CROX histórico de movimento esperado Crocs, Inc.
A cada dia útil, após o fechamento, registramos o que o mercado de opções estava precificando — por expiração, antes de o resultado ser conhecido. Quando uma expiração passa, o resultado é registrado ao lado da estimativa original. As estimativas nunca são revisadas após o fato. Como interpretar estas estatísticas · registrando desde Aug 31, 2026
Comparações resolvidas43
Fechar dentro do intervalo63%
|Real| abaixo do esperado63%
Movimento esperado médio±7.3%
Movimento |real| médio5.8%
Erro médio absoluto3.5pt
Implícita vs. realizada, por vencimento
Para cada expiração: o contorno âmbar é o movimento esperado registrado mais próximo do vencimento; a barra sólida é o que a ação realmente fez. Os valores com sinal aparecem abaixo das barras.
esperado (registrado)real
Atualmente registado (a aguardar resultado)
| Snapshot | Expira | DTE | Spot na época | Movimento esperado | Intervalo | Método |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 | Nov 20 | 32 | 120.18 | ±13.3% | 104.18–136.18 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Nov 20 | 35 | 123.14 | ±15.1% | 104.49–141.79 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Nov 20 | 37 | 117.54 | ±12.9% | 102.39–132.69 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Nov 20 | 38 | 117.53 | ±14.1% | 100.98–134.08 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Nov 20 | 42 | 114.98 | ±14.6% | 98.23–131.73 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Nov 20 | 43 | 116.84 | ±15.3% | 98.94–134.74 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Nov 20 | 44 | 115.20 | ±14.8% | 98.20–132.20 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Nov 20 | 45 | 119.10 | ±16.1% | 99.95–138.25 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Nov 20 | 46 | 118.19 | ±15.6% | 99.79–136.59 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Nov 20 | 49 | 118.09 | ±15.0% | 100.34–135.84 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Nov 20 | 50 | 118.90 | ±16.8% | 98.90–138.90 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Nov 20 | 58 | 125.13 | ±16.7% | 104.28–145.98 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Nov 20 | 59 | 124.41 | ±17.1% | 103.16–145.66 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Nov 20 | 60 | 122.24 | ±17.3% | 101.04–143.44 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Nov 20 | 63 | 122.80 | ±17.5% | 101.34–144.25 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 19 | Dec 18 | 60 | 120.18 | ±16.4% | 100.48–139.88 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Dec 18 | 63 | 123.14 | ±16.8% | 102.44–143.84 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Dec 18 | 65 | 117.54 | ±15.8% | 98.94–136.14 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Dec 18 | 66 | 117.53 | ±16.9% | 97.63–137.43 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Dec 18 | 70 | 114.98 | ±17.8% | 94.53–135.43 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Dec 18 | 71 | 116.84 | ±17.3% | 96.59–137.09 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Dec 18 | 72 | 115.20 | ±16.2% | 96.50–133.90 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Dec 18 | 73 | 119.10 | ±17.4% | 98.40–139.80 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Dec 18 | 74 | 118.19 | ±18.6% | 96.19–140.19 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Dec 18 | 77 | 118.09 | ±18.8% | 95.84–140.34 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Dec 18 | 78 | 118.90 | ±18.8% | 96.55–141.25 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Dec 18 | 86 | 125.13 | ±19.2% | 101.13–149.13 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Dec 18 | 87 | 124.41 | ±19.3% | 100.36–148.46 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Dec 18 | 88 | 122.24 | ±19.4% | 98.49–145.99 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Dec 18 | 91 | 122.80 | ±20.2% | 98.00–147.59 | em-1.0 |
Snapshots encerrados
| Snapshot | Expirado | Esperado | Real | Dentro do intervalo? | Spot → fechamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.0% | +0.0% | dentro | 123.14 → 123.14 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.1% | +4.8% | fora | 117.54 → 123.14 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.7% | +4.8% | fora | 117.53 → 123.14 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.8% | +7.1% | fora | 114.98 → 123.14 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.6% | +5.4% | dentro | 116.84 → 123.14 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.8% | +6.9% | fora | 115.20 → 123.14 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.6% | +3.4% | dentro | 119.10 → 123.14 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.0% | +4.2% | dentro | 118.19 → 123.14 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.2% | +4.3% | dentro | 118.09 → 123.14 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.9% | +3.6% | dentro | 118.90 → 123.14 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.8% | -1.6% | dentro | 125.13 → 123.14 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.4% | -1.0% | dentro | 124.41 → 123.14 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.3% | +0.7% | dentro | 122.24 → 123.14 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.8% | +0.3% | dentro | 122.80 → 123.14 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.4% | +6.5% | dentro | 115.60 → 123.14 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.7% | +10.5% | fora | 111.48 → 123.14 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.7% | +8.5% | dentro | 113.50 → 123.14 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.8% | +10.6% | fora | 111.31 → 123.14 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.3% | +13.1% | fora | 108.90 → 123.14 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.8% | +10.8% | fora | 111.09 → 123.14 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.6% | +7.3% | dentro | 114.73 → 123.14 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.6% | +8.0% | dentro | 114.04 → 123.14 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.4% | +7.0% | dentro | 115.05 → 123.14 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.4% | +7.0% | dentro | 115.05 → 123.14 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.9% | +6.2% | dentro | 116.00 → 123.14 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.5% | +6.6% | dentro | 115.53 → 123.14 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.3% | +2.3% | dentro | 120.38 → 123.14 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.5% | +0.7% | dentro | 122.23 → 123.14 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±3.1% | -0.5% | dentro | 122.80 → 122.24 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±3.7% | +5.7% | fora | 115.60 → 122.24 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±3.8% | +9.7% | fora | 111.48 → 122.24 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.7% | +7.7% | fora | 113.50 → 122.24 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.3% | +9.8% | fora | 111.31 → 122.24 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.3% | +12.2% | fora | 108.90 → 122.24 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±5.8% | +10.0% | fora | 111.09 → 122.24 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±5.3% | +6.5% | fora | 114.73 → 122.24 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±5.4% | +7.2% | fora | 114.04 → 122.24 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±7.0% | +6.2% | dentro | 115.05 → 122.24 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±7.0% | +6.2% | dentro | 115.05 → 122.24 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±6.3% | +5.4% | dentro | 116.00 → 122.24 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±7.4% | +5.8% | dentro | 115.53 → 122.24 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±6.0% | +1.5% | dentro | 120.38 → 122.24 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±7.7% | +0.0% | dentro | 122.23 → 122.24 |
Os resultados comparam o intervalo registado com o preço de fecho no dia de expiração. A versão do método é indicada por linha quando difere; atual: em-1.0.