CLSK histórico de movimento esperado CleanSpark, Inc.
A cada dia útil, após o fechamento, registramos o que o mercado de opções estava precificando — por expiração, antes de o resultado ser conhecido. Quando uma expiração passa, o resultado é registrado ao lado da estimativa original. As estimativas nunca são revisadas após o fato. Como interpretar estas estatísticas · registrando desde Aug 31, 2026
Comparações resolvidas121
Fechar dentro do intervalo40%
|Real| abaixo do esperado40%
Movimento esperado médio±12.7%
Movimento |real| médio16.0%
Erro médio absoluto8.3pt
Implícita vs. realizada, por vencimento
Para cada expiração: o contorno âmbar é o movimento esperado registrado mais próximo do vencimento; a barra sólida é o que a ação realmente fez. Os valores com sinal aparecem abaixo das barras.
esperado (registrado)real
Atualmente registado (a aguardar resultado)
| Snapshot | Expira | DTE | Spot na época | Movimento esperado | Intervalo | Método |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 | Oct 23 | 4 | 8.48 | ±8.5% | 7.76–9.20 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 8.44 | ±10.3% | 7.57–9.31 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 9.22 | ±11.2% | 8.19–10.25 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 23 | 10 | 10.13 | ±10.1% | 9.11–11.15 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 23 | 14 | 10.51 | ±11.6% | 9.29–11.72 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 23 | 15 | 10.65 | ±12.7% | 9.30–12.00 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 23 | 16 | 11.55 | ±12.4% | 10.12–12.99 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 23 | 17 | 12.30 | ±12.0% | 10.82–13.78 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 23 | 18 | 12.48 | ±13.1% | 10.84–14.12 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 23 | 21 | 12.74 | ±14.1% | 10.95–14.53 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 23 | 22 | 12.51 | ±14.9% | 10.65–14.37 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 23 | 30 | 15.14 | ±18.6% | 12.32–17.96 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 23 | 31 | 15.14 | ±18.6% | 12.32–17.96 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 23 | 32 | 14.85 | ±19.6% | 11.94–17.77 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 23 | 35 | 14.42 | ±19.5% | 11.62–17.23 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 23 | 36 | 13.36 | ±20.7% | 10.60–16.12 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 23 | 37 | 12.80 | ±20.4% | 10.19–15.41 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 23 | 38 | 12.61 | ±20.6% | 10.01–15.21 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 23 | 39 | 13.26 | ±21.7% | 10.38–16.14 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 23 | 42 | 13.65 | ±21.2% | 10.76–16.54 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 23 | 43 | 12.85 | ±22.0% | 10.02–15.68 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 23 | 44 | 13.25 | ±22.4% | 10.29–16.21 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 23 | 45 | 13.55 | ±23.2% | 10.40–16.70 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 23 | 46 | 12.67 | ±23.3% | 9.72–15.62 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 23 | 49 | 12.61 | ±23.4% | 9.65–15.55 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 23 | 50 | 12.47 | ±27.1% | 9.09–15.86 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 19 | Oct 30 | 11 | 8.48 | ±14.3% | 7.27–9.69 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 30 | 14 | 8.44 | ±14.7% | 7.20–9.68 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 30 | 16 | 9.22 | ±14.5% | 7.88–10.55 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 30 | 17 | 10.13 | ±13.1% | 8.80–11.46 | em-1.0 |
Snapshots encerrados
| Snapshot | Expirado | Esperado | Real | Dentro do intervalo? | Spot → fechamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±1.8% | -0.5% | dentro | 8.44 → 8.40 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.5% | -8.9% | fora | 9.22 → 8.40 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.4% | -17.1% | fora | 10.13 → 8.40 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.9% | -20.1% | fora | 10.51 → 8.40 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.6% | -21.1% | fora | 10.65 → 8.40 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.3% | -27.3% | fora | 11.55 → 8.40 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.1% | -31.7% | fora | 12.30 → 8.40 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.9% | -32.7% | fora | 12.48 → 8.40 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.8% | -34.1% | fora | 12.74 → 8.40 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±13.1% | -32.9% | fora | 12.51 → 8.40 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±16.3% | -44.5% | fora | 15.14 → 8.40 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±16.3% | -44.5% | fora | 15.14 → 8.40 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±17.1% | -43.4% | fora | 14.85 → 8.40 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±18.2% | -41.7% | fora | 14.42 → 8.40 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±18.6% | -37.1% | fora | 13.36 → 8.40 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±18.3% | -34.4% | fora | 12.80 → 8.40 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±19.4% | -33.4% | fora | 12.61 → 8.40 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±19.1% | -36.7% | fora | 13.26 → 8.40 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±19.1% | -38.5% | fora | 13.65 → 8.40 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±20.4% | -34.6% | fora | 12.85 → 8.40 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±20.8% | -36.6% | fora | 13.25 → 8.40 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±22.3% | -38.0% | fora | 13.55 → 8.40 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±22.5% | -33.7% | fora | 12.67 → 8.40 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±21.9% | -33.4% | fora | 12.61 → 8.40 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±21.1% | -32.6% | fora | 12.47 → 8.40 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±23.6% | -25.6% | fora | 11.29 → 8.40 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±22.6% | -24.8% | fora | 11.18 → 8.40 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±23.6% | -27.8% | fora | 11.63 → 8.40 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±0.8% | -0.1% | dentro | 10.51 → 10.50 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.7% | -1.4% | dentro | 10.65 → 10.50 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.5% | -9.1% | fora | 11.55 → 10.50 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.3% | -14.6% | fora | 12.30 → 10.50 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.1% | -15.9% | fora | 12.48 → 10.50 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.9% | -17.6% | fora | 12.74 → 10.50 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.5% | -16.1% | fora | 12.51 → 10.50 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±13.6% | -30.6% | fora | 15.14 → 10.50 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±13.6% | -30.6% | fora | 15.14 → 10.50 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±13.8% | -29.3% | fora | 14.85 → 10.50 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±12.8% | -27.2% | fora | 14.42 → 10.50 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±16.6% | -21.4% | fora | 13.36 → 10.50 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±16.1% | -18.0% | fora | 12.80 → 10.50 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±17.1% | -16.7% | dentro | 12.61 → 10.50 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±17.0% | -20.8% | fora | 13.26 → 10.50 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±18.4% | -23.1% | fora | 13.65 → 10.50 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±18.1% | -18.3% | fora | 12.85 → 10.50 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±18.5% | -20.8% | fora | 13.25 → 10.50 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±19.3% | -22.5% | fora | 13.55 → 10.50 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±19.1% | -17.1% | dentro | 12.67 → 10.50 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±20.0% | -16.7% | dentro | 12.61 → 10.50 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±20.2% | -15.8% | dentro | 12.47 → 10.50 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±21.0% | -7.0% | dentro | 11.29 → 10.50 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±21.2% | -6.0% | dentro | 11.18 → 10.50 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±22.1% | -9.7% | dentro | 11.63 → 10.50 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.6% | +0.0% | dentro | 12.74 → 12.74 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.9% | +1.8% | dentro | 12.51 → 12.74 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±10.6% | -15.8% | fora | 15.14 → 12.74 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±10.6% | -15.9% | fora | 15.14 → 12.74 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±11.5% | -14.2% | fora | 14.85 → 12.74 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±11.0% | -11.7% | fora | 14.42 → 12.74 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±13.1% | -4.7% | dentro | 13.36 → 12.74 |
Os resultados comparam o intervalo registado com o preço de fecho no dia de expiração. A versão do método é indicada por linha quando difere; atual: em-1.0.