FDX 预期波动历史 FedEx Corporation
每个交易日收盘后，我们记录期权市场对各到期日的定价——均在结果揭晓前留存。到期日过后，实际结果会附记于原始预估值旁。预估值在事后绝不修改。 如何解读这些统计数据 · 记录开始于 Aug 31, 2026
已解决的比较项121
收盘价处于区间内55%
|实际值| 低于预期值55%
平均预期波动幅度±4.4%
平均|实际|波动幅度4.9%
平均绝对误差2.0pt
隐含与已实现波动率，按到期日
每个到期日：琥珀色轮廓框为最接近到期时记录的预期涨跌幅；实心柱为股票实际涨跌幅。柱形下方标注带符号的具体数值。
预期（已记录）实际
已记录（等待结果）
| 快照 | 到期时间 | DTE | 当时现货价 | 预期涨跌幅 | 区间 | 方法 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 | Oct 23 | 4 | 294.00 | ±2.4% | 287.08–300.92 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 293.26 | ±3.1% | 284.19–302.33 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 291.28 | ±3.5% | 281.20–301.36 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 23 | 10 | 291.00 | ±3.7% | 280.30–301.70 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 23 | 14 | 291.31 | ±3.8% | 280.16–302.46 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 23 | 15 | 291.84 | ±4.5% | 278.69–304.99 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 23 | 16 | 289.31 | ±4.7% | 275.68–302.93 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 23 | 17 | 288.94 | ±4.3% | 276.54–301.34 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 23 | 18 | 289.20 | ±4.7% | 275.52–302.88 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 23 | 21 | 289.38 | ±4.8% | 275.40–303.36 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 23 | 22 | 287.07 | ±5.2% | 272.14–302.00 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 23 | 30 | 296.44 | ±6.5% | 277.06–315.81 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 23 | 31 | 296.00 | ±6.5% | 276.63–315.38 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 23 | 32 | 295.60 | ±6.6% | 275.98–315.23 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 23 | 35 | 302.04 | ±7.0% | 280.94–323.14 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 23 | 36 | 307.05 | ±7.3% | 284.73–329.38 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 23 | 37 | 308.21 | ±7.6% | 284.86–331.56 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 23 | 38 | 308.36 | ±7.2% | 286.04–330.69 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 23 | 39 | 310.01 | ±7.4% | 287.21–332.81 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 23 | 42 | 312.35 | ±7.3% | 289.55–335.15 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 23 | 43 | 311.00 | ±7.8% | 286.60–335.40 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 23 | 44 | 310.32 | ±7.9% | 285.85–334.80 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 23 | 45 | 316.36 | ±8.1% | 290.86–341.86 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 23 | 46 | 322.52 | ±7.9% | 296.92–348.12 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 23 | 49 | 321.69 | ±8.0% | 296.04–347.34 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 19 | Oct 30 | 11 | 294.00 | ±7.1% | 273.02–314.98 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 30 | 14 | 293.26 | ±7.7% | 270.56–315.96 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 30 | 16 | 291.28 | ±8.2% | 267.48–315.08 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 30 | 17 | 291.00 | ±8.0% | 267.73–314.27 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 30 | 21 | 291.31 | ±8.2% | 267.36–315.26 | em-1.0 |
已归档快照
| 快照 | 已到期 | 预期值 | 实际值 | 在区间内？ | 现货价 → 收盘价 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±0.6% | +0.1% | 区间内 | 293.26 → 293.55 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±1.9% | +0.8% | 区间内 | 291.28 → 293.55 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.1% | +0.9% | 区间内 | 291.00 → 293.55 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.0% | +0.8% | 区间内 | 291.31 → 293.55 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.6% | +0.6% | 区间内 | 291.84 → 293.55 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.5% | +1.5% | 区间内 | 289.31 → 293.55 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.5% | +1.6% | 区间内 | 288.94 → 293.55 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.8% | +1.5% | 区间内 | 289.20 → 293.55 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.9% | +1.4% | 区间内 | 289.38 → 293.55 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.3% | +2.3% | 区间内 | 287.07 → 293.55 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.7% | -1.0% | 区间内 | 296.44 → 293.55 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.8% | -0.8% | 区间内 | 296.00 → 293.55 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.0% | -0.7% | 区间内 | 295.60 → 293.55 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.0% | -2.8% | 区间内 | 302.04 → 293.55 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.3% | -4.4% | 区间内 | 307.05 → 293.55 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.7% | -4.8% | 区间内 | 308.21 → 293.55 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.5% | -4.8% | 区间内 | 308.36 → 293.55 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.7% | -5.3% | 区间内 | 310.01 → 293.55 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.6% | -6.0% | 区间内 | 312.35 → 293.55 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.2% | -5.6% | 区间内 | 311.00 → 293.55 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.2% | -5.4% | 区间内 | 310.32 → 293.55 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.5% | -7.2% | 区间内 | 316.36 → 293.55 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.2% | -9.0% | 区间外 | 322.52 → 293.55 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.3% | -8.7% | 区间外 | 321.69 → 293.55 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.7% | -7.3% | 区间内 | 316.54 → 293.55 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.6% | -7.7% | 区间外 | 317.96 → 293.55 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.3% | -10.3% | 区间外 | 327.40 → 293.55 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.7% | -11.3% | 区间外 | 330.91 → 293.55 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.0% | +0.1% | 区间内 | 291.31 → 291.71 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.6% | -0.0% | 区间内 | 291.84 → 291.71 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.8% | +0.8% | 区间内 | 289.31 → 291.71 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.3% | +1.0% | 区间内 | 288.94 → 291.71 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.5% | +0.9% | 区间内 | 289.20 → 291.71 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.9% | +0.8% | 区间内 | 289.38 → 291.71 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.1% | +1.6% | 区间内 | 287.07 → 291.71 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.9% | -1.6% | 区间内 | 296.44 → 291.71 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.8% | -1.5% | 区间内 | 296.00 → 291.71 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.0% | -1.3% | 区间内 | 295.60 → 291.71 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.1% | -3.4% | 区间内 | 302.04 → 291.71 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.4% | -5.0% | 区间内 | 307.05 → 291.71 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.1% | -5.4% | 区间内 | 308.21 → 291.71 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.7% | -5.4% | 区间内 | 308.36 → 291.71 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.8% | -5.9% | 区间外 | 310.01 → 291.71 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.8% | -6.6% | 区间外 | 312.35 → 291.71 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.8% | -6.2% | 区间内 | 311.00 → 291.71 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.6% | -6.0% | 区间内 | 310.32 → 291.71 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.7% | -7.8% | 区间外 | 316.36 → 291.71 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.7% | -9.6% | 区间外 | 322.52 → 291.71 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.6% | -9.3% | 区间外 | 321.69 → 291.71 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.8% | -7.8% | 区间外 | 316.54 → 291.71 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.9% | -8.3% | 区间外 | 317.96 → 291.71 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.8% | -10.9% | 区间外 | 327.40 → 291.71 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.0% | -11.8% | 区间外 | 330.91 → 291.71 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±0.4% | +0.3% | 区间内 | 289.38 → 290.36 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.5% | +1.1% | 区间内 | 287.07 → 290.36 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.7% | -2.1% | 区间内 | 296.44 → 290.36 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.8% | -1.9% | 区间内 | 296.00 → 290.36 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.2% | -1.8% | 区间内 | 295.60 → 290.36 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.2% | -3.9% | 区间内 | 302.04 → 290.36 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.6% | -5.4% | 区间外 | 307.05 → 290.36 |
结果通过比较记录的价格区间与到期日收盘价得出。各行显示所用方法版本（与当前版本不同时）；当前版本： em-1.0.