CVX 预期波动历史 Chevron Corporation
每个交易日收盘后，我们记录期权市场对各到期日的定价——均在结果揭晓前留存。到期日过后，实际结果会附记于原始预估值旁。预估值在事后绝不修改。 如何解读这些统计数据 · 记录开始于 Aug 31, 2026
已解决的比较项93
收盘价处于区间内88%
|实际值| 低于预期值88%
平均预期波动幅度±3.8%
平均|实际|波动幅度1.8%
平均绝对误差2.2pt
隐含与已实现波动率，按到期日
每个到期日：琥珀色轮廓框为最接近到期时记录的预期涨跌幅；实心柱为股票实际涨跌幅。柱形下方标注带符号的具体数值。
预期（已记录）实际
已记录（等待结果）
| 快照 | 到期时间 | DTE | 当时现货价 | 预期涨跌幅 | 区间 | 方法 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16 | Oct 16 | 0 | 225.00 | ±0.1% | 224.88–225.11 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 16 | 2 | 222.40 | ±1.8% | 218.49–226.31 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 16 | 3 | 217.80 | ±2.0% | 213.48–222.12 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 16 | 7 | 211.87 | ±2.6% | 206.38–217.36 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 16 | 8 | 211.55 | ±3.0% | 205.13–217.97 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 16 | 9 | 204.94 | ±3.2% | 198.45–211.42 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 16 | 10 | 207.82 | ±3.3% | 200.90–214.75 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 16 | 11 | 206.47 | ±3.6% | 199.02–213.92 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 16 | 14 | 206.69 | ±3.8% | 198.79–214.59 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 16 | 15 | 207.38 | ±4.0% | 199.03–215.73 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 16 | 23 | 202.75 | ±5.4% | 191.75–213.75 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 16 | 24 | 202.81 | ±5.4% | 191.81–213.81 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 16 | 25 | 204.08 | ±5.6% | 192.73–215.43 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 16 | 28 | 209.15 | ±5.8% | 197.03–221.28 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 16 | 29 | 211.99 | ±5.9% | 199.51–224.47 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 16 | 30 | 211.65 | ±6.4% | 198.18–225.12 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 16 | 31 | 217.33 | ±6.7% | 202.78–231.88 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 16 | 32 | 212.17 | ±6.5% | 198.42–225.92 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 16 | 35 | 213.80 | ±6.6% | 199.65–227.95 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 16 | 36 | 213.18 | ±6.7% | 198.85–227.50 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 16 | 37 | 213.90 | ±6.9% | 199.20–228.60 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 16 | 38 | 210.21 | ±6.7% | 196.13–224.28 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 16 | 39 | 208.60 | ±6.7% | 194.55–222.65 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 16 | 42 | 208.47 | ±6.7% | 194.57–222.38 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 16 | 43 | 211.30 | ±6.7% | 197.10–225.50 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Oct 16 | 44 | 211.71 | ±7.1% | 196.71–226.71 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Oct 16 | 45 | 210.61 | ±7.7% | 194.49–226.74 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Oct 16 | 46 | 206.26 | ±7.4% | 191.06–221.46 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 19 | Oct 23 | 4 | 224.70 | ±2.5% | 219.15–230.25 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 225.00 | ±2.9% | 218.57–231.42 | em-1.0 |
已归档快照
| 快照 | 已到期 | 预期值 | 实际值 | 在区间内？ | 现货价 → 收盘价 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±0.4% | +0.1% | 区间内 | 211.87 → 211.98 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.2% | +0.2% | 区间内 | 211.55 → 211.98 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.6% | +3.4% | 区间外 | 204.94 → 211.98 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.0% | +2.0% | 区间外 | 207.82 → 211.98 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.4% | +2.7% | 区间外 | 206.47 → 211.98 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.7% | +2.6% | 区间内 | 206.69 → 211.98 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.0% | +2.2% | 区间内 | 207.38 → 211.98 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.6% | +4.6% | 区间内 | 202.75 → 211.98 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.6% | +4.5% | 区间内 | 202.81 → 211.98 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.8% | +3.9% | 区间内 | 204.08 → 211.98 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.1% | +1.4% | 区间内 | 209.15 → 211.98 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.2% | -0.0% | 区间内 | 211.99 → 211.98 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.6% | +0.2% | 区间内 | 211.65 → 211.98 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.9% | -2.5% | 区间内 | 217.33 → 211.98 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.8% | -0.1% | 区间内 | 212.17 → 211.98 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.8% | -0.9% | 区间内 | 213.80 → 211.98 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.0% | -0.6% | 区间内 | 213.18 → 211.98 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.1% | -0.9% | 区间内 | 213.90 → 211.98 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.1% | +0.8% | 区间内 | 210.21 → 211.98 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.2% | +1.6% | 区间内 | 208.60 → 211.98 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.0% | +1.7% | 区间内 | 208.47 → 211.98 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.3% | +0.3% | 区间内 | 211.30 → 211.98 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.5% | +0.1% | 区间内 | 211.71 → 211.98 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.9% | +0.7% | 区间内 | 210.61 → 211.98 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.9% | +2.8% | 区间内 | 206.26 → 211.98 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±0.3% | +0.0% | 区间内 | 206.69 → 206.69 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.1% | -0.3% | 区间内 | 207.38 → 206.69 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.7% | +1.9% | 区间内 | 202.75 → 206.69 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.7% | +1.9% | 区间内 | 202.81 → 206.69 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.8% | +1.3% | 区间内 | 204.08 → 206.69 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.2% | -1.2% | 区间内 | 209.15 → 206.69 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.2% | -2.5% | 区间内 | 211.99 → 206.69 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.7% | -2.3% | 区间内 | 211.65 → 206.69 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.0% | -4.9% | 区间内 | 217.33 → 206.69 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.9% | -2.6% | 区间内 | 212.17 → 206.69 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.9% | -3.3% | 区间内 | 213.80 → 206.69 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.2% | -3.0% | 区间内 | 213.18 → 206.69 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.2% | -3.4% | 区间内 | 213.90 → 206.69 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.4% | -1.7% | 区间内 | 210.21 → 206.69 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.4% | -0.9% | 区间内 | 208.60 → 206.69 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.4% | -0.9% | 区间内 | 208.47 → 206.69 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.6% | -2.2% | 区间内 | 211.30 → 206.69 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.9% | -2.4% | 区间内 | 211.71 → 206.69 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.4% | -1.9% | 区间内 | 210.61 → 206.69 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.8% | +0.2% | 区间内 | 206.26 → 206.69 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±2.3% | +0.8% | 区间内 | 202.75 → 204.45 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±2.3% | +0.8% | 区间内 | 202.81 → 204.45 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±2.5% | +0.2% | 区间内 | 204.08 → 204.45 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±2.9% | -2.2% | 区间内 | 209.15 → 204.45 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±3.4% | -3.6% | 区间外 | 211.99 → 204.45 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±3.6% | -3.4% | 区间内 | 211.65 → 204.45 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±3.9% | -5.9% | 区间外 | 217.33 → 204.45 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±3.9% | -3.6% | 区间内 | 212.17 → 204.45 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.1% | -4.4% | 区间外 | 213.80 → 204.45 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.3% | -4.1% | 区间内 | 213.18 → 204.45 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.5% | -4.4% | 区间内 | 213.90 → 204.45 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.4% | -2.7% | 区间内 | 210.21 → 204.45 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.7% | -2.0% | 区间内 | 208.60 → 204.45 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.6% | -1.9% | 区间内 | 208.47 → 204.45 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.8% | -3.2% | 区间内 | 211.30 → 204.45 |
结果通过比较记录的价格区间与到期日收盘价得出。各行显示所用方法版本（与当前版本不同时）；当前版本： em-1.0.