DIS 予想変動幅の履歴 The Walt Disney Company
毎取引日の引け後、結果が判明する前の各満期日について、オプション市場が織り込んでいた価格を記録します。満期日が経過すると、実際の結果が当初の推定値の横に記録されます。推定値は事後に修正されることはありません。 これらの統計の見方 · 記録開始： Aug 31, 2026
比較解決済み121
レンジ内で引ける69%
|実績値| が予想値を下回る69%
平均予想変動幅±3.8%
平均｜実績｜変動幅2.9%
平均絶対誤差1.9pt
インプライドと実現の比較、限月別
各満期日について、琥珀色の枠線は満期日直前に記録されたインプライド・ムーブ、塗りつぶされたバーは株価の実際の動きを示します。符号付きの値がバーの下に表示されます。
予想値（記録済み）実績
現在記録中（結果待ち）
| スナップショット | 満期日 | DTE | 当時のスポット価格 | インプライド・ムーブ | レンジ | 手法 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 | Oct 23 | 4 | 109.81 | ±2.4% | 107.16–112.47 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 110.78 | ±3.0% | 107.44–114.12 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 108.79 | ±3.4% | 105.09–112.49 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 23 | 10 | 108.50 | ±3.4% | 104.80–112.20 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 23 | 14 | 108.01 | ±3.4% | 104.33–111.69 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 23 | 15 | 107.02 | ±3.9% | 102.86–111.19 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 23 | 16 | 104.22 | ±4.1% | 99.99–108.45 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 23 | 17 | 104.05 | ±4.1% | 99.75–108.36 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 23 | 18 | 103.50 | ±4.4% | 98.92–108.08 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 23 | 21 | 101.99 | ±4.6% | 97.28–106.70 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 23 | 22 | 101.43 | ±4.9% | 96.48–106.39 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 23 | 30 | 103.90 | ±5.5% | 98.17–109.63 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 23 | 31 | 103.75 | ±5.5% | 98.02–109.48 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 23 | 32 | 104.10 | ±5.8% | 98.04–110.16 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 23 | 35 | 102.70 | ±5.7% | 96.84–108.56 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 23 | 36 | 105.41 | ±5.9% | 99.17–111.64 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 23 | 37 | 107.17 | ±6.2% | 100.48–113.87 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 23 | 38 | 106.30 | ±6.7% | 99.19–113.41 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 23 | 39 | 108.32 | ±6.8% | 100.98–115.67 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 23 | 42 | 106.55 | ±6.3% | 99.79–113.30 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 23 | 43 | 105.05 | ±7.1% | 97.58–112.52 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 23 | 44 | 104.15 | ±7.0% | 96.83–111.47 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 23 | 45 | 104.73 | ±6.6% | 97.81–111.66 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 23 | 46 | 105.18 | ±6.8% | 97.98–112.38 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 23 | 49 | 105.37 | ±6.8% | 98.17–112.57 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 23 | 50 | 107.25 | ±7.0% | 99.78–114.72 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 19 | Oct 30 | 11 | 109.81 | ±3.7% | 105.75–113.88 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 30 | 14 | 110.78 | ±3.9% | 106.42–115.14 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 30 | 16 | 108.79 | ±4.7% | 103.68–113.90 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 30 | 17 | 108.50 | ±4.2% | 103.89–113.11 | em-1.0 |
確定済みスナップショット
| スナップショット | 満期済み | 予想 | 実績値 | レンジ内？ | スポット → 終値 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±0.6% | -0.2% | レンジ内 | 110.78 → 110.59 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±1.8% | +1.7% | レンジ内 | 108.79 → 110.59 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±1.9% | +1.9% | レンジ外 | 108.50 → 110.59 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.4% | +2.4% | レンジ外 | 108.01 → 110.59 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.7% | +3.3% | レンジ外 | 107.02 → 110.59 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.2% | +6.1% | レンジ外 | 104.22 → 110.59 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.2% | +6.3% | レンジ外 | 104.05 → 110.59 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.3% | +6.8% | レンジ外 | 103.50 → 110.59 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.6% | +8.4% | レンジ外 | 101.99 → 110.59 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.1% | +9.0% | レンジ外 | 101.43 → 110.59 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.9% | +6.4% | レンジ外 | 103.90 → 110.59 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.9% | +6.6% | レンジ外 | 103.75 → 110.59 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.1% | +6.2% | レンジ外 | 104.10 → 110.59 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.5% | +7.7% | レンジ外 | 102.70 → 110.59 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.3% | +4.9% | レンジ内 | 105.41 → 110.59 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.9% | +3.2% | レンジ内 | 107.17 → 110.59 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.7% | +4.0% | レンジ内 | 106.30 → 110.59 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.7% | +2.1% | レンジ内 | 108.32 → 110.59 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.9% | +3.8% | レンジ内 | 106.55 → 110.59 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.3% | +5.3% | レンジ内 | 105.05 → 110.59 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.3% | +6.2% | レンジ内 | 104.15 → 110.59 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.2% | +5.6% | レンジ内 | 104.73 → 110.59 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.3% | +5.1% | レンジ内 | 105.18 → 110.59 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.3% | +5.0% | レンジ内 | 105.37 → 110.59 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.6% | +3.1% | レンジ内 | 107.25 → 110.59 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.6% | +1.9% | レンジ内 | 108.52 → 110.59 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.8% | +4.0% | レンジ内 | 106.30 → 110.59 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.6% | +2.7% | レンジ内 | 107.69 → 110.59 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±0.2% | +0.0% | レンジ内 | 108.01 → 108.05 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.1% | +1.0% | レンジ内 | 107.02 → 108.05 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.7% | +3.7% | レンジ外 | 104.22 → 108.05 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.8% | +3.8% | レンジ外 | 104.05 → 108.05 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.2% | +4.4% | レンジ外 | 103.50 → 108.05 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.6% | +5.9% | レンジ外 | 101.99 → 108.05 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.0% | +6.5% | レンジ外 | 101.43 → 108.05 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.2% | +4.0% | レンジ内 | 103.90 → 108.05 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.2% | +4.1% | レンジ内 | 103.75 → 108.05 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.5% | +3.8% | レンジ内 | 104.10 → 108.05 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.4% | +5.2% | レンジ外 | 102.70 → 108.05 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.6% | +2.5% | レンジ内 | 105.41 → 108.05 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.9% | +0.8% | レンジ内 | 107.17 → 108.05 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.1% | +1.6% | レンジ内 | 106.30 → 108.05 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.0% | -0.3% | レンジ内 | 108.32 → 108.05 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.2% | +1.4% | レンジ内 | 106.55 → 108.05 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.8% | +2.9% | レンジ内 | 105.05 → 108.05 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.7% | +3.7% | レンジ内 | 104.15 → 108.05 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.5% | +3.2% | レンジ内 | 104.73 → 108.05 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.8% | +2.7% | レンジ内 | 105.18 → 108.05 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.8% | +2.5% | レンジ内 | 105.37 → 108.05 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.7% | +0.7% | レンジ内 | 107.25 → 108.05 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.8% | -0.4% | レンジ内 | 108.52 → 108.05 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.0% | +1.6% | レンジ内 | 106.30 → 108.05 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.9% | +0.3% | レンジ内 | 107.69 → 108.05 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±0.3% | +0.2% | レンジ内 | 101.99 → 102.19 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.3% | +0.7% | レンジ内 | 101.43 → 102.19 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.1% | -1.6% | レンジ内 | 103.90 → 102.19 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.1% | -1.5% | レンジ内 | 103.75 → 102.19 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.5% | -1.8% | レンジ内 | 104.10 → 102.19 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.7% | -0.5% | レンジ内 | 102.70 → 102.19 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.7% | -3.1% | レンジ内 | 105.41 → 102.19 |
結果は満期日の終値と記録されたレンジを比較したものです。手法バージョンが異なる場合は行ごとに表示されます。現在のバージョン： em-1.0.