.2% | dentro | 34.27 → 33.84 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.2% | +1.3% | dentro | 33.42 → 33.84 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.3% | +1.2% | dentro | 33.44 → 33.84 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.7% | +0.3% | dentro | 33.74 → 33.84 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.7% | -0.1% | dentro | 33.87 → 33.84 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.9% | +1.8% | dentro | 33.23 → 33.84 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.8% | -0.1% | dentro | 33.89 → 33.84 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.5% | -3.3% | dentro | 34.98 → 33.84 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.5% | -3.3% | dentro | 35.00 → 33.84 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.5% | -2.4% | dentro | 34.69 → 33.84 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.7% | -1.6% | dentro | 34.40 → 33.84 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.6% | -1.1% | dentro | 34.20 → 33.84 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.8% | -0.2% | dentro | 33.92 → 33.84 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.8% | -1.8% | dentro | 34.46 → 33.84 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.2% | -2.7% | dentro | 34.79 → 33.84 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.6% | -1.9% | dentro | 34.48 → 33.84 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.9% | -1.4% | dentro | 34.33 → 33.84 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.0% | -2.0% | dentro | 34.54 → 33.84 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.7% | -3.5% | dentro | 35.08 → 33.84 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.8% | -5.7% | fora | 35.88 → 33.84 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.8% | -5.7% | fora | 35.88 → 33.84 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.2% | -4.2% | dentro | 35.34 → 33.84 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.2% | -4.9% | dentro | 35.57 → 33.84 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.2% | -4.2% | dentro | 35.33 → 33.84 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.0% | -4.5% | dentro | 35.43 → 33.84 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±0.7% | -0.1% | dentro | 34.27 → 34.24 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.5% | +2.5% | fora | 33.42 → 34.24 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.2% | +2.4% | fora | 33.44 → 34.24 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.4% | +1.5% | dentro | 33.74 → 34.24 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.7% | +1.1% | dentro | 33.87 → 34.24 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.0% | +3.0% | fora | 33.23 → 34.24 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.6% | +1.0% | dentro | 33.89 → 34.24 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.2% | -2.1% | dentro | 34.98 → 34.24 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.2% | -2.2% | dentro | 35.00 → 34.24 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.9% | -1.3% | dentro | 34.69 → 34.24 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±14.8% | -0.5% | dentro | 34.40 → 34.24 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.9% | +0.1% | dentro | 34.20 → 34.24 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.4% | +0.9% | dentro | 33.92 → 34.24 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.2% | -0.6% | dentro | 34.46 → 34.24 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.9% | -1.6% | dentro | 34.79 → 34.24 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.5% | -0.7% | dentro | 34.48 → 34.24 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.0% | -0.3% | dentro | 34.33 → 34.24 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.2% | -0.9% | dentro | 34.54 → 34.24 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.0% | -2.4% | dentro | 35.08 → 34.24 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.6% | -4.6% | dentro | 35.88 → 34.24 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.6% | -4.6% | dentro | 35.88 → 34.24 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.7% | -3.1% | dentro | 35.34 → 34.24 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.7% | -3.7% | dentro | 35.57 → 34.24 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.2% | -3.1% | dentro | 35.33 → 34.24 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.6% | -3.4% | dentro | 35.43 → 34.24 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±2.0% | -0.1% | dentro | 33.23 → 33.19 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±0.8% | -2.1% | fora | 33.89 → 33.19 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.2% | -5.1% | fora | 34.98 → 33.19 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.2% | -5.2% | fora | 35.00 → 33.19 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.1% | -4.3% | fora | 34.69 → 33.19 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.4% | -3.5% | dentro | 34.40 → 33.19 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.3% | -3.0% | dentro | 34.20 → 33.19 |
Os resultados comparam o intervalo registado com o preço de fecho no dia de expiração. A versão do método é indicada por linha quando difere; atual: em-1.0.