FANG 预期波动历史 Diamondback Energy, Inc.
每个交易日收盘后，我们记录期权市场对各到期日的定价——均在结果揭晓前留存。到期日过后，实际结果会附记于原始预估值旁。预估值在事后绝不修改。 如何解读这些统计数据 · 记录开始于 Aug 31, 2026
已解决的比较项43
收盘价处于区间内60%
|实际值| 低于预期值60%
平均预期波动幅度±6.2%
平均|实际|波动幅度4.5%
平均绝对误差4.0pt
隐含与已实现波动率，按到期日
每个到期日：琥珀色轮廓框为最接近到期时记录的预期涨跌幅；实心柱为股票实际涨跌幅。柱形下方标注带符号的具体数值。
预期（已记录）实际
已记录（等待结果）
| 快照 | 到期时间 | DTE | 当时现货价 | 预期涨跌幅 | 区间 | 方法 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 | Nov 20 | 32 | 203.12 | ±8.8% | 185.17–221.07 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Nov 20 | 35 | 203.95 | ±9.0% | 185.50–222.40 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Nov 20 | 37 | 197.81 | ±9.2% | 179.61–216.01 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Nov 20 | 38 | 198.18 | ±9.0% | 180.43–215.93 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Nov 20 | 42 | 192.13 | ±9.5% | 173.88–210.38 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Nov 20 | 43 | 191.68 | ±10.1% | 172.23–211.13 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Nov 20 | 44 | 184.38 | ±10.2% | 165.53–203.23 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Nov 20 | 45 | 184.98 | ±10.1% | 166.23–203.73 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Nov 20 | 46 | 184.08 | ±10.8% | 164.18–203.98 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Nov 20 | 49 | 184.71 | ±11.0% | 164.41–205.01 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Nov 20 | 50 | 185.51 | ±11.1% | 165.01–206.01 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Nov 20 | 58 | 184.90 | ±12.2% | 162.30–207.50 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Nov 20 | 59 | 186.31 | ±12.1% | 163.86–208.76 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Nov 20 | 60 | 188.19 | ±12.4% | 164.84–211.54 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Nov 20 | 63 | 192.45 | ±12.7% | 168.05–216.85 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 19 | Dec 18 | 60 | 203.12 | ±11.6% | 179.52–226.72 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Dec 18 | 63 | 203.95 | ±11.9% | 179.70–228.20 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Dec 18 | 65 | 197.81 | ±11.8% | 174.41–221.21 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Dec 18 | 66 | 198.18 | ±11.8% | 174.78–221.58 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Dec 18 | 70 | 192.13 | ±12.2% | 168.63–215.63 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Dec 18 | 71 | 191.68 | ±12.8% | 167.18–216.18 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Dec 18 | 72 | 184.38 | ±12.8% | 160.83–207.93 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Dec 18 | 73 | 184.98 | ±12.9% | 161.13–208.83 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Dec 18 | 74 | 184.08 | ±13.3% | 159.63–208.53 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Dec 18 | 77 | 184.71 | ±13.2% | 160.26–209.16 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Dec 18 | 78 | 185.51 | ±13.4% | 160.56–210.46 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Dec 18 | 86 | 184.90 | ±14.4% | 158.20–211.60 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Dec 18 | 87 | 186.31 | ±14.3% | 159.66–212.96 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Dec 18 | 88 | 188.19 | ±14.4% | 161.09–215.29 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Dec 18 | 91 | 192.45 | ±14.8% | 163.90–221.00 | em-1.0 |
已归档快照
| 快照 | 已到期 | 预期值 | 实际值 | 在区间内？ | 现货价 → 收盘价 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.4% | +0.0% | 区间内 | 203.95 → 203.95 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.5% | +3.1% | 区间外 | 197.81 → 203.95 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.7% | +2.9% | 区间外 | 198.18 → 203.95 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.6% | +6.2% | 区间外 | 192.13 → 203.95 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.1% | +6.4% | 区间外 | 191.68 → 203.95 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.4% | +10.6% | 区间外 | 184.38 → 203.95 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.5% | +10.3% | 区间外 | 184.98 → 203.95 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.1% | +10.8% | 区间外 | 184.08 → 203.95 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.3% | +10.4% | 区间外 | 184.71 → 203.95 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.6% | +9.9% | 区间外 | 185.51 → 203.95 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.4% | +10.3% | 区间外 | 184.90 → 203.95 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.2% | +9.5% | 区间外 | 186.31 → 203.95 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.4% | +8.4% | 区间外 | 188.19 → 203.95 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.8% | +6.0% | 区间内 | 192.45 → 203.95 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.7% | +4.2% | 区间内 | 195.71 → 203.95 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.9% | +5.2% | 区间内 | 193.81 → 203.95 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.3% | -3.4% | 区间内 | 211.19 → 203.95 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.0% | -0.1% | 区间内 | 204.18 → 203.95 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.5% | -0.8% | 区间内 | 205.65 → 203.95 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.2% | -0.5% | 区间内 | 205.04 → 203.95 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.0% | +0.4% | 区间内 | 203.19 → 203.95 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.2% | +2.6% | 区间内 | 198.71 → 203.95 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.3% | +2.4% | 区间内 | 199.22 → 203.95 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.4% | +0.5% | 区间内 | 202.94 → 203.95 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.6% | +0.7% | 区间内 | 202.50 → 203.95 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.8% | +0.4% | 区间内 | 203.16 → 203.95 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.8% | +0.4% | 区间内 | 203.16 → 203.95 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.8% | +3.7% | 区间内 | 196.70 → 203.95 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±1.4% | -0.0% | 区间内 | 192.45 → 192.42 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±3.1% | -1.7% | 区间内 | 195.71 → 192.42 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±3.2% | -0.7% | 区间内 | 193.81 → 192.42 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±3.1% | -8.9% | 区间外 | 211.19 → 192.42 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.3% | -5.8% | 区间外 | 204.18 → 192.42 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.9% | -6.4% | 区间外 | 205.65 → 192.42 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.8% | -6.2% | 区间外 | 205.04 → 192.42 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.7% | -5.3% | 区间外 | 203.19 → 192.42 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.9% | -3.2% | 区间内 | 198.71 → 192.42 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±5.2% | -3.4% | 区间内 | 199.22 → 192.42 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±5.4% | -5.2% | 区间内 | 202.94 → 192.42 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±5.8% | -5.0% | 区间内 | 202.50 → 192.42 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±6.0% | -5.3% | 区间内 | 203.16 → 192.42 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±6.0% | -5.3% | 区间内 | 203.16 → 192.42 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±6.1% | -2.2% | 区间内 | 196.70 → 192.42 |
结果通过比较记录的价格区间与到期日收盘价得出。各行显示所用方法版本（与当前版本不同时）；当前版本： em-1.0.