FDX historial de movimiento esperado FedEx Corporation
Cada día de negociación, tras el cierre, registramos lo que el mercado de opciones estaba descontando — por vencimiento, antes de conocerse el resultado. Cuando un vencimiento finaliza, el resultado se anota junto a la estimación original. Las estimaciones nunca se revisan a posteriori. Cómo interpretar estas estadísticas · registrando desde Aug 31, 2026
Comparaciones resueltas93
Cierre dentro del rango46%
|Real| por debajo de lo esperado46%
Movimiento esperado promedio±4.1%
Movimiento |real| promedio5.1%
Error medio abs.2.0pt
Implícita vs realizada, por vencimiento
Para cada vencimiento: el contorno ámbar es el movimiento esperado registrado más cerca del vencimiento; la barra sólida es lo que la acción hizo realmente. Los valores con signo aparecen bajo las barras.
esperado (registrado)real
Registrado actualmente (pendiente de resultado)
| Instantánea | Vence | DTE | Precio entonces | Movimiento esperado | Rango | Método |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16 | Oct 16 | 0 | 293.26 | ±0.6% | 291.52–295.00 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 16 | 2 | 291.28 | ±1.9% | 285.88–296.69 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 16 | 3 | 291.00 | ±2.1% | 284.77–297.23 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 16 | 7 | 291.31 | ±3.0% | 282.61–300.01 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 16 | 8 | 291.84 | ±3.6% | 281.24–302.44 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 16 | 9 | 289.31 | ±3.5% | 279.26–299.35 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 16 | 10 | 288.94 | ±3.5% | 278.76–299.12 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 16 | 11 | 289.20 | ±3.8% | 278.35–300.05 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 16 | 14 | 289.38 | ±3.9% | 278.11–300.65 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 16 | 15 | 287.07 | ±4.3% | 274.77–299.37 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 16 | 23 | 296.44 | ±5.7% | 279.67–313.21 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 16 | 24 | 296.00 | ±5.8% | 278.83–313.18 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 16 | 25 | 295.60 | ±6.0% | 277.93–313.27 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 16 | 28 | 302.04 | ±6.0% | 283.87–320.21 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 16 | 29 | 307.05 | ±6.3% | 287.85–326.25 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 16 | 30 | 308.21 | ±6.7% | 287.56–328.86 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 16 | 31 | 308.36 | ±6.5% | 288.33–328.38 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 16 | 32 | 310.01 | ±6.7% | 289.26–330.76 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 16 | 35 | 312.35 | ±6.6% | 291.60–333.10 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 16 | 36 | 311.00 | ±7.2% | 288.70–333.30 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 16 | 37 | 310.32 | ±7.2% | 287.98–332.68 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 16 | 38 | 316.36 | ±7.5% | 292.61–340.11 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 16 | 39 | 322.52 | ±7.2% | 299.14–345.89 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 16 | 42 | 321.69 | ±7.3% | 298.19–345.19 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 16 | 43 | 316.54 | ±7.7% | 292.17–340.92 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Oct 16 | 44 | 317.96 | ±7.6% | 293.79–342.14 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Oct 16 | 45 | 327.40 | ±7.3% | 303.38–351.43 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Oct 16 | 46 | 330.91 | ±7.7% | 305.56–356.26 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 293.26 | ±3.1% | 284.19–302.33 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 291.28 | ±3.5% | 281.20–301.36 | em-1.0 |
Instantáneas resueltas
| Instantánea | Vencido | Esperado | Real | ¿Dentro del rango? | Precio → cierre |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.0% | +0.1% | dentro | 291.31 → 291.71 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.6% | -0.0% | dentro | 291.84 → 291.71 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.8% | +0.8% | dentro | 289.31 → 291.71 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.3% | +1.0% | dentro | 288.94 → 291.71 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.5% | +0.9% | dentro | 289.20 → 291.71 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.9% | +0.8% | dentro | 289.38 → 291.71 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.1% | +1.6% | dentro | 287.07 → 291.71 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.9% | -1.6% | dentro | 296.44 → 291.71 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.8% | -1.5% | dentro | 296.00 → 291.71 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.0% | -1.3% | dentro | 295.60 → 291.71 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.1% | -3.4% | dentro | 302.04 → 291.71 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.4% | -5.0% | dentro | 307.05 → 291.71 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.1% | -5.4% | dentro | 308.21 → 291.71 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.7% | -5.4% | dentro | 308.36 → 291.71 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.8% | -5.9% | fuera | 310.01 → 291.71 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.8% | -6.6% | fuera | 312.35 → 291.71 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.8% | -6.2% | dentro | 311.00 → 291.71 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.6% | -6.0% | dentro | 310.32 → 291.71 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.7% | -7.8% | fuera | 316.36 → 291.71 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.7% | -9.6% | fuera | 322.52 → 291.71 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.6% | -9.3% | fuera | 321.69 → 291.71 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.8% | -7.8% | fuera | 316.54 → 291.71 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.9% | -8.3% | fuera | 317.96 → 291.71 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.8% | -10.9% | fuera | 327.40 → 291.71 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.0% | -11.8% | fuera | 330.91 → 291.71 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±0.4% | +0.3% | dentro | 289.38 → 290.36 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.5% | +1.1% | dentro | 287.07 → 290.36 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.7% | -2.1% | dentro | 296.44 → 290.36 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.8% | -1.9% | dentro | 296.00 → 290.36 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.2% | -1.8% | dentro | 295.60 → 290.36 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.2% | -3.9% | dentro | 302.04 → 290.36 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.6% | -5.4% | fuera | 307.05 → 290.36 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.0% | -5.8% | fuera | 308.21 → 290.36 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.1% | -5.8% | fuera | 308.36 → 290.36 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.4% | -6.3% | fuera | 310.01 → 290.36 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.3% | -7.0% | fuera | 312.35 → 290.36 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.8% | -6.6% | fuera | 311.00 → 290.36 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.7% | -6.4% | fuera | 310.32 → 290.36 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.9% | -8.2% | fuera | 316.36 → 290.36 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.8% | -10.0% | fuera | 322.52 → 290.36 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.0% | -9.7% | fuera | 321.69 → 290.36 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.0% | -8.3% | fuera | 316.54 → 290.36 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.1% | -8.7% | fuera | 317.96 → 290.36 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.9% | -11.3% | fuera | 327.40 → 290.36 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.3% | -12.3% | fuera | 330.91 → 290.36 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±2.2% | -3.6% | fuera | 296.44 → 285.85 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±2.3% | -3.4% | fuera | 296.00 → 285.85 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±2.7% | -3.3% | fuera | 295.60 → 285.85 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±2.9% | -5.4% | fuera | 302.04 → 285.85 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±3.3% | -6.9% | fuera | 307.05 → 285.85 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.0% | -7.3% | fuera | 308.21 → 285.85 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±3.8% | -7.3% | fuera | 308.36 → 285.85 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.0% | -7.8% | fuera | 310.01 → 285.85 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.3% | -8.5% | fuera | 312.35 → 285.85 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.7% | -8.1% | fuera | 311.00 → 285.85 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.8% | -7.9% | fuera | 310.32 → 285.85 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±5.0% | -9.6% | fuera | 316.36 → 285.85 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±5.0% | -11.4% | fuera | 322.52 → 285.85 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±5.0% | -11.1% | fuera | 321.69 → 285.85 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±5.5% | -9.7% | fuera | 316.54 → 285.85 |
Los resultados comparan el rango registrado con el precio de cierre en el día de expiración. La versión del método se muestra por fila cuando difiere; actual: em-1.0.