DELL historial de movimiento esperado Dell Technologies Inc.
Cada día de negociación, tras el cierre, registramos lo que el mercado de opciones estaba descontando — por vencimiento, antes de conocerse el resultado. Cuando un vencimiento finaliza, el resultado se anota junto a la estimación original. Las estimaciones nunca se revisan a posteriori. Cómo interpretar estas estadísticas · registrando desde Aug 31, 2026
Comparaciones resueltas121
Cierre dentro del rango59%
|Real| por debajo de lo esperado59%
Movimiento esperado promedio±10.0%
Movimiento |real| promedio9.9%
Error medio abs.5.3pt
Implícita vs realizada, por vencimiento
Para cada vencimiento: el contorno ámbar es el movimiento esperado registrado más cerca del vencimiento; la barra sólida es lo que la acción hizo realmente. Los valores con signo aparecen bajo las barras.
esperado (registrado)real
Registrado actualmente (pendiente de resultado)
| Instantánea | Vence | DTE | Precio entonces | Movimiento esperado | Rango | Método |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 | Oct 23 | 4 | 457.00 | ±6.0% | 429.55–484.45 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 451.01 | ±7.9% | 415.41–486.61 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 505.80 | ±8.2% | 464.23–547.38 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 23 | 10 | 572.99 | ±7.9% | 527.99–617.99 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 23 | 14 | 585.00 | ±8.4% | 536.12–633.88 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 23 | 15 | 575.10 | ±9.1% | 522.67–627.52 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 23 | 16 | 579.89 | ±9.2% | 526.42–633.37 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 23 | 17 | 574.16 | ±9.5% | 519.34–628.99 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 23 | 18 | 551.75 | ±9.7% | 498.27–605.23 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 23 | 21 | 562.41 | ±10.7% | 502.41–622.41 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 23 | 22 | 541.10 | ±11.4% | 479.50–602.70 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 23 | 30 | 554.31 | ±14.1% | 475.88–632.74 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 23 | 31 | 552.95 | ±14.2% | 474.52–631.38 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 23 | 32 | 574.51 | ±14.4% | 492.04–656.99 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 23 | 35 | 571.58 | ±14.5% | 488.53–654.63 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 23 | 36 | 590.90 | ±15.5% | 499.30–682.50 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 23 | 37 | 566.00 | ±15.9% | 475.73–656.27 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 23 | 38 | 544.31 | ±15.8% | 458.08–630.53 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 23 | 39 | 538.00 | ±15.9% | 452.30–623.70 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 23 | 42 | 566.49 | ±16.8% | 471.17–661.82 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 23 | 43 | 507.75 | ±16.5% | 424.05–591.45 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 23 | 44 | 534.53 | ±17.6% | 440.53–628.53 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 23 | 45 | 532.50 | ±18.1% | 436.25–628.75 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 23 | 46 | 522.44 | ±18.4% | 426.41–618.46 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 23 | 49 | 522.09 | ±18.4% | 426.06–618.12 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 23 | 50 | 515.40 | ±18.2% | 421.75–609.05 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 19 | Oct 30 | 11 | 457.00 | ±9.3% | 414.45–499.55 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 30 | 14 | 451.01 | ±10.8% | 402.24–499.79 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 30 | 16 | 505.80 | ±10.7% | 451.48–560.12 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 30 | 17 | 572.99 | ±10.2% | 514.77–631.22 | em-1.0 |
Instantáneas resueltas
| Instantánea | Vencido | Esperado | Real | ¿Dentro del rango? | Precio → cierre |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±0.5% | +0.2% | dentro | 451.01 → 451.71 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.9% | -10.7% | fuera | 505.80 → 451.71 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.1% | -21.2% | fuera | 572.99 → 451.71 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.8% | -22.8% | fuera | 585.00 → 451.71 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.7% | -21.5% | fuera | 575.10 → 451.71 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.9% | -22.1% | fuera | 579.89 → 451.71 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.4% | -21.3% | fuera | 574.16 → 451.71 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.5% | -18.1% | fuera | 551.75 → 451.71 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.5% | -19.7% | fuera | 562.41 → 451.71 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.3% | -16.5% | fuera | 541.10 → 451.71 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±12.5% | -18.5% | fuera | 554.31 → 451.71 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±12.5% | -18.3% | fuera | 552.95 → 451.71 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±12.5% | -21.4% | fuera | 574.51 → 451.71 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±12.8% | -21.0% | fuera | 571.58 → 451.71 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±13.7% | -23.6% | fuera | 590.90 → 451.71 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±14.5% | -20.2% | fuera | 566.00 → 451.71 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±14.1% | -17.0% | fuera | 544.31 → 451.71 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±14.3% | -16.0% | fuera | 538.00 → 451.71 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±15.4% | -20.3% | fuera | 566.49 → 451.71 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±15.0% | -11.0% | dentro | 507.75 → 451.71 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±16.1% | -15.5% | dentro | 534.53 → 451.71 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±16.5% | -15.2% | dentro | 532.50 → 451.71 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±16.8% | -13.5% | dentro | 522.44 → 451.71 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±16.8% | -13.5% | dentro | 522.09 → 451.71 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±16.9% | -12.4% | dentro | 515.40 → 451.71 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±17.0% | -7.4% | dentro | 487.69 → 451.71 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±19.8% | -1.4% | dentro | 458.12 → 451.71 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±19.1% | -1.8% | dentro | 460.08 → 451.71 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±0.4% | +0.2% | dentro | 585.00 → 586.06 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.7% | +1.9% | dentro | 575.10 → 586.06 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.4% | +1.1% | dentro | 579.89 → 586.06 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.2% | +2.1% | dentro | 574.16 → 586.06 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.6% | +6.2% | fuera | 551.75 → 586.06 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.8% | +4.2% | dentro | 562.41 → 586.06 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.6% | +8.3% | fuera | 541.10 → 586.06 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.5% | +5.7% | dentro | 554.31 → 586.06 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.5% | +6.0% | dentro | 552.95 → 586.06 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.5% | +2.0% | dentro | 574.51 → 586.06 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.0% | +2.5% | dentro | 571.58 → 586.06 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.8% | -0.8% | dentro | 590.90 → 586.06 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±12.5% | +3.5% | dentro | 566.00 → 586.06 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±12.5% | +7.7% | dentro | 544.31 → 586.06 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±12.6% | +8.9% | dentro | 538.00 → 586.06 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±13.6% | +3.5% | dentro | 566.49 → 586.06 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±13.4% | +15.4% | fuera | 507.75 → 586.06 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±14.4% | +9.6% | dentro | 534.53 → 586.06 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±15.0% | +10.1% | dentro | 532.50 → 586.06 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±15.2% | +12.2% | dentro | 522.44 → 586.06 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±15.2% | +12.3% | dentro | 522.09 → 586.06 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±15.2% | +13.7% | dentro | 515.40 → 586.06 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±15.6% | +20.2% | fuera | 487.69 → 586.06 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±18.8% | +27.9% | fuera | 458.12 → 586.06 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±18.0% | +27.4% | fuera | 460.08 → 586.06 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±0.3% | +0.0% | dentro | 562.41 → 562.52 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±2.6% | +4.0% | fuera | 541.10 → 562.52 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.2% | +1.5% | dentro | 554.31 → 562.52 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.1% | +1.7% | dentro | 552.95 → 562.52 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.4% | -2.1% | dentro | 574.51 → 562.52 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.8% | -1.6% | dentro | 571.58 → 562.52 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±9.7% | -4.8% | dentro | 590.90 → 562.52 |
Los resultados comparan el rango registrado con el precio de cierre en el día de expiración. La versión del método se muestra por fila cuando difiere; actual: em-1.0.