DKNG 预期波动历史 DraftKings Inc.
每个交易日收盘后，我们记录期权市场对各到期日的定价——均在结果揭晓前留存。到期日过后，实际结果会附记于原始预估值旁。预估值在事后绝不修改。 如何解读这些统计数据 · 记录开始于 Aug 31, 2026
已解决的比较项121
收盘价处于区间内37%
|实际值| 低于预期值37%
平均预期波动幅度±8.6%
平均|实际|波动幅度11.3%
平均绝对误差4.9pt
隐含与已实现波动率，按到期日
每个到期日：琥珀色轮廓框为最接近到期时记录的预期涨跌幅；实心柱为股票实际涨跌幅。柱形下方标注带符号的具体数值。
预期（已记录）实际
已记录（等待结果）
| 快照 | 到期时间 | DTE | 当时现货价 | 预期涨跌幅 | 区间 | 方法 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 | Oct 23 | 4 | 19.77 | ±5.5% | 18.68–20.87 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 18.85 | ±6.3% | 17.66–20.05 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 18.90 | ±7.1% | 17.57–20.23 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 23 | 10 | 19.70 | ±7.7% | 18.18–21.21 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 23 | 14 | 19.59 | ±8.4% | 17.93–21.25 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 23 | 15 | 19.87 | ±9.3% | 18.03–21.71 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 23 | 16 | 19.14 | ±9.9% | 17.25–21.03 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 23 | 17 | 19.75 | ±10.3% | 17.71–21.79 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 23 | 18 | 19.69 | ±10.7% | 17.59–21.79 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 23 | 21 | 18.59 | ±10.4% | 16.66–20.52 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 23 | 22 | 19.36 | ±11.7% | 17.09–21.63 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 23 | 30 | 21.85 | ±12.7% | 19.07–24.64 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 23 | 31 | 21.85 | ±12.7% | 19.07–24.64 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 23 | 32 | 22.01 | ±11.6% | 19.46–24.55 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 23 | 35 | 22.06 | ±12.7% | 19.25–24.87 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 23 | 36 | 22.53 | ±13.8% | 19.42–25.64 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 23 | 37 | 24.27 | ±13.9% | 20.89–27.65 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 23 | 38 | 24.59 | ±14.5% | 21.02–28.15 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 23 | 39 | 24.80 | ±13.9% | 21.36–28.24 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 23 | 42 | 24.43 | ±13.8% | 21.05–27.82 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 23 | 43 | 23.68 | ±14.8% | 20.17–27.19 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 23 | 44 | 23.65 | ±16.3% | 19.79–27.52 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 23 | 45 | 23.89 | ±15.0% | 20.31–27.48 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 23 | 46 | 24.04 | ±16.2% | 20.14–27.93 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 23 | 49 | 23.75 | ±15.0% | 20.18–27.32 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 23 | 50 | 24.48 | ±13.0% | 21.30–27.66 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 19 | Oct 30 | 11 | 19.77 | ±8.0% | 18.19–21.36 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 30 | 14 | 18.85 | ±9.3% | 17.09–20.61 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 30 | 16 | 18.90 | ±9.7% | 17.07–20.73 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 30 | 17 | 19.70 | ±9.9% | 17.75–21.64 | em-1.0 |
已归档快照
| 快照 | 已到期 | 预期值 | 实际值 | 在区间内？ | 现货价 → 收盘价 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±0.8% | +0.3% | 区间内 | 18.85 → 18.90 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.0% | +0.0% | 区间内 | 18.90 → 18.90 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.5% | -4.1% | 区间内 | 19.70 → 18.90 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.2% | -3.5% | 区间内 | 19.59 → 18.90 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.8% | -4.9% | 区间内 | 19.87 → 18.90 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.2% | -1.3% | 区间内 | 19.14 → 18.90 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.3% | -4.3% | 区间内 | 19.75 → 18.90 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.1% | -4.0% | 区间内 | 19.69 → 18.90 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.0% | +1.7% | 区间内 | 18.59 → 18.90 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.3% | -2.4% | 区间内 | 19.36 → 18.90 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.3% | -13.5% | 区间外 | 21.85 → 18.90 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.3% | -13.5% | 区间外 | 21.85 → 18.90 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.1% | -14.1% | 区间外 | 22.01 → 18.90 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.6% | -14.3% | 区间外 | 22.06 → 18.90 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±12.1% | -16.1% | 区间外 | 22.53 → 18.90 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±12.6% | -22.1% | 区间外 | 24.27 → 18.90 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±12.9% | -23.1% | 区间外 | 24.59 → 18.90 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±12.8% | -23.8% | 区间外 | 24.80 → 18.90 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±13.3% | -22.7% | 区间外 | 24.43 → 18.90 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±14.1% | -20.2% | 区间外 | 23.68 → 18.90 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±14.0% | -20.1% | 区间外 | 23.65 → 18.90 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±14.4% | -20.9% | 区间外 | 23.89 → 18.90 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±13.8% | -21.4% | 区间外 | 24.04 → 18.90 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±14.5% | -20.4% | 区间外 | 23.75 → 18.90 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±14.6% | -22.8% | 区间外 | 24.48 → 18.90 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±14.5% | -23.0% | 区间外 | 24.54 → 18.90 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±15.7% | -19.7% | 区间外 | 23.55 → 18.90 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±15.0% | -22.1% | 区间外 | 24.27 → 18.90 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±0.7% | -0.1% | 区间内 | 19.59 → 19.58 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.1% | -1.5% | 区间内 | 19.87 → 19.58 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.8% | +2.3% | 区间内 | 19.14 → 19.58 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.0% | -0.9% | 区间内 | 19.75 → 19.58 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.0% | -0.6% | 区间内 | 19.69 → 19.58 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.6% | +5.3% | 区间内 | 18.59 → 19.58 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.1% | +1.1% | 区间内 | 19.36 → 19.58 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.5% | -10.4% | 区间外 | 21.85 → 19.58 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.5% | -10.4% | 区间外 | 21.85 → 19.58 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.4% | -11.0% | 区间外 | 22.01 → 19.58 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.9% | -11.2% | 区间外 | 22.06 → 19.58 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.2% | -13.1% | 区间外 | 22.53 → 19.58 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.9% | -19.3% | 区间外 | 24.27 → 19.58 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.9% | -20.4% | 区间外 | 24.59 → 19.58 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.2% | -21.0% | 区间外 | 24.80 → 19.58 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±12.1% | -19.9% | 区间外 | 24.43 → 19.58 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±12.1% | -17.3% | 区间外 | 23.68 → 19.58 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.6% | -17.2% | 区间外 | 23.65 → 19.58 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±12.5% | -18.0% | 区间外 | 23.89 → 19.58 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±12.8% | -18.6% | 区间外 | 24.04 → 19.58 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±12.6% | -17.6% | 区间外 | 23.75 → 19.58 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±12.8% | -20.0% | 区间外 | 24.48 → 19.58 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±12.8% | -20.2% | 区间外 | 24.54 → 19.58 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±12.9% | -16.9% | 区间外 | 23.55 → 19.58 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±13.6% | -19.3% | 区间外 | 24.27 → 19.58 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±2.3% | +0.0% | 区间内 | 18.59 → 18.59 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.3% | -4.0% | 区间外 | 19.36 → 18.59 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±7.6% | -14.9% | 区间外 | 21.85 → 18.59 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±7.6% | -14.9% | 区间外 | 21.85 → 18.59 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.0% | -15.5% | 区间外 | 22.01 → 18.59 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.0% | -15.7% | 区间外 | 22.06 → 18.59 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.8% | -17.5% | 区间外 | 22.53 → 18.59 |
结果通过比较记录的价格区间与到期日收盘价得出。各行显示所用方法版本（与当前版本不同时）；当前版本： em-1.0.