DASH 预期波动历史 DoorDash, Inc.
每个交易日收盘后，我们记录期权市场对各到期日的定价——均在结果揭晓前留存。到期日过后，实际结果会附记于原始预估值旁。预估值在事后绝不修改。 如何解读这些统计数据 · 记录开始于 Aug 31, 2026
已解决的比较项121
收盘价处于区间内64%
|实际值| 低于预期值64%
平均预期波动幅度±6.7%
平均|实际|波动幅度6.1%
平均绝对误差4.4pt
隐含与已实现波动率，按到期日
每个到期日：琥珀色轮廓框为最接近到期时记录的预期涨跌幅；实心柱为股票实际涨跌幅。柱形下方标注带符号的具体数值。
预期（已记录）实际
已记录（等待结果）
| 快照 | 到期时间 | DTE | 当时现货价 | 预期涨跌幅 | 区间 | 方法 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 | Oct 23 | 4 | 193.53 | ±4.0% | 185.73–201.33 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 189.29 | ±5.6% | 178.72–199.87 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 184.01 | ±6.4% | 172.26–195.76 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 23 | 10 | 193.09 | ±5.8% | 181.89–204.29 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 23 | 14 | 196.50 | ±6.4% | 183.95–209.05 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 23 | 15 | 191.60 | ±6.9% | 178.35–204.85 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 23 | 16 | 191.55 | ±7.1% | 177.97–205.12 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 23 | 17 | 193.62 | ±7.6% | 178.92–208.32 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 23 | 18 | 191.00 | ±8.7% | 174.38–207.62 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 23 | 21 | 189.15 | ±8.8% | 172.57–205.72 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 23 | 22 | 182.18 | ±9.3% | 165.18–199.18 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 23 | 30 | 193.29 | ±10.1% | 173.74–212.84 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 23 | 31 | 193.34 | ±10.2% | 173.53–213.13 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 23 | 32 | 191.98 | ±10.4% | 171.96–212.00 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 23 | 35 | 193.23 | ±10.5% | 172.85–213.60 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 23 | 36 | 194.06 | ±10.7% | 173.26–214.86 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 23 | 37 | 199.99 | ±11.1% | 177.84–222.14 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 23 | 38 | 199.00 | ±11.3% | 176.53–221.47 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 23 | 39 | 202.18 | ±11.5% | 178.85–225.50 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 23 | 42 | 202.00 | ±12.0% | 177.82–226.18 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 23 | 43 | 198.65 | ±12.2% | 174.47–222.82 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 23 | 44 | 196.92 | ±12.9% | 171.54–222.29 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 23 | 45 | 200.47 | ±12.0% | 176.47–224.47 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 23 | 46 | 211.71 | ±11.4% | 187.49–235.94 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 23 | 49 | 221.50 | ±11.3% | 196.45–246.55 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 19 | Oct 30 | 11 | 193.53 | ±6.9% | 180.25–206.81 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 30 | 14 | 189.29 | ±7.4% | 175.31–203.26 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 30 | 16 | 184.01 | ±8.2% | 168.86–199.16 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 30 | 17 | 193.09 | ±7.5% | 178.66–207.51 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 30 | 21 | 196.50 | ±8.0% | 180.72–212.28 | em-1.0 |
已归档快照
| 快照 | 已到期 | 预期值 | 实际值 | 在区间内？ | 现货价 → 收盘价 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±0.9% | -0.1% | 区间内 | 189.29 → 189.15 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.6% | +2.8% | 区间内 | 184.01 → 189.15 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.2% | -2.0% | 区间内 | 193.09 → 189.15 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.3% | -3.7% | 区间内 | 196.50 → 189.15 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.9% | -1.3% | 区间内 | 191.60 → 189.15 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.5% | -1.3% | 区间内 | 191.55 → 189.15 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.9% | -2.3% | 区间内 | 193.62 → 189.15 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.2% | -1.0% | 区间内 | 191.00 → 189.15 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.1% | +0.0% | 区间内 | 189.15 → 189.15 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.9% | +3.8% | 区间内 | 182.18 → 189.15 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.1% | -2.1% | 区间内 | 193.29 → 189.15 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.1% | -2.2% | 区间内 | 193.34 → 189.15 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.2% | -1.5% | 区间内 | 191.98 → 189.15 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.2% | -2.1% | 区间内 | 193.23 → 189.15 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.4% | -2.5% | 区间内 | 194.06 → 189.15 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.0% | -5.4% | 区间内 | 199.99 → 189.15 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.3% | -5.0% | 区间内 | 199.00 → 189.15 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.5% | -6.4% | 区间内 | 202.18 → 189.15 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.0% | -6.4% | 区间内 | 202.00 → 189.15 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.9% | -4.8% | 区间内 | 198.65 → 189.15 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.3% | -3.9% | 区间内 | 196.92 → 189.15 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.7% | -5.6% | 区间内 | 200.47 → 189.15 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.0% | -10.7% | 区间内 | 211.71 → 189.15 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.6% | -14.6% | 区间外 | 221.50 → 189.15 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.7% | -16.9% | 区间外 | 227.68 → 189.15 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.7% | -16.5% | 区间外 | 226.56 → 189.15 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.0% | -16.3% | 区间外 | 225.86 → 189.15 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.7% | -18.5% | 区间外 | 232.20 → 189.15 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±0.9% | +0.0% | 区间内 | 196.50 → 196.50 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.2% | +2.6% | 区间外 | 191.60 → 196.50 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.9% | +2.6% | 区间内 | 191.55 → 196.50 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.5% | +1.5% | 区间内 | 193.62 → 196.50 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.4% | +2.9% | 区间内 | 191.00 → 196.50 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.1% | +3.9% | 区间内 | 189.15 → 196.50 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.8% | +7.9% | 区间外 | 182.18 → 196.50 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.5% | +1.7% | 区间内 | 193.29 → 196.50 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.6% | +1.6% | 区间内 | 193.34 → 196.50 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.9% | +2.4% | 区间内 | 191.98 → 196.50 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.0% | +1.7% | 区间内 | 193.23 → 196.50 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.2% | +1.3% | 区间内 | 194.06 → 196.50 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.9% | -1.7% | 区间内 | 199.99 → 196.50 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.2% | -1.3% | 区间内 | 199.00 → 196.50 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.6% | -2.8% | 区间内 | 202.18 → 196.50 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.9% | -2.7% | 区间内 | 202.00 → 196.50 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.1% | -1.1% | 区间内 | 198.65 → 196.50 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.2% | -0.2% | 区间内 | 196.92 → 196.50 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.9% | -2.0% | 区间内 | 200.47 → 196.50 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.9% | -7.2% | 区间内 | 211.71 → 196.50 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.6% | -11.3% | 区间外 | 221.50 → 196.50 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.9% | -13.7% | 区间外 | 227.68 → 196.50 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.6% | -13.3% | 区间外 | 226.56 → 196.50 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.7% | -13.0% | 区间外 | 225.86 → 196.50 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.8% | -15.4% | 区间外 | 232.20 → 196.50 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.0% | +0.0% | 区间内 | 189.15 → 189.15 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±2.8% | +3.8% | 区间外 | 182.18 → 189.15 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.9% | -2.1% | 区间内 | 193.29 → 189.15 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.9% | -2.2% | 区间内 | 193.34 → 189.15 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.4% | -1.5% | 区间内 | 191.98 → 189.15 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.8% | -2.1% | 区间内 | 193.23 → 189.15 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±7.1% | -2.5% | 区间内 | 194.06 → 189.15 |
结果通过比较记录的价格区间与到期日收盘价得出。各行显示所用方法版本（与当前版本不同时）；当前版本： em-1.0.