CELH 预期波动历史 Celsius Holdings, Inc.
每个交易日收盘后，我们记录期权市场对各到期日的定价——均在结果揭晓前留存。到期日过后，实际结果会附记于原始预估值旁。预估值在事后绝不修改。 如何解读这些统计数据 · 记录开始于 Aug 31, 2026
已解决的比较项121
收盘价处于区间内75%
|实际值| 低于预期值74%
平均预期波动幅度±8.3%
平均|实际|波动幅度5.3%
平均绝对误差4.2pt
隐含与已实现波动率，按到期日
每个到期日：琥珀色轮廓框为最接近到期时记录的预期涨跌幅；实心柱为股票实际涨跌幅。柱形下方标注带符号的具体数值。
预期（已记录）实际
已记录（等待结果）
| 快照 | 到期时间 | DTE | 当时现货价 | 预期涨跌幅 | 区间 | 方法 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 | Oct 23 | 4 | 29.74 | ±4.7% | 28.36–31.12 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 28.18 | ±5.1% | 26.73–29.62 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 27.04 | ±5.8% | 25.46–28.61 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 23 | 10 | 27.89 | ±6.1% | 26.19–29.59 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 23 | 14 | 28.68 | ±7.0% | 26.66–30.70 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 23 | 15 | 27.48 | ±7.7% | 25.38–29.59 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 23 | 16 | 26.98 | ±7.6% | 24.93–29.03 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 23 | 17 | 27.32 | ±7.5% | 25.28–29.36 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 23 | 18 | 27.59 | ±9.1% | 25.08–30.10 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 23 | 21 | 26.77 | ±9.1% | 24.33–29.22 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 23 | 22 | 27.58 | ±9.7% | 24.91–30.25 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 23 | 30 | 29.50 | ±11.9% | 25.99–33.02 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 23 | 31 | 29.45 | ±12.1% | 25.88–33.02 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 23 | 32 | 28.08 | ±11.5% | 24.84–31.32 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 23 | 35 | 28.05 | ±11.2% | 24.89–31.20 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 23 | 36 | 28.50 | ±12.4% | 24.96–32.04 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 23 | 37 | 28.34 | ±12.5% | 24.81–31.87 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 23 | 38 | 28.22 | ±13.5% | 24.41–32.03 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 23 | 39 | 28.48 | ±13.2% | 24.72–32.24 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 23 | 42 | 27.22 | ±13.2% | 23.62–30.82 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 23 | 43 | 26.77 | ±14.3% | 22.95–30.61 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 23 | 44 | 27.79 | ±14.5% | 23.75–31.82 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 23 | 45 | 29.74 | ±15.4% | 25.15–34.32 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 23 | 46 | 30.74 | ±14.4% | 26.32–35.17 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 23 | 49 | 31.12 | ±15.5% | 26.30–35.95 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 23 | 50 | 31.65 | ±18.7% | 25.73–37.58 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 19 | Oct 30 | 11 | 29.74 | ±6.0% | 27.95–31.54 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 30 | 14 | 28.18 | ±8.4% | 25.81–30.55 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 30 | 16 | 27.04 | ±8.0% | 24.88–29.20 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 30 | 17 | 27.89 | ±8.0% | 25.66–30.13 | em-1.0 |
已归档快照
| 快照 | 已到期 | 预期值 | 实际值 | 在区间内？ | 现货价 → 收盘价 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±1.4% | +0.0% | 区间内 | 28.18 → 28.19 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.8% | +4.3% | 区间外 | 27.04 → 28.19 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.8% | +1.1% | 区间内 | 27.89 → 28.19 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.9% | -1.7% | 区间内 | 28.68 → 28.19 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.9% | +2.6% | 区间内 | 27.48 → 28.19 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.8% | +4.5% | 区间内 | 26.98 → 28.19 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.4% | +3.2% | 区间内 | 27.32 → 28.19 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.6% | +2.2% | 区间内 | 27.59 → 28.19 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.5% | +5.3% | 区间内 | 26.77 → 28.19 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.7% | +2.2% | 区间内 | 27.58 → 28.19 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.3% | -4.5% | 区间内 | 29.50 → 28.19 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.3% | -4.3% | 区间内 | 29.45 → 28.19 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.5% | +0.4% | 区间内 | 28.08 → 28.19 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.5% | +0.5% | 区间内 | 28.05 → 28.19 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.5% | -1.1% | 区间内 | 28.50 → 28.19 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.6% | -0.5% | 区间内 | 28.34 → 28.19 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.9% | -0.1% | 区间内 | 28.22 → 28.19 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±12.9% | -1.0% | 区间内 | 28.48 → 28.19 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±12.9% | +3.6% | 区间内 | 27.22 → 28.19 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±13.4% | +5.3% | 区间内 | 26.77 → 28.19 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±13.2% | +1.4% | 区间内 | 27.79 → 28.19 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±14.0% | -5.2% | 区间内 | 29.74 → 28.19 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±14.1% | -8.3% | 区间内 | 30.74 → 28.19 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±14.2% | -9.4% | 区间内 | 31.12 → 28.19 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±14.7% | -10.9% | 区间内 | 31.65 → 28.19 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±14.5% | -9.4% | 区间内 | 31.13 → 28.19 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±14.9% | -8.5% | 区间内 | 30.82 → 28.19 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±15.3% | -10.3% | 区间内 | 31.43 → 28.19 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.0% | -0.3% | 区间内 | 28.68 → 28.58 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.2% | +4.0% | 区间外 | 27.48 → 28.58 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.0% | +5.9% | 区间外 | 26.98 → 28.58 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.6% | +4.6% | 区间外 | 27.32 → 28.58 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.1% | +3.6% | 区间内 | 27.59 → 28.58 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.1% | +6.7% | 区间外 | 26.77 → 28.58 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.9% | +3.6% | 区间内 | 27.58 → 28.58 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.8% | -3.1% | 区间内 | 29.50 → 28.58 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.8% | -3.0% | 区间内 | 29.45 → 28.58 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.5% | +1.8% | 区间内 | 28.08 → 28.58 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.8% | +1.9% | 区间内 | 28.05 → 28.58 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.5% | +0.3% | 区间内 | 28.50 → 28.58 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.6% | +0.8% | 区间内 | 28.34 → 28.58 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.2% | +1.3% | 区间内 | 28.22 → 28.58 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.8% | +0.4% | 区间内 | 28.48 → 28.58 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.2% | +5.0% | 区间内 | 27.22 → 28.58 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.6% | +6.7% | 区间内 | 26.77 → 28.58 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±12.0% | +2.8% | 区间内 | 27.79 → 28.58 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±12.4% | -3.9% | 区间内 | 29.74 → 28.58 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±13.7% | -7.0% | 区间内 | 30.74 → 28.58 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±13.3% | -8.2% | 区间内 | 31.12 → 28.58 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±13.6% | -9.7% | 区间内 | 31.65 → 28.58 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±13.0% | -8.2% | 区间内 | 31.13 → 28.58 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±13.5% | -7.3% | 区间内 | 30.82 → 28.58 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±14.1% | -9.1% | 区间内 | 31.43 → 28.58 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.2% | -0.1% | 区间内 | 26.77 → 26.75 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±2.3% | -3.0% | 区间外 | 27.58 → 26.75 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.9% | -9.3% | 区间外 | 29.50 → 26.75 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.9% | -9.2% | 区间外 | 29.45 → 26.75 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.8% | -4.7% | 区间内 | 28.08 → 26.75 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±7.5% | -4.6% | 区间内 | 28.05 → 26.75 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.4% | -6.1% | 区间内 | 28.50 → 26.75 |
结果通过比较记录的价格区间与到期日收盘价得出。各行显示所用方法版本（与当前版本不同时）；当前版本： em-1.0.