DOCU Verlauf der erwarteten Kursbewegung DocuSign, Inc.
Jeden Handelstag nach Börsenschluss erfassen wir, was der Optionsmarkt je Verfallstermin einpreiste – bevor das Ergebnis bekannt war. Sobald ein Verfallstermin verstrichen ist, wird das tatsächliche Ergebnis neben der ursprünglichen Schätzung eingetragen. Schätzungen werden nachträglich nie revidiert. Wie diese Statistiken zu lesen sind · Aufzeichnung seit Aug 31, 2026
Vergleiche aufgelöst93
Schluss innerhalb der Spanne96%
|Ist| unter Erwartung96%
Durchschn. erwartete Bewegung±8.4%
Durchschn. |tatsächliche| Bewegung3.3%
Mittl. abs. Fehler5.2pt
Impliziert vs. realisiert, nach Verfall
Für jeden Verfallstermin: Der gelbe Rahmen zeigt die erwartete Bewegung, die am nächsten vor dem Verfall erfasst wurde; der ausgefüllte Balken zeigt die tatsächliche Kursbewegung. Vorzeichenbehaftete Werte sind unter den Balken abgedruckt.
erwartet (aufgezeichnet)tatsächlich
Derzeit erfasst (Ergebnis ausstehend)
| Momentaufnahme | Läuft ab | DTE | Kurs damals | Erwartete Bewegung | Bereich | Methode |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16 | Oct 16 | 0 | 74.05 | ±1.2% | 73.14–74.97 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 16 | 2 | 75.06 | ±3.9% | 72.11–78.00 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 16 | 3 | 72.31 | ±3.9% | 69.50–75.11 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 16 | 7 | 71.08 | ±4.5% | 67.86–74.30 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 16 | 8 | 70.50 | ±5.6% | 66.58–74.42 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 16 | 9 | 68.90 | ±7.0% | 64.11–73.69 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 16 | 10 | 67.75 | ±6.0% | 63.69–71.81 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 16 | 11 | 70.03 | ±6.8% | 65.24–74.82 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 16 | 14 | 68.81 | ±7.2% | 63.84–73.78 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 16 | 15 | 69.40 | ±7.9% | 63.90–74.91 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 16 | 23 | 66.78 | ±10.5% | 59.79–73.77 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 16 | 24 | 68.99 | ±9.8% | 62.20–75.78 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 16 | 25 | 68.13 | ±9.6% | 61.58–74.68 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 16 | 28 | 69.50 | ±10.0% | 62.53–76.48 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 16 | 29 | 69.11 | ±10.4% | 61.94–76.28 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 16 | 30 | 71.00 | ±10.8% | 63.34–78.67 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 16 | 31 | 69.40 | ±11.4% | 61.50–77.30 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 16 | 32 | 69.21 | ±11.4% | 61.31–77.11 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 16 | 35 | 65.94 | ±11.0% | 58.67–73.19 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 16 | 36 | 65.02 | ±11.9% | 57.27–72.77 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 16 | 37 | 63.66 | ±12.1% | 55.97–71.34 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 16 | 38 | 64.68 | ±11.7% | 57.10–72.26 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 16 | 39 | 68.40 | ±11.1% | 60.78–76.03 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 16 | 42 | 68.58 | ±12.2% | 60.20–76.95 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 16 | 43 | 69.41 | ±16.7% | 57.83–80.98 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Oct 16 | 44 | 64.91 | ±16.3% | 54.34–75.48 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Oct 16 | 45 | 65.81 | ±16.4% | 55.03–76.58 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Oct 16 | 46 | 65.46 | ±16.3% | 54.81–76.11 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 74.05 | ±5.6% | 69.89–78.20 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 75.06 | ±6.1% | 70.50–79.62 | em-1.0 |
Gespeicherte Momentaufnahmen
| Momentaufnahme | Abgelaufen | Erwartet | Tatsächlich | Innerhalb der Spanne? | Kurs → Schlusskurs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±0.8% | +0.0% | innerhalb | 71.08 → 71.08 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.7% | +0.8% | innerhalb | 70.50 → 71.08 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.6% | +3.2% | innerhalb | 68.90 → 71.08 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.0% | +4.9% | außerhalb | 67.75 → 71.08 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.0% | +1.5% | innerhalb | 70.03 → 71.08 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.0% | +3.3% | innerhalb | 68.81 → 71.08 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.5% | +2.4% | innerhalb | 69.40 → 71.08 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.1% | +6.4% | innerhalb | 66.78 → 71.08 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.9% | +3.0% | innerhalb | 68.99 → 71.08 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.3% | +4.3% | innerhalb | 68.13 → 71.08 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.8% | +2.3% | innerhalb | 69.50 → 71.08 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.7% | +2.9% | innerhalb | 69.11 → 71.08 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.8% | +0.1% | innerhalb | 71.00 → 71.08 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.3% | +2.4% | innerhalb | 69.40 → 71.08 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.4% | +2.7% | innerhalb | 69.21 → 71.08 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.1% | +7.8% | innerhalb | 65.94 → 71.08 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.7% | +9.3% | innerhalb | 65.02 → 71.08 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.8% | +11.7% | außerhalb | 63.66 → 71.08 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.6% | +9.9% | außerhalb | 64.68 → 71.08 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.1% | +3.9% | innerhalb | 68.40 → 71.08 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.5% | +3.7% | innerhalb | 68.58 → 71.08 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±16.3% | +2.4% | innerhalb | 69.41 → 71.08 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±15.6% | +9.5% | innerhalb | 64.91 → 71.08 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±16.0% | +8.0% | innerhalb | 65.81 → 71.08 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±15.2% | +8.6% | innerhalb | 65.46 → 71.08 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±0.9% | +0.3% | innerhalb | 68.81 → 69.01 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±2.3% | -0.6% | innerhalb | 69.40 → 69.01 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.4% | +3.3% | innerhalb | 66.78 → 69.01 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.7% | +0.0% | innerhalb | 68.99 → 69.01 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.6% | +1.3% | innerhalb | 68.13 → 69.01 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±7.2% | -0.7% | innerhalb | 69.50 → 69.01 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.1% | -0.1% | innerhalb | 69.11 → 69.01 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±7.8% | -2.8% | innerhalb | 71.00 → 69.01 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±9.3% | -0.6% | innerhalb | 69.40 → 69.01 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±9.3% | -0.3% | innerhalb | 69.21 → 69.01 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±9.3% | +4.7% | innerhalb | 65.94 → 69.01 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±9.7% | +6.1% | innerhalb | 65.02 → 69.01 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±9.6% | +8.4% | innerhalb | 63.66 → 69.01 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±10.7% | +6.7% | innerhalb | 64.68 → 69.01 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±10.2% | +0.9% | innerhalb | 68.40 → 69.01 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±10.2% | +0.6% | innerhalb | 68.58 → 69.01 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±14.9% | -0.6% | innerhalb | 69.41 → 69.01 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±14.5% | +6.3% | innerhalb | 64.91 → 69.01 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±14.9% | +4.9% | innerhalb | 65.81 → 69.01 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±14.5% | +5.4% | innerhalb | 65.46 → 69.01 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±3.6% | +1.1% | innerhalb | 66.78 → 67.50 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.3% | -2.2% | innerhalb | 68.99 → 67.50 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.2% | -0.9% | innerhalb | 68.13 → 67.50 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±5.2% | -2.9% | innerhalb | 69.50 → 67.50 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±6.2% | -2.3% | innerhalb | 69.11 → 67.50 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±5.6% | -4.9% | innerhalb | 71.00 → 67.50 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±7.2% | -2.7% | innerhalb | 69.40 → 67.50 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±7.2% | -2.5% | innerhalb | 69.21 → 67.50 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±6.2% | +2.4% | innerhalb | 65.94 → 67.50 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±8.0% | +3.8% | innerhalb | 65.02 → 67.50 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±7.8% | +6.0% | innerhalb | 63.66 → 67.50 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±9.0% | +4.4% | innerhalb | 64.68 → 67.50 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±9.0% | -1.3% | innerhalb | 68.40 → 67.50 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±8.7% | -1.6% | innerhalb | 68.58 → 67.50 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±14.6% | -2.7% | innerhalb | 69.41 → 67.50 |
Ergebnisse vergleichen die aufgezeichnete Kursspanne mit dem Schlusskurs am Verfallstag. Die Methodenversion wird zeilenweise angezeigt, wo sie abweicht; aktuell: em-1.0.