DUK riwayat pergerakan yang diperkirakan Duke Energy Corporation
Setiap hari perdagangan setelah penutupan, kami mencatat apa yang diperhitungkan pasar opsi — per expirasi, sebelum hasilnya diketahui. Ketika suatu expirasi berlalu, hasilnya ditulis di samping estimasi awal. Estimasi tidak pernah direvisi setelah fakta terjadi. Cara membaca statistik ini · merekam sejak Aug 31, 2026
Perbandingan terselesaikan15
Tutup dalam rentang67%
|Aktual| di bawah ekspektasi67%
Rata-rata pergerakan yang diperkirakan±2.4%
Rata-rata pergerakan |aktual|2.0%
Rata-rata kesalahan absolut0.7pt
Implied vs realized, per kedaluwarsa
Untuk setiap expirasi: garis tepi berwarna kuning adalah pergerakan yang diharapkan yang dicatat paling dekat dengan expirasi; batang padat adalah pergerakan saham yang sebenarnya terjadi. Nilai bertanda dicetak di bawah batang.
ekspektasi (direkam)aktual
Sedang dicatat (menunggu hasil)
| Snapshot | Kedaluwarsa | DTE | Spot saat itu | Pergerakan yang diharapkan | Rentang | Metode |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16 | Oct 16 | 0 | 121.47 | ±1.3% | 119.94–123.00 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 16 | 2 | 119.64 | ±0.9% | 118.54–120.74 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 16 | 3 | 118.19 | ±1.8% | 116.02–120.36 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 16 | 7 | 116.58 | ±2.3% | 113.95–119.20 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 16 | 8 | 116.84 | ±3.1% | 113.17–120.52 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 16 | 9 | 115.20 | ±2.0% | 112.87–117.52 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 16 | 10 | 115.66 | ±2.3% | 113.01–118.31 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 16 | 11 | 113.84 | ±2.4% | 111.09–116.59 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 16 | 14 | 114.13 | ±2.5% | 111.23–117.03 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 16 | 15 | 113.74 | ±2.9% | 110.44–117.04 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 16 | 23 | 116.31 | ±3.5% | 112.19–120.44 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 16 | 24 | 116.39 | ±3.5% | 112.31–120.47 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 16 | 25 | 117.63 | ±3.6% | 113.38–121.88 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 16 | 28 | 117.65 | ±3.8% | 113.17–122.12 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 16 | 29 | 117.45 | ±4.9% | 111.75–123.15 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 16 | 30 | 119.02 | ±4.2% | 114.07–123.97 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 16 | 31 | 119.02 | ±4.2% | 114.07–123.97 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 16 | 32 | 119.10 | ±4.1% | 114.25–123.95 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 16 | 35 | 119.52 | ±4.2% | 114.47–124.57 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 16 | 36 | 120.43 | ±4.5% | 115.03–125.83 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 16 | 37 | 121.24 | ±4.8% | 115.39–127.09 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 16 | 38 | 120.55 | ±4.3% | 115.38–125.72 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 16 | 39 | 121.73 | ±4.9% | 115.81–127.66 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 16 | 42 | 121.73 | ±4.9% | 115.81–127.66 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 16 | 43 | 121.18 | ±4.8% | 115.33–127.03 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Oct 16 | 44 | 120.20 | ±4.8% | 114.38–126.03 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Oct 16 | 45 | 120.27 | ±4.9% | 114.37–126.17 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Oct 16 | 46 | 120.27 | ±4.9% | 114.39–126.14 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Nov 20 | 35 | 121.47 | ±4.9% | 115.50–127.44 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Nov 20 | 37 | 119.64 | ±4.8% | 113.94–125.34 | em-1.0 |
Snapshot yang telah diselesaikan
| Snapshot | Kedaluwarsa | Diharapkan | Aktual | Dalam kisaran? | Spot → penutupan |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±2.4% | -0.1% | di dalam | 117.65 → 117.53 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±2.2% | +0.1% | di dalam | 117.45 → 117.53 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±1.7% | -1.3% | di dalam | 119.02 → 117.53 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±1.7% | -1.3% | di dalam | 119.02 → 117.53 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±1.8% | -1.3% | di dalam | 119.10 → 117.53 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±1.7% | -1.7% | di dalam | 119.52 → 117.53 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±2.2% | -2.4% | di luar | 120.43 → 117.53 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±2.8% | -3.1% | di luar | 121.24 → 117.53 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±2.7% | -2.5% | di dalam | 120.55 → 117.53 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±2.8% | -3.5% | di luar | 121.73 → 117.53 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±2.8% | -3.5% | di luar | 121.73 → 117.53 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±2.7% | -3.0% | di luar | 121.18 → 117.53 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±2.9% | -2.2% | di dalam | 120.20 → 117.53 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±3.0% | -2.3% | di dalam | 120.27 → 117.53 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±2.8% | -2.3% | di dalam | 120.27 → 117.53 |
Hasil membandingkan rentang yang tercatat dengan harga penutupan pada hari kedaluwarsa. Versi metode ditampilkan per baris jika berbeda; saat ini: em-1.0.