DKS 预期波动历史 DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc.
每个交易日收盘后，我们记录期权市场对各到期日的定价——均在结果揭晓前留存。到期日过后，实际结果会附记于原始预估值旁。预估值在事后绝不修改。 如何解读这些统计数据 · 记录开始于 Aug 31, 2026
已解决的比较项121
收盘价处于区间内66%
|实际值| 低于预期值66%
平均预期波动幅度±6.8%
平均|实际|波动幅度5.4%
平均绝对误差4.0pt
隐含与已实现波动率，按到期日
每个到期日：琥珀色轮廓框为最接近到期时记录的预期涨跌幅；实心柱为股票实际涨跌幅。柱形下方标注带符号的具体数值。
预期（已记录）实际
已记录（等待结果）
| 快照 | 到期时间 | DTE | 当时现货价 | 预期涨跌幅 | 区间 | 方法 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 | Oct 23 | 4 | 143.77 | ±3.9% | 138.17–149.37 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 144.00 | ±4.6% | 137.40–150.60 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 136.96 | ±5.7% | 129.19–144.74 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 23 | 10 | 137.55 | ±5.5% | 130.05–145.05 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 23 | 14 | 136.65 | ±6.6% | 127.60–145.70 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 23 | 15 | 134.63 | ±6.8% | 125.43–143.83 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 23 | 16 | 131.40 | ±6.2% | 123.20–139.60 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 23 | 17 | 134.88 | ±7.0% | 125.38–144.38 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 23 | 18 | 137.13 | ±7.2% | 127.23–147.03 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 23 | 21 | 136.21 | ±7.4% | 126.11–146.31 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 23 | 22 | 132.85 | ±8.2% | 121.95–143.75 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 23 | 30 | 133.57 | ±10.0% | 120.22–146.92 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 23 | 31 | 133.68 | ±10.0% | 120.33–147.03 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 23 | 32 | 121.94 | ±9.5% | 110.39–133.49 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 23 | 35 | 121.88 | ±10.2% | 109.43–134.33 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 23 | 36 | 124.41 | ±10.9% | 110.91–137.91 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 23 | 37 | 124.45 | ±11.6% | 110.05–138.85 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 23 | 38 | 123.74 | ±11.6% | 109.34–138.14 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 23 | 39 | 131.43 | ±11.6% | 116.23–146.63 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 23 | 42 | 131.50 | ±11.8% | 116.00–147.00 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 23 | 43 | 132.56 | ±11.8% | 116.92–148.22 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 23 | 44 | 134.22 | ±11.6% | 118.67–149.76 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 23 | 45 | 132.30 | ±12.4% | 115.90–148.70 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 23 | 46 | 139.16 | ±11.5% | 123.16–155.16 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 23 | 49 | 140.13 | ±11.5% | 124.08–156.18 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 23 | 50 | 138.66 | ±11.6% | 122.51–154.81 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 19 | Oct 30 | 11 | 143.77 | ±6.1% | 134.97–152.57 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 30 | 14 | 144.00 | ±6.3% | 134.90–153.10 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 30 | 16 | 136.96 | ±7.1% | 127.21–146.71 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 30 | 17 | 137.55 | ±7.0% | 127.95–147.15 | em-1.0 |
已归档快照
| 快照 | 已到期 | 预期值 | 实际值 | 在区间内？ | 现货价 → 收盘价 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±1.0% | +0.2% | 区间内 | 144.00 → 144.35 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.9% | +5.4% | 区间外 | 136.96 → 144.35 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.4% | +4.9% | 区间外 | 137.55 → 144.35 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.3% | +5.6% | 区间外 | 136.65 → 144.35 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.9% | +7.2% | 区间外 | 134.63 → 144.35 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.3% | +9.9% | 区间外 | 131.40 → 144.35 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.4% | +7.0% | 区间外 | 134.88 → 144.35 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.7% | +5.3% | 区间内 | 137.13 → 144.35 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.5% | +6.0% | 区间内 | 136.21 → 144.35 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.3% | +8.7% | 区间外 | 132.85 → 144.35 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.4% | +8.1% | 区间内 | 133.57 → 144.35 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.4% | +8.0% | 区间内 | 133.68 → 144.35 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.9% | +18.4% | 区间外 | 121.94 → 144.35 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.9% | +18.4% | 区间外 | 121.88 → 144.35 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.6% | +16.0% | 区间外 | 124.41 → 144.35 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.3% | +16.0% | 区间外 | 124.45 → 144.35 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.4% | +16.7% | 区间外 | 123.74 → 144.35 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.9% | +9.8% | 区间内 | 131.43 → 144.35 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.3% | +9.8% | 区间内 | 131.50 → 144.35 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.8% | +8.9% | 区间内 | 132.56 → 144.35 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.6% | +7.6% | 区间内 | 134.22 → 144.35 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.0% | +9.1% | 区间内 | 132.30 → 144.35 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.8% | +3.7% | 区间内 | 139.16 → 144.35 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.5% | +3.0% | 区间内 | 140.13 → 144.35 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.7% | +4.1% | 区间内 | 138.66 → 144.35 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.8% | +5.1% | 区间内 | 137.37 → 144.35 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.3% | +8.5% | 区间内 | 133.00 → 144.35 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.9% | +6.8% | 区间内 | 135.10 → 144.35 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.1% | +0.0% | 区间内 | 136.65 → 136.65 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.1% | +1.5% | 区间内 | 134.63 → 136.65 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.9% | +4.0% | 区间外 | 131.40 → 136.65 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.2% | +1.3% | 区间内 | 134.88 → 136.65 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.5% | -0.3% | 区间内 | 137.13 → 136.65 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.8% | +0.3% | 区间内 | 136.21 → 136.65 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.4% | +2.9% | 区间内 | 132.85 → 136.65 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.4% | +2.3% | 区间内 | 133.57 → 136.65 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.4% | +2.2% | 区间内 | 133.68 → 136.65 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.6% | +12.1% | 区间外 | 121.94 → 136.65 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.9% | +12.1% | 区间外 | 121.88 → 136.65 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.3% | +9.8% | 区间外 | 124.41 → 136.65 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.6% | +9.8% | 区间外 | 124.45 → 136.65 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.7% | +10.4% | 区间外 | 123.74 → 136.65 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.7% | +4.0% | 区间内 | 131.43 → 136.65 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.8% | +3.9% | 区间内 | 131.50 → 136.65 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.9% | +3.1% | 区间内 | 132.56 → 136.65 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.8% | +1.8% | 区间内 | 134.22 → 136.65 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.2% | +3.3% | 区间内 | 132.30 → 136.65 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.0% | -1.8% | 区间内 | 139.16 → 136.65 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.7% | -2.5% | 区间内 | 140.13 → 136.65 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.6% | -1.4% | 区间内 | 138.66 → 136.65 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.3% | -0.5% | 区间内 | 137.37 → 136.65 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.8% | +2.7% | 区间内 | 133.00 → 136.65 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.3% | +1.1% | 区间内 | 135.10 → 136.65 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.1% | -0.1% | 区间内 | 136.21 → 136.08 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.9% | +2.4% | 区间内 | 132.85 → 136.08 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.9% | +1.9% | 区间内 | 133.57 → 136.08 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.9% | +1.8% | 区间内 | 133.68 → 136.08 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.3% | +11.6% | 区间外 | 121.94 → 136.08 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.3% | +11.7% | 区间外 | 121.88 → 136.08 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±7.0% | +9.4% | 区间外 | 124.41 → 136.08 |
结果通过比较记录的价格区间与到期日收盘价得出。各行显示所用方法版本（与当前版本不同时）；当前版本： em-1.0.