F geschiedenis verwachte beweging Ford Motor Company
Elke handelsdag na de sluiting leggen we vast wat de optiemarkt inprijst — per vervaldatum, voordat de uitkomst bekend is. Wanneer een vervaldatum passeert, wordt de uitkomst naast de oorspronkelijke schatting vermeld. Schattingen worden achteraf nooit herzien. Hoe deze statistieken te lezen · vastlegging sinds Aug 31, 2026
Vergelijkingen opgelost121
Sluiting binnen bandbreedte32%
|Werkelijk| onder verwacht32%
Gem. verwachte beweging±5.2%
Gem. |werkelijke| beweging7.1%
Gem. abs. fout3.0pt
Impliciet vs. gerealiseerd, per expiratie
Voor elke vervaldatum: de oranje omlijning is de expected move die het dichtst bij de vervaldatum is vastgelegd; de solide balk is wat het aandeel werkelijk heeft gedaan. Getekende waarden staan onder de balken vermeld.
verwacht (vastgelegd)werkelijk
Momenteel vastgelegd (uitkomst nog onbekend)
| Snapshot | Vervalt | DTE | Spot destijds | Expected move | Bereik | Methode |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 | Oct 23 | 4 | 12.18 | ±3.2% | 11.79–12.57 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 12.43 | ±3.7% | 11.97–12.89 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 12.03 | ±3.9% | 11.56–12.50 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 23 | 10 | 12.10 | ±4.0% | 11.62–12.59 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 23 | 14 | 12.16 | ±4.7% | 11.59–12.73 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 23 | 15 | 12.24 | ±5.3% | 11.60–12.88 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 23 | 16 | 12.12 | ±5.2% | 11.48–12.76 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 23 | 17 | 12.27 | ±5.6% | 11.58–12.96 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 23 | 18 | 12.15 | ±5.6% | 11.46–12.83 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 23 | 21 | 12.11 | ±6.2% | 11.36–12.87 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 23 | 22 | 12.26 | ±6.4% | 11.48–13.04 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 23 | 30 | 13.10 | ±7.6% | 12.11–14.09 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 23 | 31 | 13.10 | ±7.6% | 12.11–14.09 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 23 | 32 | 13.19 | ±7.8% | 12.16–14.22 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 23 | 35 | 13.21 | ±8.3% | 12.12–14.30 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 23 | 36 | 13.62 | ±8.5% | 12.46–14.78 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 23 | 37 | 13.38 | ±8.6% | 12.23–14.53 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 23 | 38 | 13.51 | ±8.8% | 12.33–14.70 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 23 | 39 | 13.86 | ±9.5% | 12.54–15.18 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 23 | 42 | 13.96 | ±9.1% | 12.69–15.23 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 23 | 43 | 13.88 | ±9.5% | 12.56–15.20 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 23 | 44 | 13.52 | ±9.7% | 12.21–14.83 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 23 | 45 | 14.01 | ±9.4% | 12.70–15.33 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 23 | 46 | 14.59 | ±15.0% | 12.39–16.78 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 23 | 49 | 14.59 | ±15.0% | 12.39–16.79 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 23 | 50 | 14.39 | ±10.3% | 12.91–15.87 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 19 | Oct 30 | 11 | 12.18 | ±6.7% | 11.36–13.00 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 30 | 14 | 12.43 | ±7.4% | 11.52–13.35 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 30 | 16 | 12.03 | ±7.4% | 11.14–12.92 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 30 | 17 | 12.10 | ±7.5% | 11.19–13.01 | em-1.0 |
Vastgelegde snapshots
| Snapshot | Verlopen | Verwacht | Werkelijk | Binnen bereik? | Spot → slotkoers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±0.6% | +0.0% | binnen | 12.43 → 12.43 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.0% | +3.3% | buiten | 12.03 → 12.43 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.4% | +2.7% | buiten | 12.10 → 12.43 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.2% | +2.2% | binnen | 12.16 → 12.43 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.9% | +1.6% | binnen | 12.24 → 12.43 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.9% | +2.6% | binnen | 12.12 → 12.43 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.3% | +1.3% | binnen | 12.27 → 12.43 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.4% | +2.3% | binnen | 12.15 → 12.43 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.7% | +2.6% | binnen | 12.11 → 12.43 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.2% | +1.4% | binnen | 12.26 → 12.43 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.5% | -5.1% | binnen | 13.10 → 12.43 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.5% | -5.1% | binnen | 13.10 → 12.43 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.9% | -5.8% | binnen | 13.19 → 12.43 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.3% | -5.9% | binnen | 13.21 → 12.43 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.7% | -8.7% | buiten | 13.62 → 12.43 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.1% | -7.1% | binnen | 13.38 → 12.43 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.3% | -8.0% | binnen | 13.51 → 12.43 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.8% | -10.3% | buiten | 13.86 → 12.43 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.2% | -11.0% | buiten | 13.96 → 12.43 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.5% | -10.4% | buiten | 13.88 → 12.43 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.3% | -8.1% | binnen | 13.52 → 12.43 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.9% | -11.3% | buiten | 14.01 → 12.43 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.9% | -14.8% | buiten | 14.59 → 12.43 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.9% | -14.8% | buiten | 14.59 → 12.43 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.2% | -13.6% | buiten | 14.39 → 12.43 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.1% | -11.9% | buiten | 14.11 → 12.43 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.2% | -10.1% | buiten | 13.82 → 12.43 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.0% | -11.0% | buiten | 13.96 → 12.43 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.6% | +0.1% | binnen | 12.16 → 12.17 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.4% | -0.6% | binnen | 12.24 → 12.17 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.1% | +0.4% | binnen | 12.12 → 12.17 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.8% | -0.8% | binnen | 12.27 → 12.17 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.9% | +0.2% | binnen | 12.15 → 12.17 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.3% | +0.5% | binnen | 12.11 → 12.17 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.7% | -0.7% | binnen | 12.26 → 12.17 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.3% | -7.1% | buiten | 13.10 → 12.17 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.3% | -7.1% | buiten | 13.10 → 12.17 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.9% | -7.7% | buiten | 13.19 → 12.17 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.4% | -7.9% | buiten | 13.21 → 12.17 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.3% | -10.6% | buiten | 13.62 → 12.17 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.7% | -9.0% | buiten | 13.38 → 12.17 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.7% | -9.9% | buiten | 13.51 → 12.17 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.9% | -12.2% | buiten | 13.86 → 12.17 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.9% | -12.8% | buiten | 13.96 → 12.17 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.6% | -12.3% | buiten | 13.88 → 12.17 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.0% | -10.0% | buiten | 13.52 → 12.17 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.6% | -13.1% | buiten | 14.01 → 12.17 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.6% | -16.6% | buiten | 14.59 → 12.17 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.6% | -16.6% | buiten | 14.59 → 12.17 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.8% | -15.4% | buiten | 14.39 → 12.17 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.2% | -13.7% | buiten | 14.11 → 12.17 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.2% | -11.9% | buiten | 13.82 → 12.17 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.0% | -12.8% | buiten | 13.96 → 12.17 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.0% | -0.1% | binnen | 12.11 → 12.10 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±2.4% | -1.3% | binnen | 12.26 → 12.10 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.2% | -7.6% | buiten | 13.10 → 12.10 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.2% | -7.6% | buiten | 13.10 → 12.10 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.5% | -8.3% | buiten | 13.19 → 12.10 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.3% | -8.4% | buiten | 13.21 → 12.10 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.4% | -11.2% | buiten | 13.62 → 12.10 |
Uitkomsten vergelijken de geregistreerde bandbreedte met de slotkoers op de expiratiedag. De methodversie wordt per rij weergegeven waar deze afwijkt; huidig: em-1.0.