CMCSA histórico de movimento esperado Comcast Corporation
A cada dia útil, após o fechamento, registramos o que o mercado de opções estava precificando — por expiração, antes de o resultado ser conhecido. Quando uma expiração passa, o resultado é registrado ao lado da estimativa original. As estimativas nunca são revisadas após o fato. Como interpretar estas estatísticas · registrando desde Aug 31, 2026
Comparações resolvidas121
Fechar dentro do intervalo23%
|Real| abaixo do esperado23%
Movimento esperado médio±4.9%
Movimento |real| médio9.9%
Erro médio absoluto5.8pt
Implícita vs. realizada, por vencimento
Para cada expiração: o contorno âmbar é o movimento esperado registrado mais próximo do vencimento; a barra sólida é o que a ação realmente fez. Os valores com sinal aparecem abaixo das barras.
esperado (registrado)real
Atualmente registado (a aguardar resultado)
| Snapshot | Expira | DTE | Spot na época | Movimento esperado | Intervalo | Método |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 | Oct 23 | 4 | 21.90 | ±6.5% | 20.48–23.32 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 21.90 | ±6.7% | 20.44–23.36 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 21.07 | ±5.9% | 19.84–22.30 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 23 | 10 | 20.90 | ±6.4% | 19.56–22.23 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 23 | 14 | 20.67 | ±7.7% | 19.07–22.27 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 23 | 15 | 20.80 | ±7.2% | 19.31–22.29 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 23 | 16 | 20.97 | ±7.5% | 19.40–22.53 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 23 | 17 | 21.62 | ±7.7% | 19.96–23.28 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 23 | 18 | 21.60 | ±8.1% | 19.85–23.34 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 23 | 21 | 21.59 | ±8.6% | 19.73–23.45 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 23 | 22 | 21.75 | ±8.5% | 19.90–23.61 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 23 | 30 | 22.44 | ±8.8% | 20.45–24.43 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 23 | 31 | 22.49 | ±8.8% | 20.50–24.48 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 23 | 32 | 22.99 | ±8.7% | 21.00–24.98 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 23 | 35 | 22.79 | ±8.5% | 20.86–24.72 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 23 | 36 | 22.99 | ±9.5% | 20.82–25.16 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 23 | 37 | 23.73 | ±9.3% | 21.53–25.93 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 23 | 38 | 24.48 | ±9.0% | 22.28–26.68 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 23 | 39 | 24.98 | ±8.0% | 22.98–26.98 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 23 | 42 | 25.21 | ±8.1% | 23.18–27.25 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 23 | 43 | 25.18 | ±7.4% | 23.32–27.04 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 23 | 44 | 24.67 | ±8.9% | 22.48–26.86 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 23 | 45 | 26.25 | ±7.7% | 24.23–28.28 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 23 | 46 | 26.48 | ±8.6% | 24.19–28.77 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 23 | 49 | 26.57 | ±9.4% | 24.05–29.07 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 23 | 50 | 26.61 | ±11.7% | 23.51–29.71 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 19 | Oct 30 | 11 | 21.90 | ±7.2% | 20.32–23.48 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 30 | 14 | 21.90 | ±8.4% | 20.07–23.73 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 30 | 16 | 21.07 | ±7.5% | 19.48–22.66 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 30 | 17 | 20.90 | ±7.0% | 19.44–22.35 | em-1.0 |
Snapshots encerrados
| Snapshot | Expirado | Esperado | Real | Dentro do intervalo? | Spot → fechamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±0.7% | +0.0% | dentro | 21.90 → 21.90 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.0% | +3.9% | fora | 21.07 → 21.90 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.7% | +4.8% | fora | 20.90 → 21.90 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.4% | +6.0% | fora | 20.67 → 21.90 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.4% | +5.3% | fora | 20.80 → 21.90 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.2% | +4.5% | fora | 20.97 → 21.90 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.0% | +1.3% | dentro | 21.62 → 21.90 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.1% | +1.4% | dentro | 21.60 → 21.90 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.6% | +1.4% | dentro | 21.59 → 21.90 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.2% | +0.7% | dentro | 21.75 → 21.90 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.2% | -2.4% | dentro | 22.44 → 21.90 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.2% | -2.6% | dentro | 22.49 → 21.90 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.2% | -4.7% | dentro | 22.99 → 21.90 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.9% | -3.9% | dentro | 22.79 → 21.90 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.7% | -4.7% | dentro | 22.99 → 21.90 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.6% | -7.7% | fora | 23.73 → 21.90 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.5% | -10.5% | fora | 24.48 → 21.90 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.6% | -12.3% | fora | 24.98 → 21.90 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.3% | -13.1% | fora | 25.21 → 21.90 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.5% | -13.0% | fora | 25.18 → 21.90 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.8% | -11.2% | fora | 24.67 → 21.90 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.5% | -16.6% | fora | 26.25 → 21.90 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.0% | -17.3% | fora | 26.48 → 21.90 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.2% | -17.6% | fora | 26.57 → 21.90 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.9% | -17.7% | fora | 26.61 → 21.90 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.4% | -18.8% | fora | 26.96 → 21.90 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.9% | -16.7% | fora | 26.30 → 21.90 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.6% | -18.1% | fora | 26.75 → 21.90 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.4% | -0.0% | dentro | 20.67 → 20.66 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.9% | -0.7% | dentro | 20.80 → 20.66 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.0% | -1.5% | dentro | 20.97 → 20.66 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.5% | -4.4% | fora | 21.62 → 20.66 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.2% | -4.3% | fora | 21.60 → 20.66 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.6% | -4.3% | fora | 21.59 → 20.66 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.7% | -5.0% | fora | 21.75 → 20.66 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.7% | -7.9% | fora | 22.44 → 20.66 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.7% | -8.1% | fora | 22.49 → 20.66 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.8% | -10.1% | fora | 22.99 → 20.66 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.4% | -9.3% | fora | 22.79 → 20.66 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.3% | -10.1% | fora | 22.99 → 20.66 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.8% | -12.9% | fora | 23.73 → 20.66 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.1% | -15.6% | fora | 24.48 → 20.66 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.5% | -17.3% | fora | 24.98 → 20.66 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.8% | -18.0% | fora | 25.21 → 20.66 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.1% | -18.0% | fora | 25.18 → 20.66 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.5% | -16.2% | fora | 24.67 → 20.66 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.4% | -21.3% | fora | 26.25 → 20.66 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.4% | -22.0% | fora | 26.48 → 20.66 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.3% | -22.2% | fora | 26.57 → 20.66 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.1% | -22.4% | fora | 26.61 → 20.66 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.4% | -23.4% | fora | 26.96 → 20.66 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.9% | -21.4% | fora | 26.30 → 20.66 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.0% | -22.8% | fora | 26.75 → 20.66 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±0.7% | -0.1% | dentro | 21.59 → 21.57 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.7% | -0.8% | dentro | 21.75 → 21.57 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.1% | -3.9% | dentro | 22.44 → 21.57 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.0% | -4.1% | fora | 22.49 → 21.57 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.0% | -6.2% | fora | 22.99 → 21.57 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.2% | -5.3% | fora | 22.79 → 21.57 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.9% | -6.2% | fora | 22.99 → 21.57 |
Os resultados comparam o intervalo registado com o preço de fecho no dia de expiração. A versão do método é indicada por linha quando difere; atual: em-1.0.