EXC geschiedenis verwachte beweging Exelon Corporation
Elke handelsdag na de sluiting leggen we vast wat de optiemarkt inprijst — per vervaldatum, voordat de uitkomst bekend is. Wanneer een vervaldatum passeert, wordt de uitkomst naast de oorspronkelijke schatting vermeld. Schattingen worden achteraf nooit herzien. Hoe deze statistieken te lezen · vastlegging sinds Aug 31, 2026
Vergelijkingen opgelost15
Sluiting binnen bandbreedte40%
|Werkelijk| onder verwacht40%
Gem. verwachte beweging±2.4%
Gem. |werkelijke| beweging2.9%
Gem. abs. fout1.1pt
Impliciet vs. gerealiseerd, per expiratie
Voor elke vervaldatum: de oranje omlijning is de expected move die het dichtst bij de vervaldatum is vastgelegd; de solide balk is wat het aandeel werkelijk heeft gedaan. Getekende waarden staan onder de balken vermeld.
verwacht (vastgelegd)werkelijk
Momenteel vastgelegd (uitkomst nog onbekend)
| Snapshot | Vervalt | DTE | Spot destijds | Expected move | Bereik | Methode |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16 | Oct 16 | 0 | 43.49 | ±1.3% | 42.91–44.06 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 16 | 2 | 42.60 | ±1.9% | 41.77–43.42 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 16 | 3 | 42.16 | ±2.1% | 41.28–43.03 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 16 | 7 | 41.53 | ±2.3% | 40.58–42.48 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 16 | 8 | 41.73 | ±2.3% | 40.76–42.70 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 16 | 9 | 41.49 | ±2.7% | 40.39–42.59 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 16 | 10 | 41.68 | ±2.5% | 40.66–42.70 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 16 | 11 | 40.82 | ±2.6% | 39.74–41.90 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 16 | 14 | 40.73 | ±2.9% | 39.53–41.93 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 16 | 15 | 40.48 | ±3.5% | 39.05–41.91 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 16 | 23 | 41.80 | ±3.7% | 40.25–43.35 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 16 | 24 | 41.80 | ±3.7% | 40.25–43.35 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 16 | 25 | 41.98 | ±3.9% | 40.33–43.63 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 16 | 28 | 42.07 | ±4.1% | 40.34–43.80 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 16 | 29 | 42.66 | ±4.5% | 40.76–44.56 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 16 | 30 | 42.40 | ±4.7% | 40.42–44.38 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 16 | 31 | 42.26 | ±5.0% | 40.16–44.36 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 16 | 32 | 42.72 | ±4.8% | 40.67–44.77 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 16 | 35 | 43.12 | ±4.8% | 41.04–45.19 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 16 | 36 | 43.87 | ±5.0% | 41.70–46.05 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 16 | 37 | 43.87 | ±5.0% | 41.70–46.05 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 16 | 38 | 43.95 | ±5.1% | 41.73–46.17 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 16 | 39 | 43.64 | ±5.2% | 41.37–45.91 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 16 | 42 | 44.00 | ±5.3% | 41.67–46.33 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 16 | 43 | 44.41 | ±4.9% | 42.23–46.59 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Oct 16 | 44 | 44.21 | ±5.3% | 41.88–46.53 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Oct 16 | 45 | 43.83 | ±5.5% | 41.43–46.23 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Oct 16 | 46 | 43.40 | ±5.4% | 41.05–45.75 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Nov 20 | 35 | 43.49 | ±5.1% | 41.29–45.69 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Nov 20 | 37 | 42.60 | ±5.3% | 40.33–44.88 | em-1.0 |
Vastgelegde snapshots
| Snapshot | Verlopen | Verwacht | Werkelijk | Binnen bereik? | Spot → slotkoers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±1.6% | +0.0% | binnen | 42.07 → 42.07 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±1.4% | -1.4% | binnen | 42.66 → 42.07 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±1.8% | -0.8% | binnen | 42.40 → 42.07 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±1.7% | -0.5% | binnen | 42.26 → 42.07 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±1.6% | -1.5% | binnen | 42.72 → 42.07 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±2.3% | -2.4% | buiten | 43.12 → 42.07 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±2.6% | -4.1% | buiten | 43.87 → 42.07 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±2.6% | -4.1% | buiten | 43.87 → 42.07 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±2.5% | -4.3% | buiten | 43.95 → 42.07 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±2.8% | -3.6% | buiten | 43.64 → 42.07 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±2.7% | -4.4% | buiten | 44.00 → 42.07 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±2.9% | -5.3% | buiten | 44.41 → 42.07 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±3.1% | -4.8% | buiten | 44.21 → 42.07 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±3.2% | -4.0% | buiten | 43.83 → 42.07 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±3.3% | -3.1% | binnen | 43.40 → 42.07 |
Uitkomsten vergelijken de geregistreerde bandbreedte met de slotkoers op de expiratiedag. De methodversie wordt per rij weergegeven waar deze afwijkt; huidig: em-1.0.