EFA geschiedenis verwachte beweging iShares MSCI EAFE ETF
Elke handelsdag na de sluiting leggen we vast wat de optiemarkt inprijst — per vervaldatum, voordat de uitkomst bekend is. Wanneer een vervaldatum passeert, wordt de uitkomst naast de oorspronkelijke schatting vermeld. Schattingen worden achteraf nooit herzien. Hoe deze statistieken te lezen · vastlegging sinds Aug 31, 2026
Vergelijkingen opgelost112
Sluiting binnen bandbreedte79%
|Werkelijk| onder verwacht79%
Gem. verwachte beweging±2.8%
Gem. |werkelijke| beweging1.7%
Gem. abs. fout1.2pt
Impliciet vs. gerealiseerd, per expiratie
Voor elke vervaldatum: de oranje omlijning is de expected move die het dichtst bij de vervaldatum is vastgelegd; de solide balk is wat het aandeel werkelijk heeft gedaan. Getekende waarden staan onder de balken vermeld.
verwacht (vastgelegd)werkelijk
Momenteel vastgelegd (uitkomst nog onbekend)
| Snapshot | Vervalt | DTE | Spot destijds | Expected move | Bereik | Methode |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16 | Oct 16 | 0 | 103.52 | ±0.3% | 103.20–103.83 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 16 | 2 | 102.75 | ±1.0% | 101.73–103.77 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 16 | 3 | 103.47 | ±1.3% | 102.17–104.78 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 16 | 7 | 103.39 | ±3.5% | 99.74–107.04 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 16 | 8 | 102.74 | ±1.8% | 100.85–104.63 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 16 | 9 | 102.90 | ±4.9% | 97.85–107.95 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 16 | 10 | 104.25 | ±5.0% | 99.07–109.42 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 16 | 11 | 104.03 | ±2.2% | 101.69–106.36 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 16 | 14 | 103.96 | ±2.3% | 101.59–106.33 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 16 | 15 | 102.89 | ±2.4% | 100.46–105.32 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 16 | 23 | 106.70 | ±3.4% | 103.09–110.31 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 16 | 24 | 106.05 | ±2.7% | 103.15–108.95 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 16 | 25 | 105.99 | ±2.7% | 103.09–108.89 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 16 | 28 | 105.00 | ±3.5% | 101.31–108.69 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 16 | 29 | 106.00 | ±3.2% | 102.59–109.39 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 16 | 30 | 105.00 | ±3.9% | 100.88–109.12 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 16 | 31 | 105.39 | ±3.7% | 101.47–109.31 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 16 | 32 | 105.96 | ±4.1% | 101.58–110.33 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 16 | 35 | 105.66 | ±4.3% | 101.16–110.17 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 16 | 36 | 105.82 | ±3.8% | 101.81–109.83 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 16 | 37 | 106.57 | ±3.6% | 102.78–110.36 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 16 | 38 | 107.81 | ±4.6% | 102.86–112.77 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 16 | 39 | 108.35 | ±3.6% | 104.41–112.29 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 16 | 42 | 107.31 | ±4.2% | 102.77–111.85 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 16 | 43 | 107.31 | ±4.2% | 102.77–111.85 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Oct 16 | 44 | 107.06 | ±3.9% | 102.86–111.26 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Oct 16 | 45 | 106.41 | ±4.2% | 101.97–110.85 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Oct 16 | 46 | 107.76 | ±3.8% | 103.64–111.88 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 103.52 | ±1.5% | 101.97–105.07 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 102.75 | ±1.9% | 100.82–104.68 | em-1.0 |
Vastgelegde snapshots
| Snapshot | Verlopen | Verwacht | Werkelijk | Binnen bereik? | Spot → slotkoers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.7% | +0.0% | binnen | 103.39 → 103.40 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±0.8% | +0.6% | binnen | 102.74 → 103.40 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.8% | +0.5% | binnen | 102.90 → 103.40 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.2% | -0.8% | binnen | 104.25 → 103.40 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.3% | -0.6% | binnen | 104.03 → 103.40 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.3% | -0.5% | binnen | 103.96 → 103.40 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.8% | +0.5% | binnen | 102.89 → 103.40 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.1% | -3.1% | binnen | 106.70 → 103.40 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.4% | -2.5% | buiten | 106.05 → 103.40 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.4% | -2.4% | buiten | 105.99 → 103.40 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.1% | -1.5% | binnen | 105.00 → 103.40 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.8% | -2.4% | binnen | 106.00 → 103.40 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.9% | -1.5% | binnen | 105.00 → 103.40 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.1% | -1.9% | binnen | 105.39 → 103.40 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.5% | -2.4% | binnen | 105.96 → 103.40 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.8% | -2.1% | binnen | 105.66 → 103.40 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.3% | -2.3% | binnen | 105.82 → 103.40 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.0% | -3.0% | binnen | 106.57 → 103.40 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.8% | -4.1% | buiten | 107.81 → 103.40 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.1% | -4.6% | buiten | 108.35 → 103.40 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.1% | -3.6% | binnen | 107.31 → 103.40 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.1% | -3.6% | binnen | 107.31 → 103.40 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.4% | -3.4% | buiten | 107.06 → 103.40 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.4% | -2.8% | binnen | 106.41 → 103.40 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.5% | -4.0% | buiten | 107.76 → 103.40 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.7% | +0.0% | binnen | 103.96 → 103.96 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.0% | +1.0% | buiten | 102.89 → 103.96 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±2.9% | -2.6% | binnen | 106.70 → 103.96 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.9% | -2.0% | buiten | 106.05 → 103.96 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.9% | -1.9% | buiten | 105.99 → 103.96 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±2.0% | -1.0% | binnen | 105.00 → 103.96 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±2.3% | -1.9% | binnen | 106.00 → 103.96 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.8% | -1.0% | binnen | 105.00 → 103.96 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±2.7% | -1.4% | binnen | 105.39 → 103.96 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.1% | -1.9% | binnen | 105.96 → 103.96 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.5% | -1.6% | binnen | 105.66 → 103.96 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±2.9% | -1.8% | binnen | 105.82 → 103.96 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±2.9% | -2.4% | binnen | 106.57 → 103.96 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.5% | -3.6% | buiten | 107.81 → 103.96 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.3% | -4.1% | buiten | 108.35 → 103.96 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.1% | -3.1% | binnen | 107.31 → 103.96 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.1% | -3.1% | binnen | 107.31 → 103.96 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.1% | -2.9% | binnen | 107.06 → 103.96 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.1% | -2.3% | binnen | 106.41 → 103.96 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.1% | -3.5% | buiten | 107.76 → 103.96 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Sep 30 | ±3.1% | -2.6% | binnen | 106.70 → 103.89 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Sep 30 | ±1.5% | -2.0% | buiten | 106.05 → 103.89 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Sep 30 | ±1.5% | -2.0% | buiten | 105.99 → 103.89 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Sep 30 | ±2.3% | -1.1% | binnen | 105.00 → 103.89 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Sep 30 | ±2.0% | -2.0% | binnen | 106.00 → 103.89 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Sep 30 | ±4.8% | -1.1% | binnen | 105.00 → 103.89 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Sep 30 | ±2.6% | -1.4% | binnen | 105.39 → 103.89 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Sep 30 | ±2.9% | -2.0% | binnen | 105.96 → 103.89 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Sep 30 | ±3.1% | -1.7% | binnen | 105.66 → 103.89 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Sep 30 | ±2.7% | -1.8% | binnen | 105.82 → 103.89 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Sep 30 | ±2.6% | -2.5% | binnen | 106.57 → 103.89 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Sep 30 | ±3.5% | -3.6% | buiten | 107.81 → 103.89 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Sep 30 | ±2.4% | -4.1% | buiten | 108.35 → 103.89 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Sep 30 | ±3.9% | -3.2% | binnen | 107.31 → 103.89 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Sep 30 | ±3.9% | -3.2% | binnen | 107.31 → 103.89 |
Uitkomsten vergelijken de geregistreerde bandbreedte met de slotkoers op de expiratiedag. De methodversie wordt per rij weergegeven waar deze afwijkt; huidig: em-1.0.