BYD 预期波动历史 Boyd Gaming Corporation
每个交易日收盘后，我们记录期权市场对各到期日的定价——均在结果揭晓前留存。到期日过后，实际结果会附记于原始预估值旁。预估值在事后绝不修改。 如何解读这些统计数据 · 记录开始于 Aug 31, 2026
已解决的比较项15
收盘价处于区间内20%
|实际值| 低于预期值20%
平均预期波动幅度±4.1%
平均|实际|波动幅度5.0%
平均绝对误差1.3pt
隐含与已实现波动率，按到期日
每个到期日：琥珀色轮廓框为最接近到期时记录的预期涨跌幅；实心柱为股票实际涨跌幅。柱形下方标注带符号的具体数值。
预期（已记录）实际
已记录（等待结果）
| 快照 | 到期时间 | DTE | 当时现货价 | 预期涨跌幅 | 区间 | 方法 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16 | Oct 16 | 0 | 70.04 | ±2.1% | 68.59–71.49 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 16 | 2 | 69.70 | ±2.2% | 68.20–71.20 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 16 | 3 | 70.46 | ±3.3% | 68.16–72.76 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 16 | 7 | 68.93 | ±2.9% | 66.91–70.95 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 16 | 8 | 70.00 | ±4.0% | 67.22–72.78 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 16 | 9 | 69.00 | ±4.3% | 66.05–71.95 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 16 | 10 | 70.41 | ±4.4% | 67.28–73.53 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 16 | 11 | 68.71 | ±4.8% | 65.44–71.98 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 16 | 14 | 67.25 | ±4.2% | 64.40–70.10 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 16 | 15 | 66.07 | ±5.3% | 62.57–69.57 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 16 | 23 | 72.08 | ±5.7% | 67.98–76.18 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 16 | 24 | 72.58 | ±5.5% | 68.56–76.61 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 16 | 25 | 72.97 | ±5.6% | 68.89–77.05 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 16 | 28 | 73.67 | ±5.4% | 69.72–77.62 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 16 | 29 | 75.60 | ±6.6% | 70.62–80.58 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 16 | 30 | 75.60 | ±6.6% | 70.62–80.58 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 16 | 31 | 77.15 | ±5.7% | 72.72–81.58 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 16 | 32 | 77.15 | ±5.7% | 72.72–81.58 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 16 | 35 | 77.00 | ±6.4% | 72.10–81.90 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 16 | 36 | 75.80 | ±6.0% | 71.28–80.33 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 16 | 37 | 76.52 | ±5.9% | 72.00–81.05 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 16 | 38 | 78.02 | ±7.0% | 72.55–83.50 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 16 | 39 | 78.02 | ±7.0% | 72.55–83.50 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 16 | 42 | 77.79 | ±7.6% | 71.92–83.67 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 16 | 43 | 76.69 | ±6.6% | 71.61–81.77 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Oct 16 | 44 | 76.80 | ±7.2% | 71.28–82.33 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Oct 16 | 45 | 77.59 | ±6.5% | 72.52–82.67 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Oct 16 | 46 | 79.47 | ±6.9% | 74.00–84.94 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Nov 20 | 35 | 70.04 | ±7.8% | 64.59–75.49 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Nov 20 | 37 | 69.70 | ±7.8% | 64.28–75.12 | em-1.0 |
已归档快照
| 快照 | 已到期 | 预期值 | 实际值 | 在区间内？ | 现货价 → 收盘价 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±2.4% | -0.9% | 区间内 | 73.67 → 72.97 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±3.4% | -3.5% | 区间外 | 75.60 → 72.97 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±3.4% | -3.5% | 区间外 | 75.60 → 72.97 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±3.3% | -5.4% | 区间外 | 77.15 → 72.97 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±3.3% | -5.4% | 区间外 | 77.15 → 72.97 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±3.4% | -5.2% | 区间外 | 77.00 → 72.97 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.3% | -3.7% | 区间内 | 75.80 → 72.97 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.2% | -4.6% | 区间外 | 76.52 → 72.97 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.6% | -6.5% | 区间外 | 78.02 → 72.97 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.6% | -6.5% | 区间外 | 78.02 → 72.97 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.1% | -6.2% | 区间外 | 77.79 → 72.97 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.8% | -4.9% | 区间外 | 76.69 → 72.97 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±5.2% | -5.0% | 区间内 | 76.80 → 72.97 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±5.2% | -6.0% | 区间外 | 77.59 → 72.97 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.8% | -8.2% | 区间外 | 79.47 → 72.97 |
结果通过比较记录的价格区间与到期日收盘价得出。各行显示所用方法版本（与当前版本不同时）；当前版本： em-1.0.