DPZ historial de movimiento esperado Domino's Pizza, Inc.
Cada día de negociación, tras el cierre, registramos lo que el mercado de opciones estaba descontando — por vencimiento, antes de conocerse el resultado. Cuando un vencimiento finaliza, el resultado se anota junto a la estimación original. Las estimaciones nunca se revisan a posteriori. Cómo interpretar estas estadísticas · registrando desde Aug 31, 2026
Comparaciones resueltas43
Cierre dentro del rango60%
|Real| por debajo de lo esperado60%
Movimiento esperado promedio±7.1%
Movimiento |real| promedio6.5%
Error medio abs.4.7pt
Implícita vs realizada, por vencimiento
Para cada vencimiento: el contorno ámbar es el movimiento esperado registrado más cerca del vencimiento; la barra sólida es lo que la acción hizo realmente. Los valores con signo aparecen bajo las barras.
esperado (registrado)real
Registrado actualmente (pendiente de resultado)
| Instantánea | Vence | DTE | Precio entonces | Movimiento esperado | Rango | Método |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20 | Nov 20 | 31 | 316.31 | ±7.3% | 293.26–339.36 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 19 | Nov 20 | 32 | 305.42 | ±7.7% | 281.82–329.02 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Nov 20 | 35 | 308.64 | ±7.5% | 285.49–331.79 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Nov 20 | 37 | 291.70 | ±8.0% | 268.40–315.00 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Nov 20 | 38 | 296.10 | ±8.4% | 271.10–321.10 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Nov 20 | 42 | 309.36 | ±10.8% | 276.01–342.71 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Nov 20 | 43 | 304.06 | ±10.9% | 270.96–337.16 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Nov 20 | 44 | 303.10 | ±11.2% | 269.15–337.05 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Nov 20 | 45 | 302.87 | ±10.3% | 271.72–334.02 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Nov 20 | 46 | 297.27 | ±10.9% | 264.92–329.62 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Nov 20 | 49 | 297.62 | ±11.5% | 263.31–331.92 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Nov 20 | 50 | 295.00 | ±11.4% | 261.40–328.60 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Nov 20 | 58 | 297.50 | ±11.7% | 262.60–332.40 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Nov 20 | 59 | 297.57 | ±11.8% | 262.32–332.82 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Nov 20 | 60 | 295.00 | ±12.2% | 259.00–331.00 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Nov 20 | 63 | 297.05 | ±12.1% | 261.20–332.90 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Nov 20 | 64 | 301.70 | ±13.0% | 262.40–341.00 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 20 | Dec 18 | 59 | 316.31 | ±10.4% | 283.56–349.06 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 19 | Dec 18 | 60 | 305.42 | ±11.2% | 271.32–339.52 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Dec 18 | 63 | 308.64 | ±10.5% | 276.14–341.14 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Dec 18 | 65 | 291.70 | ±10.7% | 260.45–322.95 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Dec 18 | 66 | 296.10 | ±10.7% | 264.50–327.70 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Dec 18 | 70 | 309.36 | ±12.9% | 269.51–349.21 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Dec 18 | 71 | 304.06 | ±13.2% | 263.96–344.16 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Dec 18 | 72 | 303.10 | ±12.9% | 263.95–342.25 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Dec 18 | 73 | 302.87 | ±12.9% | 263.77–341.97 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Dec 18 | 74 | 297.27 | ±13.2% | 258.12–336.42 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Dec 18 | 77 | 297.62 | ±14.0% | 255.91–339.31 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Dec 18 | 78 | 295.00 | ±13.6% | 255.00–335.00 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Dec 18 | 86 | 297.50 | ±13.7% | 256.70–338.30 | em-1.0 |
Instantáneas resueltas
| Instantánea | Vencido | Esperado | Real | ¿Dentro del rango? | Precio → cierre |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±1.1% | +0.0% | dentro | 308.64 → 308.64 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.6% | +5.8% | fuera | 291.70 → 308.64 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.8% | +4.2% | fuera | 296.10 → 308.64 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.1% | -0.2% | dentro | 309.36 → 308.64 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.9% | +1.5% | dentro | 304.06 → 308.64 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.6% | +1.8% | dentro | 303.10 → 308.64 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.4% | +1.9% | dentro | 302.87 → 308.64 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.5% | +3.8% | dentro | 297.27 → 308.64 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.6% | +3.7% | dentro | 297.62 → 308.64 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.2% | +4.6% | dentro | 295.00 → 308.64 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.8% | +3.7% | dentro | 297.50 → 308.64 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.8% | +3.7% | dentro | 297.57 → 308.64 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.8% | +4.6% | dentro | 295.00 → 308.64 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.0% | +3.9% | dentro | 297.05 → 308.64 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.6% | +2.3% | dentro | 301.70 → 308.64 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.5% | +1.4% | dentro | 304.44 → 308.64 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.3% | -0.7% | dentro | 310.82 → 308.64 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.7% | -4.9% | dentro | 324.45 → 308.64 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.3% | -2.7% | dentro | 317.30 → 308.64 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.4% | -4.0% | dentro | 321.50 → 308.64 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.6% | -4.8% | dentro | 324.10 → 308.64 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.3% | -7.9% | dentro | 335.02 → 308.64 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.9% | -9.5% | dentro | 341.20 → 308.64 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.0% | -9.8% | dentro | 342.10 → 308.64 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.6% | -9.8% | dentro | 342.30 → 308.64 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.3% | -11.0% | dentro | 346.68 → 308.64 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.1% | -9.8% | dentro | 342.06 → 308.64 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.6% | -11.8% | fuera | 350.00 → 308.64 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±1.1% | -1.0% | dentro | 297.05 → 294.20 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±2.3% | -2.5% | fuera | 301.70 → 294.20 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±2.7% | -3.4% | fuera | 304.44 → 294.20 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.0% | -5.3% | fuera | 310.82 → 294.20 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±3.2% | -9.3% | fuera | 324.45 → 294.20 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.4% | -7.3% | fuera | 317.30 → 294.20 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.6% | -8.5% | fuera | 321.50 → 294.20 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.2% | -9.2% | fuera | 324.10 → 294.20 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.4% | -12.2% | fuera | 335.02 → 294.20 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.8% | -13.8% | fuera | 341.20 → 294.20 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.8% | -14.0% | fuera | 342.10 → 294.20 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±5.1% | -14.1% | fuera | 342.30 → 294.20 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.7% | -15.1% | fuera | 346.68 → 294.20 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±5.3% | -14.0% | fuera | 342.06 → 294.20 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±6.3% | -15.9% | fuera | 350.00 → 294.20 |
Los resultados comparan el rango registrado con el precio de cierre en el día de expiración. La versión del método se muestra por fila cuando difiere; actual: em-1.0.