CCL riwayat pergerakan yang diperkirakan Carnival Corporation & plc
Setiap hari perdagangan setelah penutupan, kami mencatat apa yang diperhitungkan pasar opsi — per expirasi, sebelum hasilnya diketahui. Ketika suatu expirasi berlalu, hasilnya ditulis di samping estimasi awal. Estimasi tidak pernah direvisi setelah fakta terjadi. Cara membaca statistik ini · merekam sejak Aug 31, 2026
Perbandingan terselesaikan93
Tutup dalam rentang58%
|Aktual| di bawah ekspektasi58%
Rata-rata pergerakan yang diperkirakan±6.5%
Rata-rata pergerakan |aktual|7.3%
Rata-rata kesalahan absolut2.9pt
Implied vs realized, per kedaluwarsa
Untuk setiap expirasi: garis tepi berwarna kuning adalah pergerakan yang diharapkan yang dicatat paling dekat dengan expirasi; batang padat adalah pergerakan saham yang sebenarnya terjadi. Nilai bertanda dicetak di bawah batang.
ekspektasi (direkam)aktual
Sedang dicatat (menunggu hasil)
| Snapshot | Kedaluwarsa | DTE | Spot saat itu | Pergerakan yang diharapkan | Rentang | Metode |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16 | Oct 16 | 0 | 25.91 | ±0.7% | 25.73–26.09 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 16 | 2 | 25.92 | ±2.6% | 25.25–26.59 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 16 | 3 | 26.65 | ±2.9% | 25.87–27.44 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 16 | 7 | 26.30 | ±3.7% | 25.34–27.27 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 16 | 8 | 26.08 | ±4.3% | 24.96–27.21 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 16 | 9 | 26.18 | ±4.8% | 24.93–27.43 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 16 | 10 | 26.58 | ±4.9% | 25.27–27.89 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 16 | 11 | 25.57 | ±5.2% | 24.24–26.90 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 16 | 14 | 25.79 | ±5.5% | 24.37–27.22 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 16 | 15 | 25.09 | ±6.3% | 23.52–26.66 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 16 | 23 | 22.38 | ±10.2% | 20.09–24.66 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 16 | 24 | 22.32 | ±10.2% | 20.04–24.61 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 16 | 25 | 22.34 | ±10.5% | 20.00–24.68 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 16 | 28 | 21.86 | ±10.4% | 19.59–24.12 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 16 | 29 | 22.27 | ±10.7% | 19.89–24.65 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 16 | 30 | 22.40 | ±11.2% | 19.89–24.91 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 16 | 31 | 22.13 | ±11.0% | 19.68–24.57 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 16 | 32 | 22.64 | ±11.0% | 20.15–25.13 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 16 | 35 | 22.80 | ±10.9% | 20.32–25.28 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 16 | 36 | 22.60 | ±11.6% | 19.97–25.23 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 16 | 37 | 22.78 | ±11.6% | 20.13–25.43 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 16 | 38 | 23.27 | ±11.8% | 20.52–26.02 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 16 | 39 | 23.52 | ±12.2% | 20.65–26.39 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 16 | 42 | 23.54 | ±12.2% | 20.66–26.41 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 16 | 43 | 23.47 | ±12.0% | 20.66–26.29 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Oct 16 | 44 | 23.84 | ±12.6% | 20.84–26.83 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Oct 16 | 45 | 23.34 | ±12.7% | 20.38–26.30 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Oct 16 | 46 | 23.93 | ±11.9% | 21.09–26.77 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 25.91 | ±4.3% | 24.79–27.03 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 25.92 | ±4.6% | 24.73–27.11 | em-1.0 |
Snapshot yang telah diselesaikan
| Snapshot | Kedaluwarsa | Diharapkan | Aktual | Dalam kisaran? | Spot → penutupan |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±0.7% | +0.2% | di dalam | 26.30 → 26.35 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.0% | +1.0% | di dalam | 26.08 → 26.35 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.4% | +0.6% | di dalam | 26.18 → 26.35 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.0% | -0.9% | di dalam | 26.58 → 26.35 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.4% | +3.0% | di dalam | 25.57 → 26.35 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.7% | +2.2% | di dalam | 25.79 → 26.35 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.7% | +5.0% | di luar | 25.09 → 26.35 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.6% | +17.7% | di luar | 22.38 → 26.35 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.6% | +18.1% | di luar | 22.32 → 26.35 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.4% | +17.9% | di luar | 22.34 → 26.35 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.8% | +20.5% | di luar | 21.86 → 26.35 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.6% | +18.3% | di luar | 22.27 → 26.35 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.3% | +17.6% | di luar | 22.40 → 26.35 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.1% | +19.1% | di luar | 22.13 → 26.35 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.8% | +16.4% | di luar | 22.64 → 26.35 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.2% | +15.6% | di luar | 22.80 → 26.35 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.6% | +16.6% | di luar | 22.60 → 26.35 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.5% | +15.7% | di luar | 22.78 → 26.35 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.8% | +13.2% | di luar | 23.27 → 26.35 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.8% | +12.0% | di luar | 23.52 → 26.35 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.3% | +12.0% | di luar | 23.54 → 26.35 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.5% | +12.3% | di luar | 23.47 → 26.35 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.1% | +10.5% | di dalam | 23.84 → 26.35 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.8% | +12.9% | di luar | 23.34 → 26.35 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.3% | +10.1% | di dalam | 23.93 → 26.35 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±0.8% | -0.1% | di dalam | 25.79 → 25.76 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±2.1% | +2.7% | di luar | 25.09 → 25.76 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.1% | +15.1% | di luar | 22.38 → 25.76 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.1% | +15.4% | di luar | 22.32 → 25.76 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.0% | +15.3% | di luar | 22.34 → 25.76 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.6% | +17.8% | di luar | 21.86 → 25.76 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.7% | +15.7% | di luar | 22.27 → 25.76 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±9.3% | +15.0% | di luar | 22.40 → 25.76 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.8% | +16.4% | di luar | 22.13 → 25.76 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±9.3% | +13.8% | di luar | 22.64 → 25.76 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±9.0% | +13.0% | di luar | 22.80 → 25.76 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±9.2% | +14.0% | di luar | 22.60 → 25.76 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.8% | +13.1% | di luar | 22.78 → 25.76 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±9.5% | +10.7% | di luar | 23.27 → 25.76 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±10.1% | +9.5% | di dalam | 23.52 → 25.76 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±10.1% | +9.5% | di dalam | 23.54 → 25.76 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±9.8% | +9.7% | di dalam | 23.47 → 25.76 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±10.8% | +8.1% | di dalam | 23.84 → 25.76 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±10.4% | +10.4% | di luar | 23.34 → 25.76 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±10.0% | +7.6% | di dalam | 23.93 → 25.76 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±3.6% | -0.6% | di dalam | 22.38 → 22.25 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±3.6% | -0.3% | di dalam | 22.32 → 22.25 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±3.6% | -0.4% | di dalam | 22.34 → 22.25 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.0% | +1.8% | di dalam | 21.86 → 22.25 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.7% | -0.1% | di dalam | 22.27 → 22.25 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±5.6% | -0.7% | di dalam | 22.40 → 22.25 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±5.6% | +0.5% | di dalam | 22.13 → 22.25 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±5.5% | -1.7% | di dalam | 22.64 → 22.25 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±6.0% | -2.4% | di dalam | 22.80 → 22.25 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±6.7% | -1.5% | di dalam | 22.60 → 22.25 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±6.4% | -2.3% | di dalam | 22.78 → 22.25 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±6.9% | -4.4% | di dalam | 23.27 → 22.25 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±7.3% | -5.4% | di dalam | 23.52 → 22.25 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±7.7% | -5.5% | di dalam | 23.54 → 22.25 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±7.8% | -5.2% | di dalam | 23.47 → 22.25 |
Hasil membandingkan rentang yang tercatat dengan harga penutupan pada hari kedaluwarsa. Versi metode ditampilkan per baris jika berbeda; saat ini: em-1.0.