EEM 预期波动历史 iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF
每个交易日收盘后，我们记录期权市场对各到期日的定价——均在结果揭晓前留存。到期日过后，实际结果会附记于原始预估值旁。预估值在事后绝不修改。 如何解读这些统计数据 · 记录开始于 Aug 31, 2026
已解决的比较项196
收盘价处于区间内73%
|实际值| 低于预期值73%
平均预期波动幅度±2.8%
平均|实际|波动幅度1.6%
平均绝对误差1.6pt
隐含与已实现波动率，按到期日
每个到期日：琥珀色轮廓框为最接近到期时记录的预期涨跌幅；实心柱为股票实际涨跌幅。柱形下方标注带符号的具体数值。
预期（已记录）实际
已记录（等待结果）
| 快照 | 到期时间 | DTE | 当时现货价 | 预期涨跌幅 | 区间 | 方法 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16 | Oct 16 | 0 | 62.83 | ±0.4% | 62.55–63.11 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 16 | 2 | 64.30 | ±1.6% | 63.25–65.35 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 16 | 3 | 65.72 | ±1.6% | 64.65–66.79 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 16 | 7 | 66.80 | ±2.1% | 65.39–68.21 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 16 | 8 | 66.01 | ±2.5% | 64.35–67.67 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 16 | 9 | 67.44 | ±2.6% | 65.67–69.22 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 16 | 10 | 68.34 | ±2.6% | 66.54–70.14 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 16 | 11 | 68.72 | ±3.0% | 66.66–70.79 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 16 | 14 | 67.64 | ±3.3% | 65.41–69.89 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 16 | 15 | 66.80 | ±3.7% | 64.31–69.28 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 16 | 23 | 69.10 | ±4.8% | 65.78–72.42 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 16 | 24 | 68.98 | ±4.8% | 65.67–72.30 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 16 | 25 | 68.76 | ±4.7% | 65.50–72.03 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 16 | 28 | 67.23 | ±4.9% | 63.94–70.52 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 16 | 29 | 66.90 | ±5.2% | 63.41–70.39 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 16 | 30 | 65.61 | ±5.6% | 61.95–69.27 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 16 | 31 | 65.67 | ±5.5% | 62.06–69.28 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 16 | 32 | 66.04 | ±5.6% | 62.35–69.72 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 16 | 35 | 67.74 | ±5.7% | 63.90–71.58 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 16 | 36 | 67.19 | ±5.8% | 63.30–71.08 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 16 | 37 | 68.42 | ±5.8% | 64.44–72.40 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 16 | 38 | 68.79 | ±5.7% | 64.88–72.70 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 16 | 39 | 68.70 | ±5.5% | 64.89–72.51 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 16 | 42 | 68.41 | ±5.5% | 64.61–72.20 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 16 | 43 | 67.59 | ±5.5% | 63.89–71.29 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Oct 16 | 44 | 67.04 | ±5.7% | 63.20–70.88 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Oct 16 | 45 | 66.77 | ±5.8% | 62.87–70.67 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Oct 16 | 46 | 67.03 | ±6.2% | 62.88–71.17 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 62.83 | ±2.7% | 61.14–64.52 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 64.30 | ±2.8% | 62.51–66.09 | em-1.0 |
已归档快照
| 快照 | 已到期 | 预期值 | 实际值 | 在区间内？ | 现货价 → 收盘价 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 12 | ±0.9% | -1.0% | 区间外 | 66.80 → 66.15 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 12 | ±1.4% | +0.2% | 区间内 | 66.01 → 66.15 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 12 | ±1.8% | -1.9% | 区间外 | 67.44 → 66.15 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 12 | ±1.8% | -3.2% | 区间外 | 68.34 → 66.15 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 12 | ±1.9% | -3.7% | 区间外 | 68.72 → 66.15 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 12 | ±2.6% | -2.2% | 区间内 | 67.64 → 66.15 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 12 | ±3.4% | -1.0% | 区间内 | 66.80 → 66.15 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±0.5% | +0.0% | 区间内 | 66.80 → 66.80 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.0% | +1.2% | 区间外 | 66.01 → 66.80 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.2% | -0.9% | 区间内 | 67.44 → 66.80 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.5% | -2.3% | 区间外 | 68.34 → 66.80 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.9% | -2.8% | 区间外 | 68.72 → 66.80 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.3% | -1.2% | 区间内 | 67.64 → 66.80 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.5% | +0.0% | 区间内 | 66.80 → 66.80 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.1% | -3.3% | 区间内 | 69.10 → 66.80 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.1% | -3.2% | 区间内 | 68.98 → 66.80 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.0% | -2.9% | 区间内 | 68.76 → 66.80 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.1% | -0.6% | 区间内 | 67.23 → 66.80 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.4% | -0.1% | 区间内 | 66.90 → 66.80 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.9% | +1.8% | 区间内 | 65.61 → 66.80 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.8% | +1.7% | 区间内 | 65.67 → 66.80 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.8% | +1.2% | 区间内 | 66.04 → 66.80 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.1% | -1.4% | 区间内 | 67.74 → 66.80 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.3% | -0.6% | 区间内 | 67.19 → 66.80 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.9% | -2.4% | 区间内 | 68.42 → 66.80 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.1% | -2.9% | 区间内 | 68.79 → 66.80 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.1% | -2.8% | 区间内 | 68.70 → 66.80 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.1% | -2.4% | 区间内 | 68.41 → 66.80 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.0% | -1.2% | 区间内 | 67.59 → 66.80 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.3% | -0.4% | 区间内 | 67.04 → 66.80 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.3% | +0.0% | 区间内 | 66.77 → 66.80 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.5% | -0.3% | 区间内 | 67.03 → 66.80 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 07 | ±0.6% | -0.1% | 区间内 | 67.44 → 67.37 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 07 | ±1.1% | -1.4% | 区间外 | 68.34 → 67.37 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 07 | ±1.3% | -2.0% | 区间外 | 68.72 → 67.37 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 07 | ±1.8% | -0.4% | 区间内 | 67.64 → 67.37 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 07 | ±2.5% | +0.9% | 区间内 | 66.80 → 67.37 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 07 | ±3.4% | -2.5% | 区间内 | 69.10 → 67.37 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 07 | ±3.4% | -2.3% | 区间内 | 68.98 → 67.37 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 05 | ±0.5% | +0.0% | 区间内 | 68.72 → 68.73 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 05 | ±1.2% | +1.6% | 区间外 | 67.64 → 68.73 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 05 | ±1.3% | +2.9% | 区间外 | 66.80 → 68.73 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 05 | ±3.2% | -0.5% | 区间内 | 69.10 → 68.73 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 05 | ±3.3% | -0.4% | 区间内 | 68.98 → 68.73 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 05 | ±3.2% | -0.0% | 区间内 | 68.76 → 68.73 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±0.3% | +0.0% | 区间内 | 67.64 → 67.67 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.1% | +1.3% | 区间外 | 66.80 → 67.67 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.0% | -2.1% | 区间内 | 69.10 → 67.67 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.0% | -1.9% | 区间内 | 68.98 → 67.67 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.0% | -1.6% | 区间内 | 68.76 → 67.67 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.3% | +0.7% | 区间内 | 67.23 → 67.67 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.6% | +1.2% | 区间内 | 66.90 → 67.67 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.0% | +3.1% | 区间内 | 65.61 → 67.67 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.1% | +3.0% | 区间内 | 65.67 → 67.67 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.6% | +2.5% | 区间内 | 66.04 → 67.67 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.4% | -0.1% | 区间内 | 67.74 → 67.67 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.5% | +0.7% | 区间内 | 67.19 → 67.67 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.3% | -1.1% | 区间内 | 68.42 → 67.67 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.4% | -1.6% | 区间内 | 68.79 → 67.67 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.6% | -1.5% | 区间内 | 68.70 → 67.67 |
结果通过比较记录的价格区间与到期日收盘价得出。各行显示所用方法版本（与当前版本不同时）；当前版本： em-1.0.