CAT geschiedenis verwachte beweging Caterpillar Inc.
Elke handelsdag na de sluiting leggen we vast wat de optiemarkt inprijst — per vervaldatum, voordat de uitkomst bekend is. Wanneer een vervaldatum passeert, wordt de uitkomst naast de oorspronkelijke schatting vermeld. Schattingen worden achteraf nooit herzien. Hoe deze statistieken te lezen · vastlegging sinds Aug 31, 2026
Vergelijkingen opgelost93
Sluiting binnen bandbreedte82%
|Werkelijk| onder verwacht82%
Gem. verwachte beweging±5.2%
Gem. |werkelijke| beweging2.7%
Gem. abs. fout3.0pt
Impliciet vs. gerealiseerd, per expiratie
Voor elke vervaldatum: de oranje omlijning is de expected move die het dichtst bij de vervaldatum is vastgelegd; de solide balk is wat het aandeel werkelijk heeft gedaan. Getekende waarden staan onder de balken vermeld.
verwacht (vastgelegd)werkelijk
Momenteel vastgelegd (uitkomst nog onbekend)
| Snapshot | Vervalt | DTE | Spot destijds | Expected move | Bereik | Methode |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16 | Oct 16 | 0 | 730.70 | ±0.4% | 727.88–733.52 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 16 | 2 | 751.62 | ±3.1% | 728.54–774.69 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 16 | 3 | 772.00 | ±3.4% | 745.98–798.02 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 16 | 7 | 800.05 | ±3.7% | 770.60–829.50 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 16 | 8 | 797.75 | ±4.3% | 763.35–832.15 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 16 | 9 | 814.85 | ±4.4% | 779.00–850.70 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 16 | 10 | 865.49 | ±4.7% | 825.12–905.87 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 16 | 11 | 846.26 | ±4.7% | 806.41–886.11 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 16 | 14 | 847.00 | ±5.3% | 802.08–891.92 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 16 | 15 | 826.00 | ±5.7% | 778.65–873.35 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 16 | 23 | 809.56 | ±7.0% | 752.68–866.43 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 16 | 24 | 808.15 | ±7.0% | 751.27–865.02 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 16 | 25 | 818.62 | ±7.5% | 757.42–879.82 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 16 | 28 | 805.87 | ±7.6% | 744.47–867.27 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 16 | 29 | 796.75 | ±8.0% | 733.35–860.15 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 16 | 30 | 779.92 | ±8.7% | 712.42–847.42 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 16 | 31 | 782.05 | ±8.4% | 716.50–847.61 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 16 | 32 | 784.88 | ±8.4% | 719.03–850.73 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 16 | 35 | 819.00 | ±8.4% | 750.60–887.40 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 16 | 36 | 804.54 | ±8.9% | 732.99–876.09 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 16 | 37 | 818.41 | ±9.2% | 743.16–893.66 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 16 | 38 | 827.29 | ±9.7% | 747.04–907.54 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 16 | 39 | 813.00 | ±9.6% | 734.73–891.28 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 16 | 42 | 812.00 | ±9.6% | 733.73–890.27 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 16 | 43 | 801.72 | ±9.8% | 723.42–880.02 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Oct 16 | 44 | 792.38 | ±10.0% | 713.25–871.50 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Oct 16 | 45 | 780.00 | ±10.2% | 700.20–859.80 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Oct 16 | 46 | 797.24 | ±10.1% | 717.11–877.36 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 730.70 | ±4.6% | 696.83–764.58 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 751.62 | ±5.3% | 711.47–791.77 | em-1.0 |
Vastgelegde snapshots
| Snapshot | Verlopen | Verwacht | Werkelijk | Binnen bereik? | Spot → slotkoers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±0.3% | +0.1% | binnen | 800.05 → 800.47 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.6% | +0.3% | binnen | 797.75 → 800.47 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.2% | -1.8% | binnen | 814.85 → 800.47 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.7% | -7.5% | buiten | 865.49 → 800.47 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.2% | -5.4% | buiten | 846.26 → 800.47 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.6% | -5.5% | buiten | 847.00 → 800.47 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.2% | -3.1% | binnen | 826.00 → 800.47 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.0% | -1.1% | binnen | 809.56 → 800.47 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.0% | -0.9% | binnen | 808.15 → 800.47 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.4% | -2.2% | binnen | 818.62 → 800.47 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.4% | -0.7% | binnen | 805.87 → 800.47 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.1% | +0.5% | binnen | 796.75 → 800.47 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.3% | +2.6% | binnen | 779.92 → 800.47 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.5% | +2.4% | binnen | 782.05 → 800.47 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.4% | +2.0% | binnen | 784.88 → 800.47 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.9% | -2.3% | binnen | 819.00 → 800.47 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.2% | -0.5% | binnen | 804.54 → 800.47 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.7% | -2.2% | binnen | 818.41 → 800.47 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.8% | -3.2% | binnen | 827.29 → 800.47 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.9% | -1.5% | binnen | 813.00 → 800.47 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.8% | -1.4% | binnen | 812.00 → 800.47 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.8% | -0.2% | binnen | 801.72 → 800.47 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.2% | +1.0% | binnen | 792.38 → 800.47 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.2% | +2.6% | binnen | 780.00 → 800.47 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.1% | +0.4% | binnen | 797.24 → 800.47 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±0.3% | -0.2% | binnen | 847.00 → 845.42 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.8% | +2.4% | buiten | 826.00 → 845.42 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.9% | +4.4% | binnen | 809.56 → 845.42 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.9% | +4.6% | binnen | 808.15 → 845.42 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.0% | +3.3% | binnen | 818.62 → 845.42 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.2% | +4.9% | binnen | 805.87 → 845.42 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.8% | +6.1% | buiten | 796.75 → 845.42 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.4% | +8.4% | buiten | 779.92 → 845.42 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.2% | +8.1% | buiten | 782.05 → 845.42 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.4% | +7.7% | buiten | 784.88 → 845.42 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.8% | +3.2% | binnen | 819.00 → 845.42 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±7.1% | +5.1% | binnen | 804.54 → 845.42 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±7.5% | +3.3% | binnen | 818.41 → 845.42 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±7.6% | +2.2% | binnen | 827.29 → 845.42 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.0% | +4.0% | binnen | 813.00 → 845.42 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±7.7% | +4.1% | binnen | 812.00 → 845.42 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.2% | +5.5% | binnen | 801.72 → 845.42 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.0% | +6.7% | binnen | 792.38 → 845.42 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.4% | +8.4% | buiten | 780.00 → 845.42 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.3% | +6.0% | binnen | 797.24 → 845.42 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±2.6% | +1.5% | binnen | 809.56 → 821.58 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±2.7% | +1.7% | binnen | 808.15 → 821.58 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±3.1% | +0.4% | binnen | 818.62 → 821.58 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±3.7% | +1.9% | binnen | 805.87 → 821.58 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±3.9% | +3.1% | binnen | 796.75 → 821.58 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±5.0% | +5.3% | buiten | 779.92 → 821.58 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.8% | +5.1% | buiten | 782.05 → 821.58 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±5.1% | +4.7% | binnen | 784.88 → 821.58 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±5.5% | +0.3% | binnen | 819.00 → 821.58 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±5.9% | +2.1% | binnen | 804.54 → 821.58 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±6.3% | +0.4% | binnen | 818.41 → 821.58 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±6.6% | -0.7% | binnen | 827.29 → 821.58 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±6.6% | +1.1% | binnen | 813.00 → 821.58 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±6.6% | +1.2% | binnen | 812.00 → 821.58 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±7.0% | +2.5% | binnen | 801.72 → 821.58 |
Uitkomsten vergelijken de geregistreerde bandbreedte met de slotkoers op de expiratiedag. De methodversie wordt per rij weergegeven waar deze afwijkt; huidig: em-1.0.