COST riwayat pergerakan yang diperkirakan Costco Wholesale Corporation
Setiap hari perdagangan setelah penutupan, kami mencatat apa yang diperhitungkan pasar opsi — per expirasi, sebelum hasilnya diketahui. Ketika suatu expirasi berlalu, hasilnya ditulis di samping estimasi awal. Estimasi tidak pernah direvisi setelah fakta terjadi. Cara membaca statistik ini · merekam sejak Aug 31, 2026
Perbandingan terselesaikan121
Tutup dalam rentang64%
|Aktual| di bawah ekspektasi64%
Rata-rata pergerakan yang diperkirakan±3.8%
Rata-rata pergerakan |aktual|3.4%
Rata-rata kesalahan absolut2.0pt
Implied vs realized, per kedaluwarsa
Untuk setiap expirasi: garis tepi berwarna kuning adalah pergerakan yang diharapkan yang dicatat paling dekat dengan expirasi; batang padat adalah pergerakan saham yang sebenarnya terjadi. Nilai bertanda dicetak di bawah batang.
ekspektasi (direkam)aktual
Sedang dicatat (menunggu hasil)
| Snapshot | Kedaluwarsa | DTE | Spot saat itu | Pergerakan yang diharapkan | Rentang | Metode |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 | Oct 23 | 4 | 994.59 | ±1.8% | 976.79–1,012.39 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 988.00 | ±2.1% | 967.50–1,008.50 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 977.84 | ±2.5% | 953.59–1,002.09 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 23 | 10 | 954.43 | ±2.5% | 930.73–978.13 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 23 | 14 | 946.94 | ±2.6% | 922.07–971.82 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 23 | 15 | 947.01 | ±2.9% | 919.63–974.38 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 23 | 16 | 939.06 | ±3.2% | 909.28–968.84 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 23 | 17 | 934.07 | ±3.1% | 904.87–963.27 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 23 | 18 | 922.50 | ±3.5% | 890.25–954.75 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 23 | 21 | 919.17 | ±3.7% | 885.39–952.94 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 23 | 22 | 914.00 | ±3.8% | 879.05–948.95 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 23 | 30 | 899.72 | ±5.3% | 851.82–947.62 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 23 | 31 | 899.50 | ±5.3% | 851.60–947.40 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 23 | 32 | 898.50 | ±5.4% | 850.15–946.85 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 23 | 35 | 896.44 | ±5.5% | 847.19–945.69 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 23 | 36 | 893.00 | ±5.6% | 842.73–943.27 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 23 | 37 | 893.86 | ±6.1% | 839.06–948.66 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 23 | 38 | 902.45 | ±6.2% | 846.18–958.73 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 23 | 39 | 918.72 | ±6.2% | 861.95–975.50 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 23 | 42 | 904.14 | ±6.4% | 846.54–961.74 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 23 | 43 | 901.55 | ±6.5% | 842.55–960.55 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 23 | 44 | 902.77 | ±6.8% | 841.72–963.82 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 23 | 45 | 910.15 | ±7.0% | 846.80–973.50 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 23 | 46 | 916.00 | ±6.9% | 852.77–979.23 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 23 | 49 | 915.76 | ±6.9% | 852.53–978.99 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 23 | 50 | 926.60 | ±6.7% | 864.08–989.12 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 19 | Oct 30 | 11 | 994.59 | ±2.7% | 968.07–1,021.12 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 30 | 14 | 988.00 | ±3.0% | 958.15–1,017.85 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 30 | 16 | 977.84 | ±3.4% | 944.79–1,010.89 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 30 | 17 | 954.43 | ±3.2% | 923.68–985.18 | em-1.0 |
Snapshot yang telah diselesaikan
| Snapshot | Kedaluwarsa | Diharapkan | Aktual | Dalam kisaran? | Spot → penutupan |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±0.2% | +0.1% | di dalam | 988.00 → 989.11 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±1.4% | +1.2% | di dalam | 977.84 → 989.11 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±1.5% | +3.6% | di luar | 954.43 → 989.11 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±1.8% | +4.5% | di luar | 946.94 → 989.11 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.0% | +4.4% | di luar | 947.01 → 989.11 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.5% | +5.3% | di luar | 939.06 → 989.11 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.5% | +5.9% | di luar | 934.07 → 989.11 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.7% | +7.2% | di luar | 922.50 → 989.11 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.9% | +7.6% | di luar | 919.17 → 989.11 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.2% | +8.2% | di luar | 914.00 → 989.11 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.0% | +9.9% | di luar | 899.72 → 989.11 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.0% | +10.0% | di luar | 899.50 → 989.11 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.0% | +10.1% | di luar | 898.50 → 989.11 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.3% | +10.3% | di luar | 896.44 → 989.11 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.2% | +10.8% | di luar | 893.00 → 989.11 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.6% | +10.7% | di luar | 893.86 → 989.11 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.8% | +9.6% | di luar | 902.45 → 989.11 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.7% | +7.7% | di luar | 918.72 → 989.11 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.7% | +9.4% | di luar | 904.14 → 989.11 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.1% | +9.7% | di luar | 901.55 → 989.11 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.2% | +9.6% | di luar | 902.77 → 989.11 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.3% | +8.7% | di luar | 910.15 → 989.11 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.3% | +8.0% | di luar | 916.00 → 989.11 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.3% | +8.0% | di luar | 915.76 → 989.11 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.3% | +6.7% | di luar | 926.60 → 989.11 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.6% | +7.0% | di luar | 924.77 → 989.11 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.9% | +5.3% | di dalam | 939.46 → 989.11 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.6% | +4.7% | di dalam | 944.99 → 989.11 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±0.3% | -0.0% | di dalam | 946.94 → 946.92 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±0.9% | -0.0% | di dalam | 947.01 → 946.92 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.5% | +0.8% | di dalam | 939.06 → 946.92 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.5% | +1.4% | di dalam | 934.07 → 946.92 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.8% | +2.6% | di luar | 922.50 → 946.92 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.1% | +3.0% | di luar | 919.17 → 946.92 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.4% | +3.6% | di luar | 914.00 → 946.92 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.5% | +5.2% | di luar | 899.72 → 946.92 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.5% | +5.3% | di luar | 899.50 → 946.92 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.5% | +5.4% | di luar | 898.50 → 946.92 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.8% | +5.6% | di luar | 896.44 → 946.92 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.6% | +6.0% | di luar | 893.00 → 946.92 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.1% | +5.9% | di luar | 893.86 → 946.92 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.2% | +4.9% | di dalam | 902.45 → 946.92 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.2% | +3.1% | di dalam | 918.72 → 946.92 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.2% | +4.7% | di dalam | 904.14 → 946.92 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.6% | +5.0% | di dalam | 901.55 → 946.92 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.6% | +4.9% | di dalam | 902.77 → 946.92 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.8% | +4.0% | di dalam | 910.15 → 946.92 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.7% | +3.4% | di dalam | 916.00 → 946.92 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.7% | +3.4% | di dalam | 915.76 → 946.92 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.9% | +2.2% | di dalam | 926.60 → 946.92 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.0% | +2.4% | di dalam | 924.77 → 946.92 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.3% | +0.8% | di dalam | 939.46 → 946.92 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.1% | +0.2% | di dalam | 944.99 → 946.92 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±0.1% | +0.2% | di luar | 919.17 → 920.65 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.0% | +0.7% | di dalam | 914.00 → 920.65 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.9% | +2.3% | di dalam | 899.72 → 920.65 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.9% | +2.4% | di dalam | 899.50 → 920.65 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.0% | +2.5% | di dalam | 898.50 → 920.65 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.2% | +2.7% | di dalam | 896.44 → 920.65 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.1% | +3.1% | di dalam | 893.00 → 920.65 |
Hasil membandingkan rentang yang tercatat dengan harga penutupan pada hari kedaluwarsa. Versi metode ditampilkan per baris jika berbeda; saat ini: em-1.0.