FTNT 预期波动历史 Fortinet, Inc.
每个交易日收盘后，我们记录期权市场对各到期日的定价——均在结果揭晓前留存。到期日过后，实际结果会附记于原始预估值旁。预估值在事后绝不修改。 如何解读这些统计数据 · 记录开始于 Aug 31, 2026
已解决的比较项93
收盘价处于区间内45%
|实际值| 低于预期值45%
平均预期波动幅度±6.7%
平均|实际|波动幅度8.3%
平均绝对误差4.0pt
隐含与已实现波动率，按到期日
每个到期日：琥珀色轮廓框为最接近到期时记录的预期涨跌幅；实心柱为股票实际涨跌幅。柱形下方标注带符号的具体数值。
预期（已记录）实际
已记录（等待结果）
| 快照 | 到期时间 | DTE | 当时现货价 | 预期涨跌幅 | 区间 | 方法 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16 | Oct 16 | 0 | 169.78 | ±0.7% | 168.67–170.89 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 16 | 2 | 184.05 | ±2.5% | 179.49–188.62 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 16 | 3 | 190.76 | ±2.9% | 185.19–196.33 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 16 | 7 | 194.47 | ±4.1% | 186.42–202.52 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 16 | 8 | 189.45 | ±4.7% | 180.53–198.38 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 16 | 9 | 189.52 | ±5.4% | 179.34–199.69 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 16 | 10 | 191.33 | ±5.5% | 180.83–201.83 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 16 | 11 | 184.01 | ±5.8% | 173.38–194.63 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 16 | 14 | 180.95 | ±6.4% | 169.43–192.47 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 16 | 15 | 178.72 | ±6.9% | 166.44–191.00 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 16 | 23 | 173.66 | ±9.2% | 157.66–189.66 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 16 | 24 | 173.13 | ±9.4% | 156.91–189.36 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 16 | 25 | 174.71 | ±9.5% | 158.16–191.26 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 16 | 28 | 169.07 | ±9.7% | 152.68–185.47 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 16 | 29 | 170.00 | ±11.0% | 151.25–188.75 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 16 | 30 | 172.07 | ±10.5% | 154.07–190.07 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 16 | 31 | 172.37 | ±11.2% | 153.12–191.62 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 16 | 32 | 166.01 | ±11.1% | 147.59–184.44 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 16 | 35 | 156.07 | ±10.7% | 139.34–172.79 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 16 | 36 | 158.81 | ±11.3% | 140.79–176.84 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 16 | 37 | 157.26 | ±11.8% | 138.63–175.88 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 16 | 38 | 157.47 | ±12.1% | 138.34–176.59 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 16 | 39 | 156.29 | ±11.9% | 137.66–174.91 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 16 | 42 | 156.74 | ±11.8% | 138.31–175.16 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 16 | 43 | 157.79 | ±12.3% | 138.42–177.17 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Oct 16 | 44 | 153.18 | ±12.5% | 133.98–172.38 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Oct 16 | 45 | 163.00 | ±12.4% | 142.78–183.22 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Oct 16 | 46 | 170.71 | ±12.5% | 149.34–192.09 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 169.78 | ±5.6% | 160.35–179.21 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 184.05 | ±5.5% | 174.00–194.10 | em-1.0 |
已归档快照
| 快照 | 已到期 | 预期值 | 实际值 | 在区间内？ | 现货价 → 收盘价 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±0.7% | +0.1% | 区间内 | 194.47 → 194.75 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.3% | +2.8% | 区间外 | 189.45 → 194.75 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.8% | +2.8% | 区间内 | 189.52 → 194.75 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.6% | +1.8% | 区间内 | 191.33 → 194.75 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.5% | +5.8% | 区间外 | 184.01 → 194.75 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.1% | +7.6% | 区间外 | 180.95 → 194.75 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.9% | +9.0% | 区间外 | 178.72 → 194.75 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.8% | +12.1% | 区间外 | 173.66 → 194.75 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.7% | +12.5% | 区间外 | 173.13 → 194.75 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.9% | +11.5% | 区间外 | 174.71 → 194.75 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.3% | +15.2% | 区间外 | 169.07 → 194.75 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.0% | +14.6% | 区间外 | 170.00 → 194.75 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.1% | +13.2% | 区间外 | 172.07 → 194.75 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.6% | +13.0% | 区间外 | 172.37 → 194.75 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.7% | +17.3% | 区间外 | 166.01 → 194.75 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.7% | +24.8% | 区间外 | 156.07 → 194.75 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.5% | +22.6% | 区间外 | 158.81 → 194.75 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.7% | +23.8% | 区间外 | 157.26 → 194.75 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.9% | +23.7% | 区间外 | 157.47 → 194.75 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.8% | +24.6% | 区间外 | 156.29 → 194.75 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.8% | +24.3% | 区间外 | 156.74 → 194.75 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.1% | +23.4% | 区间外 | 157.79 → 194.75 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.4% | +27.1% | 区间外 | 153.18 → 194.75 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.6% | +19.5% | 区间外 | 163.00 → 194.75 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.7% | +14.1% | 区间外 | 170.71 → 194.75 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±0.6% | +0.0% | 区间内 | 180.95 → 180.95 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±2.0% | +1.2% | 区间内 | 178.72 → 180.95 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.0% | +4.2% | 区间内 | 173.66 → 180.95 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.9% | +4.5% | 区间内 | 173.13 → 180.95 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.3% | +3.6% | 区间内 | 174.71 → 180.95 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.8% | +7.0% | 区间外 | 169.07 → 180.95 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±7.7% | +6.4% | 区间内 | 170.00 → 180.95 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±7.7% | +5.2% | 区间内 | 172.07 → 180.95 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.2% | +5.0% | 区间内 | 172.37 → 180.95 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.2% | +9.0% | 区间外 | 166.01 → 180.95 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.3% | +15.9% | 区间外 | 156.07 → 180.95 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±9.1% | +13.9% | 区间外 | 158.81 → 180.95 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±9.4% | +15.1% | 区间外 | 157.26 → 180.95 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±9.7% | +14.9% | 区间外 | 157.47 → 180.95 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±9.6% | +15.8% | 区间外 | 156.29 → 180.95 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±9.6% | +15.4% | 区间外 | 156.74 → 180.95 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±10.0% | +14.7% | 区间外 | 157.79 → 180.95 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±10.2% | +18.1% | 区间外 | 153.18 → 180.95 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±10.3% | +11.0% | 区间外 | 163.00 → 180.95 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±10.8% | +6.0% | 区间内 | 170.71 → 180.95 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±3.7% | -0.1% | 区间内 | 173.66 → 173.46 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±3.7% | +0.2% | 区间内 | 173.13 → 173.46 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.1% | -0.7% | 区间内 | 174.71 → 173.46 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.7% | +2.6% | 区间内 | 169.07 → 173.46 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±5.9% | +2.0% | 区间内 | 170.00 → 173.46 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±6.0% | +0.8% | 区间内 | 172.07 → 173.46 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±6.3% | +0.6% | 区间内 | 172.37 → 173.46 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±6.8% | +4.5% | 区间内 | 166.01 → 173.46 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±6.5% | +11.1% | 区间外 | 156.07 → 173.46 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±7.5% | +9.2% | 区间外 | 158.81 → 173.46 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±7.9% | +10.3% | 区间外 | 157.26 → 173.46 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±8.1% | +10.2% | 区间外 | 157.47 → 173.46 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±8.0% | +11.0% | 区间外 | 156.29 → 173.46 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±8.0% | +10.7% | 区间外 | 156.74 → 173.46 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±8.6% | +9.9% | 区间外 | 157.79 → 173.46 |
结果通过比较记录的价格区间与到期日收盘价得出。各行显示所用方法版本（与当前版本不同时）；当前版本： em-1.0.