EFA 预期波动历史 iShares MSCI EAFE ETF

每个交易日收盘后，我们记录期权市场对各到期日的定价——均在结果揭晓前留存。到期日过后，实际结果会附记于原始预估值旁。预估值在事后绝不修改。如何解读这些统计数据 · 记录开始于 Aug 31, 2026

已解决的比较项1

收盘价处于区间内100%

|实际值| 低于预期值100%

平均预期波动幅度±0.4%

平均|实际|波动幅度0.3%

平均绝对误差0.1pt

隐含与已实现波动率，按到期日

每个到期日：琥珀色轮廓框为最接近到期时记录的预期涨跌幅；实心柱为股票实际涨跌幅。柱形下方标注带符号的具体数值。

预期（已记录）实际

已记录（等待结果）

快照	到期时间	DTE	当时现货价	预期涨跌幅	区间	方法
Sep 02	Sep 04	2	107.06	±2.5%	104.42–109.70	em-1.0
Sep 01	Sep 04	3	106.41	±1.4%	104.91–107.91	em-1.0
Aug 31	Sep 04	4	107.76	±1.1%	106.58–108.94	em-1.0
Sep 02	Sep 11	9	107.06	±1.2%	105.74–108.38	em-1.0
Sep 01	Sep 11	10	106.41	±2.1%	104.22–108.60	em-1.0
Aug 31	Sep 11	11	107.76	±1.7%	105.97–109.55	em-1.0
Sep 02	Sep 18	16	107.06	±2.2%	104.75–109.36	em-1.0
Sep 01	Sep 18	17	106.41	±3.0%	103.21–109.61	em-1.0
Aug 31	Sep 18	18	107.76	±2.2%	105.34–110.17	em-1.0
Sep 02	Sep 25	23	107.06	±2.6%	104.28–109.84	em-1.0
Sep 01	Sep 25	24	106.41	±3.1%	103.08–109.74	em-1.0
Aug 31	Sep 25	25	107.76	±2.7%	104.90–110.62	em-1.0
Sep 02	Sep 30	28	107.06	±3.0%	103.85–110.27	em-1.0
Sep 01	Sep 30	29	106.41	±3.3%	102.92–109.89	em-1.0
Aug 31	Sep 30	30	107.76	±2.9%	104.64–110.88	em-1.0
Sep 02	Oct 02	30	107.06	±3.1%	103.78–110.33	em-1.0
Sep 01	Oct 02	31	106.41	±3.1%	103.12–109.70	em-1.0
Aug 31	Oct 02	32	107.76	±3.1%	104.46–111.06	em-1.0
Sep 02	Oct 09	37	107.06	±3.4%	103.45–110.67	em-1.0
Sep 01	Oct 09	38	106.41	±3.4%	102.78–110.04	em-1.0
Aug 31	Oct 09	39	107.76	±3.5%	104.01–111.51	em-1.0
Sep 02	Oct 16	44	107.06	±3.9%	102.86–111.26	em-1.0
Sep 01	Oct 16	45	106.41	±4.2%	101.97–110.85	em-1.0
Aug 31	Oct 16	46	107.76	±3.8%	103.64–111.88	em-1.0
Sep 02	Oct 30	58	107.06	±4.9%	101.83–112.28	em-1.0
Sep 01	Oct 30	59	106.41	±5.2%	100.86–111.97	em-1.0
Aug 31	Oct 30	60	107.76	±4.6%	102.80–112.72	em-1.0
Sep 02	Nov 20	79	107.06	±5.6%	101.02–113.10	em-1.0
Sep 01	Nov 20	80	106.41	±6.1%	99.88–112.94	em-1.0
Aug 31	Nov 20	81	107.76	±5.5%	101.78–113.74	em-1.0

快照	已到期	预期值	实际值	在区间内？	现货价 → 收盘价
Aug 31, 2026	Aug 31	±0.4%	-0.3%	区间内	107.76 → 107.45

结果通过比较记录的价格区间与到期日收盘价得出。各行显示所用方法版本（与当前版本不同时）；当前版本： em-1.0.