CRM riwayat pergerakan yang diperkirakan Salesforce, Inc.
Setiap hari perdagangan setelah penutupan, kami mencatat apa yang diperhitungkan pasar opsi — per expirasi, sebelum hasilnya diketahui. Ketika suatu expirasi berlalu, hasilnya ditulis di samping estimasi awal. Estimasi tidak pernah direvisi setelah fakta terjadi. Cara membaca statistik ini · merekam sejak Aug 31, 2026
Perbandingan terselesaikan121
Tutup dalam rentang65%
|Aktual| di bawah ekspektasi65%
Rata-rata pergerakan yang diperkirakan±6.2%
Rata-rata pergerakan |aktual|5.0%
Rata-rata kesalahan absolut2.5pt
Implied vs realized, per kedaluwarsa
Untuk setiap expirasi: garis tepi berwarna kuning adalah pergerakan yang diharapkan yang dicatat paling dekat dengan expirasi; batang padat adalah pergerakan saham yang sebenarnya terjadi. Nilai bertanda dicetak di bawah batang.
ekspektasi (direkam)aktual
Sedang dicatat (menunggu hasil)
| Snapshot | Kedaluwarsa | DTE | Spot saat itu | Pergerakan yang diharapkan | Rentang | Metode |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 | Oct 23 | 4 | 241.98 | ±3.9% | 232.63–251.33 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 240.76 | ±4.5% | 229.89–251.64 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 235.59 | ±5.3% | 223.09–248.09 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 23 | 10 | 238.02 | ±5.2% | 225.67–250.37 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 23 | 14 | 228.75 | ±5.9% | 215.30–242.20 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 23 | 15 | 227.30 | ±6.2% | 213.12–241.47 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 23 | 16 | 224.20 | ±6.2% | 210.28–238.12 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 23 | 17 | 224.72 | ±6.6% | 209.92–239.52 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 23 | 18 | 229.79 | ±6.7% | 214.29–245.29 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 23 | 21 | 234.85 | ±7.1% | 218.15–251.55 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 23 | 22 | 237.16 | ±7.5% | 219.44–254.88 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 23 | 30 | 232.92 | ±9.3% | 211.22–254.62 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 23 | 31 | 233.28 | ±9.3% | 211.58–254.98 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 23 | 32 | 236.50 | ±9.3% | 214.40–258.60 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 23 | 35 | 237.80 | ±9.7% | 214.65–260.95 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 23 | 36 | 243.32 | ±9.6% | 219.87–266.77 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 23 | 37 | 250.64 | ±10.4% | 224.49–276.79 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 23 | 38 | 256.00 | ±10.7% | 228.68–283.32 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 23 | 39 | 259.01 | ±10.9% | 230.84–287.19 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 23 | 42 | 247.74 | ±10.6% | 221.46–274.01 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 23 | 43 | 243.11 | ±10.9% | 216.69–269.54 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 23 | 44 | 243.70 | ±11.2% | 216.40–271.00 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 23 | 45 | 248.60 | ±11.5% | 219.93–277.28 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 23 | 46 | 259.40 | ±11.4% | 229.90–288.90 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 23 | 49 | 259.50 | ±11.4% | 230.00–289.00 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 23 | 50 | 264.03 | ±11.4% | 233.85–294.20 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 19 | Oct 30 | 11 | 241.98 | ±6.2% | 226.93–257.03 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 30 | 14 | 240.76 | ±6.9% | 224.24–257.29 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 30 | 16 | 235.59 | ±7.1% | 218.97–252.22 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 30 | 17 | 238.02 | ±7.0% | 221.27–254.77 | em-1.0 |
Snapshot yang telah diselesaikan
| Snapshot | Kedaluwarsa | Diharapkan | Aktual | Dalam kisaran? | Spot → penutupan |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±0.5% | -0.0% | di dalam | 240.76 → 240.70 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.9% | +2.2% | di dalam | 235.59 → 240.70 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.2% | +1.1% | di dalam | 238.02 → 240.70 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.9% | +5.2% | di luar | 228.75 → 240.70 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.4% | +5.9% | di luar | 227.30 → 240.70 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.5% | +7.4% | di luar | 224.20 → 240.70 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.0% | +7.1% | di luar | 224.72 → 240.70 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.2% | +4.7% | di dalam | 229.79 → 240.70 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.6% | +2.5% | di dalam | 234.85 → 240.70 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.9% | +1.5% | di dalam | 237.16 → 240.70 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.0% | +3.3% | di dalam | 232.92 → 240.70 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.0% | +3.2% | di dalam | 233.28 → 240.70 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.1% | +1.8% | di dalam | 236.50 → 240.70 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.3% | +1.2% | di dalam | 237.80 → 240.70 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.7% | -1.1% | di dalam | 243.32 → 240.70 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.5% | -4.0% | di dalam | 250.64 → 240.70 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.9% | -6.0% | di dalam | 256.00 → 240.70 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.7% | -7.1% | di dalam | 259.01 → 240.70 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.6% | -2.8% | di dalam | 247.74 → 240.70 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.9% | -1.0% | di dalam | 243.11 → 240.70 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.2% | -1.2% | di dalam | 243.70 → 240.70 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.4% | -3.2% | di dalam | 248.60 → 240.70 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.5% | -7.2% | di dalam | 259.40 → 240.70 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.5% | -7.2% | di dalam | 259.50 → 240.70 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.4% | -8.8% | di dalam | 264.03 → 240.70 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.5% | -6.5% | di dalam | 257.43 → 240.70 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.9% | -6.2% | di dalam | 256.69 → 240.70 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.6% | -7.0% | di dalam | 258.89 → 240.70 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±0.7% | +0.2% | di dalam | 228.75 → 229.13 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.7% | +0.8% | di dalam | 227.30 → 229.13 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.4% | +2.2% | di dalam | 224.20 → 229.13 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.0% | +2.0% | di dalam | 224.72 → 229.13 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.4% | -0.3% | di dalam | 229.79 → 229.13 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.9% | -2.4% | di dalam | 234.85 → 229.13 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.5% | -3.4% | di dalam | 237.16 → 229.13 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.8% | -1.6% | di dalam | 232.92 → 229.13 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.8% | -1.8% | di dalam | 233.28 → 229.13 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.9% | -3.1% | di dalam | 236.50 → 229.13 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.2% | -3.6% | di dalam | 237.80 → 229.13 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.5% | -5.8% | di dalam | 243.32 → 229.13 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.2% | -8.6% | di luar | 250.64 → 229.13 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.5% | -10.5% | di luar | 256.00 → 229.13 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.5% | -11.5% | di luar | 259.01 → 229.13 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.4% | -7.5% | di dalam | 247.74 → 229.13 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.9% | -5.8% | di dalam | 243.11 → 229.13 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.2% | -6.0% | di dalam | 243.70 → 229.13 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.3% | -7.8% | di dalam | 248.60 → 229.13 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.4% | -11.7% | di luar | 259.40 → 229.13 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.4% | -11.7% | di luar | 259.50 → 229.13 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.7% | -13.2% | di luar | 264.03 → 229.13 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.5% | -11.0% | di luar | 257.43 → 229.13 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.9% | -10.7% | di luar | 256.69 → 229.13 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.9% | -11.5% | di luar | 258.89 → 229.13 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±0.3% | -0.1% | di dalam | 234.85 → 234.69 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.8% | -1.0% | di dalam | 237.16 → 234.69 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.2% | +0.8% | di dalam | 232.92 → 234.69 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.1% | +0.6% | di dalam | 233.28 → 234.69 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.4% | -0.8% | di dalam | 236.50 → 234.69 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.8% | -1.3% | di dalam | 237.80 → 234.69 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.2% | -3.5% | di dalam | 243.32 → 234.69 |
Hasil membandingkan rentang yang tercatat dengan harga penutupan pada hari kedaluwarsa. Versi metode ditampilkan per baris jika berbeda; saat ini: em-1.0.